Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/19/2024

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Apr 18, 2024
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Friday, April 19, 2024
Venue:  Kaseya Center, Miami, FL
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Bulls +2.5, Heat -2.5; Over/Under:  209.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Bulls +2.5, Heat -2.5; Over/Under:  209.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Bulls +2.5, Heat -2.5; Over/Under:  209.5 points

Season Record

Chicago Bulls:  39-43 (4th place, Central Division)
Miami Heat:  46-36 (2nd place, Southeast Division)

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Recent Form
Chicago Bulls:  5-5 last 10
Miami Heat:  7-3 last 10


Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat Preview and Analysis


The Bulls are entering this game with a 39-43 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 19-22 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Atlanta Hawks in their last game. Coby White led the team in points in that game with 42 while Nikola Vucevic was next on the team with 24 points. DeMar DeRozan led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Nikola Vucevic led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 56.8% from the field, 42.3% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 112.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113.7 PPG against them. The Bulls have an ATS record of 42-40-1 this season and their O/U record is 46-36-1.



The Heat are entering this game with a 46-36 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 22-19 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Philadelphia 76ers in their last game. Tyler Herro led the team in points in that game with 25 while Jimmy Butler was next on the team with 19 points. Tyler Herro led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Bam Adebayo led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 42.2% from the field, 35.9% from 3-point range, and 73.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 110.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 108.4 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 41-40-2 this season and their O/U record is 36-47.


Bulls vs Heat Prediction

The current betting odds have the Bulls listed as a 2.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is a game for the play-in tournament between the winner of the 9th/10th seed game and the loser of the 7th/8th seed game to decide who gets the 8th and final seed in the East for the playoffs. The Heat have looked good in their games this season with their 46-36 record overall, but they had a chance to avoid this play-in tournament altogether and weren't able to do so in the final weeks of the regular season. They dropped into the 7th/8th seed game of the play-in tournament, but they lost to the 76ers by 1 point and now have to play another game here that they need to win or they will be eliminated. They were already banged up coming into this one without Rozier, but now their star Jimmy Butler has picked up an injury and will be out for this game too. The Heat haven't looked as good on their home court this year either with their 22-19 home record. Meanwhile, the Bulls haven't looked great in their games this season with their 39-43 record overall which had them finish under .500, but they looked really good in their game against the Hawks to keep their season alive. They also have a losing road record this season as they are 19-22 in their road games, but the Heat haven't really been the same team without Butler this season. The Heat may have the home advantage but they have been a better road team this year and the Bulls are going to have some momentum from their win in that elimination game against the Hawks. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bulls to cover the spread in this game.

Bulls Heat Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, April 19, 2024 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Bulls 112 Heat 107.
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NBA Betting Trends


Chicago Bulls: 10-5 ATS after 5 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better. 33-23 ATS after a win by 10 points or more. 32-23 ATS against Southeast division opponents. 5-1 OVER when the total is 200 to 209.5. 11-4 OVER as a road underdog of 6 points or less. 31-15 OVER after one or more consecutive overs.

Miami Heat: 16-25 ATS in home games. 6-11 ATS off a road loss. 11-6 OVER as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 6-2 OVER when the total is 200 to 209.5. 12-6 OVER against Central division opponents. 

Key Injuries


Chicago Bulls:  O. Bitim (SF) out for season - Eye. J. Phillips (SF) Out indefinitely - Foot. P. Williams (SF) out for season - Foot. Z. LaVine (PG) out for season - Ankle. L. Ball (PG) out for season - Knee.

Miami Heat:  T. Rozier (PG) Out indefinitely - Neck. J. Butler (SF) Out Indefinitely - Knee. J. Richardson (SG) out for season - Shoulder.


Notable Quotes


“It was a dope moment for that to happen. I'm thankful for the fans. It felt like a playoff vibe. The place was rocking tonight.” - Coby White after their win against the Hawks in their game on Wednesday in the NBA play-in tournament for the playoffs in the East.


“We will do this the hard way. That has to be the path right now. We're going to rest up, treat up, rally around each other up, get ready for Friday. Again, embrace these competitive games. It will be competitive in front of our home fans.” - Erik Spoelstra after his team’s loss against the 76ers in their game on Wednesday in the NBA play-in tournament for the playoffs in the East.


Starting Lineups


Chicago Bulls
PG Coby White
SG Ayo Dosunmu
SF Alex Caruso
PF DeMar DeRozan
C Nikola Vucevic

Miami Heat
PG Tyler Herro
SG Duncan Robinson
SF Jaime Jaquez Jr.
PF Nikola Jovic
C Bam Adebayo

Statistical Leaders


Chicago Bulls
PPG: D. DeRozan (24)
APG: D. DeRozan (5.3)
Reb/G: N. Vucevic (10.5)

Miami Heat
PPG: J. Butler (20.8)
APG: T. Rozier (5.6)
Reb/G: B. Adebayo (10.4)

Coaches:
Chicago Bulls: Billy Donovan (4th season)
Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (16th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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