by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Oct 24, 2024
Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, October 27, 2024
Venue: Northwest Stadium, Landover, MD
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Bears -3, Commanders +3; Over/Under: 43.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Bears -2.5, Commanders +2.5; Over/Under: 43 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Bears -2.5, Commanders +2.5; Over/Under: 43.5 points
Season Record
Chicago Bears: 4-2 (4th place, NFC North)
Washington Commanders: 5-2 (1st place, NFC East)
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Recent Form
Chicago Bears: won their last game at a neutral site against the Jacksonville Jaguars 35-16.
Washington Commanders: won their last game at home against the Carolina Panthers 40-7.
Chicago Bears vs Washington Commanders Preview and Analysis
The Bears are entering this game with a 4-2 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 0-2 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Jacksonville Jaguars 35-16. Caleb Williams was the starting QB and he completed 23/29 passes for 226 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 1 interception. D'Andre Swift led the team in rushing yards with 91 and 1 TD. Cole Kmet led the receivers with 70 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 2 TDs. Jaylon Jones led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while DeMarcus Walker, Christopher Williams, and Amen Ogbongbemiga each led the defense in sacks with 1. Josh Blackwell came away with the only interception for them in that one.
The Commanders are entering this game with a 5-2 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Carolina Panthers 40-7. Jayden Daniels was the starting QB and he completed 2/2 passes for 6 passing yards before leaving injured and getting replaced by Marcus Mariota who completed 18/23 passes for 205 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Brian Robinson Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 71 and 1 TD. Terry McLaurin led the receivers with 98 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Mike Sainristil and Noah Igbinoghene each led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Frankie Luvu and Dante Fowler Jr. each led the defense in sacks with 1. Dante Fowler Jr. and Emmanuel Forbes Jr. each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
Bears vs Commanders Prediction
The current betting odds have the Commanders listed as a 3 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Commanders have looked really good in their games this season with their 5-2 record overall and they have really turned things around from last year with their new ownership. They have a new head coach in Dan Quinn and a rookie QB Jayden Daniels who has looked great in this offense. Meanwhile, the Bears have also looked good in their games this season with their 4-2 record overall. They are coming off a win against the Jags in their last one and are now coming out of their bye week too, but they are still just 0-2 in their road games this season with their offense struggling more in those games. Their defense has looked great all season and will be a problem for this Commanders offense, but the Commanders have been putting up a ton of points all year and they have played good defenses. They will find ways to put up points in this game, and their defense has also looked better lately so this is going to be another road game that Caleb Williams struggles in. The Commanders will be able to stay in this game and they are live to pull off the upset win too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Commanders to cover the spread in this game.
Bears Commanders Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 27, 2024 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Commanders 27 Bears 24.
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NFL Betting Trends
Chicago Bears: 5-2 ATS as a favorite. 8-3 1H ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more. 9-4 1H ATS versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more. 7-2 OVER as a favorite. 10-4 OVER vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 7 or more passing yards/att. 11-5 OVER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 yards/play or more.
Washington Commanders: 3-6 ATS as a home underdog. 3-6 ATS in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 3-8 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 12-7 OVER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 9-3 OVER vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game. 8-2 OVER vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season.
Key Injuries
Chicago Bears: S. Daly (LS) Injured - Knee. J. Martin (DL) Injured - Toe. L. Borom (OL) Injured - Ankle. T. Homer (RB) Injured - Finger. T. Smith (DB) Injured - Hip. K. Gordon (DB) Injured - Hamstring. T. Stevenson (DB) Injured - Calf. J. Brisker (DB) Injured - Concussion. Z. Pickens (DL) Injured - Groin.
Washington Commanders: D. Fowler (LB) Injured - Groin. C. Lucas (T) Injured - Neck. D. Brown (WR) Injured - Ankle. B. Coleman (OT) Injured - Concussion. J. Daniels (QB) Injured - Rib. T. Biadasz (C) Injured - Thumb. D. Armstrong (DE) Injured - Rib. C. Ferrell (DE) Injured - Knee. N. Allegretti (G) Injured - Ankle. T. Owens (SAF) Injured - Shin. Z. Ertz (TE) Injured - NIR - Rest. E. Forbes (CB) Injured - Thumb.
Notable Quotes
“Obviously, you study, you watch, and do all these other things. But, you know, once the ball snaps, you have to have that post-snap read and know what you have to do and be confident about it.” - Caleb Williams after their win against the Jags in their last game.
“At the end of the day, we won handily and I think the defense did an unbelievable job.” - Terry Mclaurin after their win against the Panthers in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Chicago Bears
WR Moore, DJ
WR Odunze, Rome
WR Allen, Keenan
TE Kmet, Cole
QB Williams, Caleb
RB Swift, D'Andre
FB Blasingame, Khari
Washington Commanders
WR McLaurin, Terry
WR Brown, Dyami
WR McCaffrey, Luke
TE Ertz, Zach
QB Daniels, Jayden
RB Robinson Jr., Brian
Statistical Leaders
Chicago Bears
Passing: C. Williams (1317)
Rushing: D. Swift (325)
Receiving: D. Moore (314)
Touchdowns: D. Moore (3)
Washington Commanders
Passing: J. Daniels (1410)
Rushing: B. Robinson (396)
Receiving: T. McLaurin (454)
Touchdowns: B. Robinson (6)
Coaches:
Chicago Bears: Matt Eberflus (3rd season)
Washington Commanders: Dan Quinn (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
