Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/31/2026

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Jan 30, 2026
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Saturday, January 31, 2026
Venue:  Kaseya Center, Miami, FL 
Where to Watch:  CHSN, FDSSU


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Bulls +5.5, Heat -5.5; Over/Under:  235.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Bulls +5.5, Heat -5.5; Over/Under:  235.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Bulls +5.5, Heat -5.5; Over/Under:  235.5 points

Season Record

Chicago Bulls:  23-25 (3rd place, Central Division)
Miami Heat:  26-23 (1st place, Southeast Division)

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Recent Form
Chicago Bulls:  5-5 last 10
Miami Heat:  6-4 last 10


Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat Preview and Analysis


The Bulls are entering this game with a 23-25 record overall this season and they are 8-14 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak with losses coming against the Los Angeles Lakers, the Indiana Pacers, and the Miami Heat. Ayo Dosunmu led the team in points in that game with 23 while Matas Buzelis was next on the team with 16 points. Coby White led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Nikola Vučević and Kevin Huerter each led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 39.4% from the field, 39.5% from 3-point range, and 82.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 119.7 PPG against them. The Bulls have an ATS record of 24-24 this season and their O/U record is 21-27.



The Heat are entering this game with a 26-23 record overall this season and they are 15-8 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Chicago Bulls. Norman Powell led the team in points in that game with 21 while Bam Adebayo was next on the team with 20 points. Jaime Jaquez Jr. led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Bam Adebayo led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 45.2% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 83.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 118.2 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 28-21 this season and their O/U record is 25-24.


Bulls vs Heat Prediction

The current betting odds have the Heat listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Heat have looked good in their games this season with their 26-23 record overall which has them in the top half of the East. They have looked on their home court too with their 15-8 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Bulls haven't looked great in their games this season with their 23-25 record overall which has them in the bottom half of the East. They have been a bad road team too with their 8-14 road record this year. The Bulls are off a tight home loss to the Heat in their last one and they haven't looked great lately. They are 5-5 in their last 10 games and have lost 3 games in a row now. They played a tight game with the Heat in their last one and will be looking to get some revenge here, but now they are going to be on the road where they have been much worse this season. The Heat have been the more consistent team all season and they have looked a lot better lately too. They are 6-4 in their last 10 games and will have some momentum from the road win over the Bulls. They have looked like a different team in their home games this season and even though they are banged up with some missing starters, they have still looked good without them. The Heat are the more talented team on their home court here and should be able to edge out an up and down Bulls team at home. The best way to place a bet here is on the Heat to cover the spread in this game. 

Bulls Heat Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Saturday, January 31, 2026 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Heat 119 Bulls 111.
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NBA Betting Trends


Chicago Bulls: 6-17 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game. 2-8 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days. 11-5 UNDER revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 15-9 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game.

Miami Heat: 9-5 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record. 19-12 ATS versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more. 3-0 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 turnovers/game or less. 10-4 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record.

Key Injuries


Chicago Bulls:  J. Giddey (PG) Day To Day - Hamstring. T. Jones (PG) Day To Day - Hamstring. J. Smith (C) Day To Day - Calf. Z. Collins (PF) Out - Toe. N. Essengue (PF) Out For Season - Shoulder.

Miami Heat:  D. Mitchell (PG) Day To Day - Shoulder. T. Herro (SG) Day To Day - Toe.


Notable Quotes


“He’s got a spirit about him that he never thinks he’s out of it, and I think that permeates to the team. I love his spirit and competitiveness.” - Billy Donovan on Ayo Dosunmu after his team’s loss against the Heat in their game on Thursday. 


“No, it's just easing him back, we'll see where that goes. You know, we’re just gonna go with the normal rotation we did on the road trip. We'll just see where it goes.” - Erik Spoelstra on easing Kel’el Ware back into the rotation.


Starting Lineups


Chicago Bulls
PG Josh Giddey
SG Coby White 
SF Isaac Okoro
PF Matas Buzelis
C Nikola Vucevic

Miami Heat
PG Dru Smith
SG Pelle Larsson
SF Norman Powell
PF Andrew Wiggins
C Bam Adebayo

Statistical Leaders


Chicago Bulls
PPG: Coby White (18.6)
APG: Josh Giddey (8.8)
Reb/G: Nikola Vucevic (9.1)

Miami Heat
PPG: Norman Powell (23)
APG: Davion Mitchell (7.2)
Reb/G: Bam Adebayo (9.8)

Coaches:
Chicago Bulls: Billy Donovan (6th season)
Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (18th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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