by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Nov 11, 2025
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 16, 2025
Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Bears +3, Vikings -3; Over/Under: 48.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Bears +3, Vikings -3; Over/Under: 48.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Bears +3, Vikings -3; Over/Under: 48.5 points
Season Record
Chicago Bears: 6-3 (2nd place, NFC North)
Minnesota Vikings: 4-5 (4th place, NFC North)
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Chicago Bears: won their last game at home against the New York Giants 24-20.
Minnesota Vikings: lost their last game at home against the Baltimore Ravens 27-19.
Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings Preview and Analysis
The Bears are entering this game with a 6-3 record overall and they have a 0-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 3-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the New York Giants 24-20. Caleb Williams was the starting QB and he completed 20/36 passes for 220 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. D'Andre Swift led the team in rushing yards with 80. Rome Odunze led the receivers with 86 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. C. J. Gardner-Johnson led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while C. J. Gardner-Johnson led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Vikings are entering this game with a 4-5 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-3 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Baltimore Ravens 27-19. J.J. McCarthy was the starting QB and he completed 20/42 passes for 248 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. J.J. McCarthy led the team in rushing yards with 48. Jalen Nailor led the receivers with 124 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Jalen Redmond led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Jonathan Allen led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Bears vs Vikings Prediction
The current betting odds have the Bears listed as a 3 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bears have looked good in their games this season with their 6-3 record overall which has them right near the top of the NFC North. They had a terrible start to the season as they were 0-2, but they have come a long way since then with this team starting to find their footing with Ben Johnson in his 1st year coaching. Meanwhile, the Vikings haven't looked great in their games this season with their 4-5 record overall which has them right at the bottom of the NFC North. They are off a 27-19 loss at home to the Ravens in their last one and they have been really up and down this season. J.J. McCarthy is back at QB for the Vikings and he hasn't been bad, but he hasn't been lighting up defenses either. This team is still trying to find their offensive identity with him playing, but he is still in his first playing season. The Bears have had a much more consistent offense lately with Caleb Williams starting to take a step in his 2nd season, and this team has grown a lot from the one that blew a lead at home to the Vikings to start the season. The Bears are going to come into this game with revenge on their mind and they are the team that is in a much better situation entering this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bears to cover the spread in this game.
Bears Vikings Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 16, 2025 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Bears 24 Vikings 21.
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NFL Betting Trends
Chicago Bears: 5-1 ATS after a win by 6 or less points. 11-5 ATS after playing a game at home. 9-5 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more. 10-6 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record.
Minnesota Vikings: 2-7 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game. 4-7 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game. 2-5 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. 7-1 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%).
Key Injuries
Chicago Bears: G. Jarrett (DL) Injured - NIR - Rest. K. Byard III (CB) Injured - NIR - Rest. D. Moore (WR) Injured - Shoulder. D. Swift (RB) Injured - Hip. J. Blackwell (CB) Injured - Concussion. D. Robinson (DL) Injured - Ankle. T. Edwards (LB) Injured - Hand. C. Kmet (TE) Injured - Back. T. Stevenson (CB) Injured - Shoulder. J. Brisker (CB) Injured - Back. R. Odunze (WR) Injured - Ankle. J. Walker (WR) Injured - Concussion. R. Hyppolite II (LB) Injured - Knee.
Minnesota Vikings: R. Kelly (C) Injured - Concussion. H. Smith (S) Injured - Rest. A. Jones Sr. (RB) Injured - Shoulder. J. Greenard (LB) Injured - Shoulder. J. Metellus (S) Injured - Foot. W. Fries (OG) Injured - Calf. J. Oliver (TE) Injured - Foot. J. Skule (OT) Injured - Shoulder. T. Jackson (S) Injured - Concussion. A. Van Ginkel (LB) Injured - Neck. C. Darrisaw (OT) Injured - Knee. J. McCarthy (QB) Injured - Right Hand.
Notable Quotes
“They have this belief that we’re going to find a way in the fourth quarter. Provided it’s somewhat close, we’re going to find a way to come out on top of this thing. It’s week in and week out they’re proving that.” - Ben Johnson after his team’s win against the Giants in their last game.
“I take that data and collect it and use it for the next time.” - J.J. McCarthy after their loss against the Ravens in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Chicago Bears
WR Odunze, Rome
WR Moore, DJ
WR Zaccheaus, Olamide
TE Loveland, Colston
QB Williams, Caleb
RB Swift, D'Andre
Minnesota Vikings
WR Jefferson, Justin
WR Addison, Jordan
WR Nailor, Jalen
TE Hockenson, T.J.
QB McCarthy, J.J.
RB Jones Sr., Aaron
FB Ham, C.J.
Statistical Leaders
Chicago Bears
Passing: Caleb Williams (2,136)
Rushing: D'Andre Swift (544)
Receiving: Rome Odunze (559)
Touchdowns: Rome Odunze (6)
Minnesota Vikings
Passing: Carson Wentz (1,216)
Rushing: Jordan Mason (444)
Receiving: Justin Jefferson (686)
Touchdowns: Jordan Mason (4)
Coaches:
Chicago Bears: Ben Johnson (1st season)
Minnesota Vikings: Kevin O'Connell (4th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
