by James Q
Tuesday, Oct 05, 2021Chicago Bears vs Las Vegas Raiders Picks and Preview - 10/10/2021
Game Time: 4:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 10th, 2021
Venue: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, Nevada
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening MLB Odds at USA Sportsbooks
BetMGM: Spread: Raiders -5.5; Over/Under: 44.5 points
Caesars: Spread: Raiders -5.5; Over/Under: 44.5 points
FanDuel: Spread: Raiders -5.5; OverUnder: 45 points
Season Record
Bears: 2-2 (NFC North)
Raiders: 3-1 (AFC West)
The Bears are a very surprising 2-2. If all this quarterback drama was to happen to just about any other team they would be under .500, but the Bears have a strong defense and got to play the Detroit Lions in Week 4. Who is the quarterback BTW? Is it rookie Justin Field? The elderly, ginger, veteran Andy Dalton? Is Mitch Trubisky really gone? What team does Matthew Stafford play for?... can we get him? With the NFl season still in its infancy and the postseason a long way off... these questions and more will plague the Bears and Matt Nagy until it is over or they settle on Nick Foles.
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Chicago Bears vs Las Vegas Raiders Preview and Analysis
RECENT FORM
The Chicago Bears lost game 1 to the Los Angeles Rams 34-14. Game 2 brought a surprise win over Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati Bengals 20-17. Bears interim quarterback Andy Dalton got hurt in that game forcing the Bears to start their real quarterback Justin Fields in game 3. Game 3 was an absolute disaster of a loss to the Cleveland Browns. Justin Fields had the worst day in recent quarterback history. He was sacked 9 times (that's a lot of sacks!) and threw interceptions and generally looked confused. Coach Matt Nagy had neglected to prepare Justin Fields for actual playtime. Matt was focused on keeping his job by starting Andy Dalton, is the story the media tells. Game 4 was a lucky break with the Detroit Lions on the schedule (as it is for every team with the Lions on the schedule) that led to a win 24-14.
The Oakland Raiders began playing in Las Vegas last season when no fans were allowed to attend games because of an odd virus emergency that swept the nation. This season the Las Vegas Raiders opened the season with a win over Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens 33-27. Game 2 brought another win over dinosaur Ben Rothelisberger and the Pittsburgh Steelers 26-17. Game 3 the Raiders really started to roll with a win over the Miami Dolphins 31-28. Derek Carr was riding high with MVP whispers starting to creep into social media mentions (better than the sports press these days) as his play seemed flawless. Game 4 was an odd duck as the former Los Angeles Raiders... who moved to Oakland... who then moved to Las Vegas visited Los Angeles and met an actual MVP candidate in Justin Herbert and his Los Angeles Chargers who had recently moved to Los Angeles from San Diego. The Chargers spanked the Raiders 28-14.
Look out Vegas, Khalil Mack is making a return of sorts to rip the head off the team that traded him instead of paying him.
Offensive Analysis
The Chicago Bears are struggling mightily on offense. They are only scoring 16 points per game. That is last place. It’s 2 points less than the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Bears offense is only gaining 237 yards per matchup. The QB position is a toss up either Justin Fields or Andy Dalton could play depending on health. RB David Montgomery is pulling down 77 yards rushing per game. WR Darnell Mooney has 17 receptions with help from Allen Robinson II and TE Cole Kmet.
The Las Vegas Raiders are cooking in the Nevada sun. QB Derek Carr is 109-170 for a 64.1% completion percentage 8 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. He has been sacked 12 times because his line is inconsistent… or maybe he holds the ball too long. RB Peyton Barber nets a slim 47 yards per game, because this is a passing team. WR Henry Ruggs III leads the team in receiving but TE Darren Waller and WR Hunter Renfrow are only a few yards behind him.
Defensive Analysis
The Bears defense gives up 22.8 points per game and 380.3 yards per game. The numbers would be worse if it wasn’t for the woeful Lions.
The Raiders defense gave up 21 points in the first half of a Monday Night Football game they would like to forget. In general they are giving up 25 points per game and allowing 374 yards per.
Bears vs Raiders Prediction
Our prediction for Sunday October 10th is… Raiders 25 - Bears 13
The Raiders will win the game and ATS… I would steer clear of the O/U in Bears games until Matt Nagy is fired and the team decides on a clear direction. That isn’t an endorsement for the Under either as the Bears D will give up at some point if the Offense isn’t pitching in for a lame duck coach and GM.
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NFL Betting Trends
Chicago is 3-10 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 - 9.5 points, the last 3 seasons.
Chicago is 3-8 ATS off a division game, the last 3 seasons.
The Raiders are 0-5 ATS as a favorite 0f 3.5 - 9.5 PTS, last 3 seasons
The Raiders are 3-8 ATS as a favorite, the last 3 seasons.
Key Injuries
Bears: RB David Montgomery (knee) Out indefinitely * QB Andy Dalton (knee) Questionable
Raiders: CB Damon Arnette (groin) Questionable * CB Trayvon Mullen (foot) Questionable.
Players to Watch
Bears: Whoever is the quarterback. We have to watch that person closely so we know how to complain about Matt Nagy later.
Vegas: Derek Carr. Last Raider week aside, Derek is really playing like a possible MVP. He’ll need to complete drives and avoid takeaways to keep his case alive.
Starting Lineups
Bears: QB Andy Dalton/Justin Fields?, RB David Montgomery?, WR Allen Robinson, WR Darnell Mooney, WR Marquise Goodman, TE Cole Kmet
Raiders: QB Derek Carr, RB Josh Jacobs, WR Henry Ruggs III, WR Bryan Edwards, WR Hunter Renfrow, Te Darren Waller, FB Alec Ingold.
Statistical Leaders
Bears
Passing: Justin Fields 347 yards
Rushing: David Montgomery 309 yards
Receiving: Darnell Mooney 226 yards
Tackles: Roquan Smith 40
Interceptions: Angelo Blackson 1
Raiders:
Passing: Derek Carr 1,399 yards
Rushing: Peyton Barber 143 yards
Receiving: Henry Ruggs III 297 yards
Tackles: Denzel Perryman 48
Interceptions: Trayvon Mullen Jr
Weather Forecast
Sunny. 80*. Humidity 19%. Wind 6 mph. Always bet on black.
James Q
About the Author:
James Q. has been involved with sports and gambling his entire life. A former division 1 scholarship basketball player, James understands sports (and especially basketball) inside-and-out. Following his basketball playing days, James parlayed his gambling skills into a semi-pro poker career. James resides in Los Angeles, and especially loves the Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Rams, and Los Angeles Dodgers. And when he isn't betting on sports (and writing about it), James can be found performing stand-up comedy on the Sunset Strip.
