by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Nov 01, 2023
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 5, 2023
Venue: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Bears +7, Saints -7; Over/Under: 41.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Bears +7.5, Saints -7.5; Over/Under: 41 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Bears +7.5, Saints -7.5; Over/Under: 41 points
Season Record
Chicago Bears: 2-6 (4th place, NFC North)
New Orleans Saints: 4-4 (2nd place, NFC South)
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Amedeus Mastrangelo has been on a HOT STREAK in the NFL on a HUGE 31-16-2 NFL RUN! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.
Recent Form
Chicago Bears: lost their last game on the road against the Los Angeles Chargers 30-13.
New Orleans Saints: won their last game on the road against the Indianapolis Colts 38-27.
Chicago Bears vs New Orleans Saints Preview and Analysis
The Bears are entering this game with a 2-6 record overall and they have a 0-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-3 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the LA Chargers 30-13. Tyson Bagent was the starting QB and he completed 25/37 passes for 232 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. D'Onta Foreman led the team in rushing yards with 34. Cole Kmet led the receivers with 79 receiving yards on 10 receptions. Tyrique Stevenson led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
The Saints are entering this game with a 4-4 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-2 in their home games, 3-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Indianapolis Colts 38-27. Derek Carr was the starting QB and he completed 19/27 passes for 310 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Taysom Hill led the team in rushing yards with 63 and 2 TDs. Rashid Shaheed led the receivers with 153 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Marshon Lattimore led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Carl Granderson and Nathan Shepherd each led the defense in sacks with 1. Paulson Adebo came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Bears vs Saints Prediction
The current betting odds have the Saints listed as a 7 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Saints are only 4-4 this season and haven't looked great in a lot of their games but they are coming off a big win against the Colts last week and they are starting to play a lot better lately with their offense putting up more points. The Bears are only 2-6 this season as they have looked terrible in most of their games and have one of the worst teams in the NFL right now. They are also without their starting QB Justin Fields and even though Tyson Bagent hasn't looked bad in their games, he still struggled a lot on the road against the Chargers last week and now has a 2nd straight road game against a Saints team that is starting to click on offense. This is a tough spot for the rookie to start in once again, especially against this Saints defense that has been really good all year despite the offensive struggles. The best way to place a bet here is on the Saints to cover the spread in this game.
Bears Saints Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 5, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Saints 23 Bears 13.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Chicago Bears New Orleans Saints prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NFL predictions and previews.
NFL Betting Trends
Chicago Bears: 32-22 ATS off a road blowout loss by 14 points or more. 36-20 UNDER off a road blowout loss by 14 points or more. 5-2 UNDER after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game.
New Orleans Saints: 7-13 ATS as a favorite. 5-13 ATS in home games. 1-6 ATS after a win by 10 or more points. 27-15 UNDER in all games. 14-4 UNDER in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 8-2 UNDER off a road win.
Key Injuries
Chicago Bears: T. Smith (DB) day-to-day - Illness. J. Brisker (DB) day-to-day - Illness. B. Jones (OL) day-to-day - Neck. J. Fields (QB) Mid Nov - Thumb. N. Davis (OL) Out indefinitely - Ankle. E. St. Brown (WR) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. K. Herbert (RB) Out indefinitely - Ankle. J. Blackwell (DB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring.
New Orleans Saints: J. Hurst (OL) day-to-day - Ankle. M. Maye (S) day-to-day - Hamstring. J. Graham (TE) day-to-day - Illness. A. Prentice (FB) Out indefinitely - Knee. P. Turner (DE) Out indefinitely - Toe. E. Benjamin (RB) I-R - Achilles. A. Dowell (LB) I-R - Knee. T. Turner (G) I-R - Quadricep.
Notable Quotes
“I feel like there were a lot of plays where I’m getting through my reads and making correct throws, and then I think there are a couple where … I did maybe force the issue a bit, so got to do a better job of that going forward." - Tyson Bagent after their loss against the Chargers in their last game.
“Gosh, it feels good to smile. I was at one place for nine years. If I got banged up, everyone in that building knew I was playing that Sunday. If I got upset, they knew where my heart was. But now I’m in a new place, and new things are happening. You have to prove yourself, you have to show guys where you’re coming from, you have to build new relationships. That was something I put on my heart this week. I tried not to be so emotional.” - Derek Carr after their win against the Colts in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Chicago Bears
WR Moore, DJ
WR Scott, Tyler
WR Mooney, Darnell
TE Kmet, Cole
QB Fields, Justin
RB Johnson, Roschon
FB Blasingame, Khari
New Orleans Saints
WR THOMAS, MICHAEL
WR Shaheed, Rashid
WR Olave, Chris
TE Johnson, Juwan
QB CARR, DEREK
RB Kamara, Alvin
Statistical Leaders
Chicago Bears
Passing: J. Fields (1201)
Rushing: K. Herbert (272)
Receiving: D. Moore (691)
Touchdowns: D. Moore (5)
New Orleans Saints
Passing: D. Carr (1910)
Rushing: A. Kamara (320)
Receiving: C. Olave (517)
Touchdowns: R. Shaheed (3)
Coaches:
Chicago Bears: Matt Eberflus (2nd season)
New Orleans Saints: Dennis Allen (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
