by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Oct 26, 2023
Game Time: 8:20 pm ET, Sunday, October 29, 2023
Venue: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
Where to Watch: NBC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Bears +8.5, Chargers -8.5; Over/Under: 46.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Bears +8.5, Chargers -8.5; Over/Under: 46.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Bears +8.5, Chargers -8.5; Over/Under: 46.5 points
Season Record
Chicago Bears: 2-5 (4th place, NFC North)
Los Angeles Chargers: 2-4 (3rd place, AFC West)
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Recent Form
Chicago Bears: won their last game at home against the Las Vegas Raiders 30-12.
Los Angeles Chargers: lost their last game on the road against the Kansas City Chiefs 31-17.
Chicago Bears vs Los Angeles Chargers Preview and Analysis
The Bears are entering this game with a 2-5 record overall and they have a 0-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-3 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Las Vegas Raiders 30-12. Tyson Bagent was the starting QB and he completed 21/29 passes for 162 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. D'Onta Foreman led the team in rushing yards with 89 and 2 TDs. D. J. Moore led the receivers with 54 receiving yards on 8 receptions. Jaquan Brisker led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Justin Jones led the defense in sacks with 1. Jaylon Johnson came away with 2 interceptions for them while Tremaine Edmunds also came away with 1 interception in that game.
The Chargers are entering this game with a 2-4 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-2 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Kansas City Chiefs 31-17. Justin Herbert was the starting QB and he completed 17/30 passes for 259 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Joshua Kelley led the team in rushing yards with 75 and 1 TD. Joshua Palmer led the receivers with 133 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Dean Marlowe led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Kenneth Murray Jr. led the defense in sacks with 1. Asante Samuel Jr. came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Bears vs Chargers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Bears listed as an 8.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bears have been terrible this season with their 2-5 record overall but they have looked a lot better in their games lately as they got both wins in the last few weeks and their backup QB looked very good in his 1st NFL start last week. The Chargers haven't really been any better this season with their 2-4 record overall and their defense has been giving up a ton of points all season. The Bears defense hasn't really been great either and the Chargers are going to put up points in this game, but this is also a really big number for them to cover and the Bears will also be able to put up points on this Chargers defense to keep it a close enough game in prime time. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bears to cover the spread in this game.
Bears Chargers Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 29, 2023 (8:20 pm ET start time) is Chargers 27 Bears 20.
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NFL Betting Trends
Chicago Bears: 13-26 ATS in all games. 10-23 ATS as an underdog. 11-29 ATS in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points. 6-1 OVER in all games. 13-6 OVER as a road underdog. 8-3 OVER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points.
Los Angeles Chargers: 22-11 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points. 6-1 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread. 12-4 OVER after 1 or more consecutive losses. 36-23 OVER after scoring 17 points or less in 2 straight games.
Key Injuries
Chicago Bears: K. Kareem (DL) Ques Sun - Hip. B. Jones (OL) Ques Sun - Neck. D. Wright (OL) Ques Sun - Shoulder. J. Brisker (DB) Ques Sun - Illness. R. Johnson (RB) Prob Sun - Concussion. T. Smith (DB) Ques Sun - Illness. E. Jackson (DB) Ques Sun - Foot. D. Feeney (OL) Ques Sun - Knee. J. Fields (QB) Mid Nov - Thumb. N. Davis (OL) Out indefinitely - Ankle. E. St. Brown (WR) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. K. Herbert (RB) Out indefinitely - Ankle. J. Blackwell (DB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring.
Los Angeles Chargers: T. Pipkins III (OT) Ques Sun - Ankle. J. Palmer (WR) Ques Sun - Knee. A. Gilman (S) Ques Sun - Heel. D. Leonard (DB) Ques Sun - Hamstring. G. Everett (TE) Ques Sun - Quadricep. M. Williams (WR) I-R - Knee. R. Layne (S) Out indefinitely - Knee. J. Woods (S) Out indefinitely - Illness. C. Linsley (C) Out indefinitely - Illness. O. Ogbonnia (DL) Out indefinitely - Knee. J. Guyton (WR) Out indefinitely - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“Where I come from, I've got a bunch of friends, a bunch of family, that understood how big this was just in a life. Not a lot of people get to say they started in an NFL game, let alone win an NFL game. Definitely had a lot of those conversations today. I think the staff understood it, too, and the players. That's why everybody rallied behind me as well as they did.” - Tyson Bagent after their win against the Raiders in their last game.
“We just didn't get any rhythm in the second half. In the first half I thought we were aggressive. In the second half, we kept stalling out.” - Brandon Staley after his team’s loss against the Chiefs in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Chicago Bears
WR Moore, DJ
WR Scott, Tyler
WR Mooney, Darnell
TE Kmet, Cole
QB Fields, Justin
RB Johnson, Roschon
FB Blasingame, Khari
Los Angeles Chargers
WR Johnston, Quentin
WR Palmer, Joshua
WR ALLEN, KEENAN
TE Everett, Gerald
QB Herbert, Justin
RB Ekeler, Austin
Statistical Leaders
Chicago Bears
Passing: J. Fields (1201)
Rushing: K. Herbert (272)
Receiving: D. Moore (636)
Touchdowns: D. Moore (5)
Los Angeles Chargers
Passing: J. Herbert (1592)
Rushing: J. Kelley (284)
Receiving: K. Allen (574)
Touchdowns: K. Allen (4)
Coaches:
Chicago Bears: Matt Eberflus (2nd season)
Los Angeles Chargers: Brandon Staley (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
