Chicago Bears vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/24/2023

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Sep 21, 2023
Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, September 24, 2023
Venue:  GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Where to Watch:  FOX


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Bears +12.5, Chiefs -12.5; Over/Under:  47.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Bears +13, Chiefs -13; Over/Under:  48 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Bears +13, Chiefs -13; Over/Under:  48 points

Season Record

Chicago Bears:  0-2 (4th place, NFC North)
Kansas City Chiefs:  1-1 (2nd place, AFC West)

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Recent Form
Chicago Bears:  lost their last game on the road against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 27-17.
Kansas City Chiefs:  won their last game on the road against the Jacksonville Jaguars 17-9.


Chicago Bears vs Kansas City Chiefs Preview and Analysis


The Bears are entering this game with a 0-2 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-1 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 27-17. Justin Fields was the starting QB and he completed 16/29 passes for 211 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Khalil Herbert led the team in rushing yards with 35. D. J. Moore led the receivers with 104 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Tremaine Edmunds led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 7 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. No one on the defense came away with an interception in that game.
 
 
 
The Chiefs are entering this game with a 1-1 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-1 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Jacksonville Jaguars 17-9. Patrick Mahomes was the starting QB and he completed 29/41 passes for 305 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Isiah Pacheco led the team in rushing yards with 70. Skyy Moore led the receivers with 70 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. L'Jarius Sneed led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while George Karlaftis and Chris Jones each led the defense in sacks with 1.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception in that game.


Bears vs Chiefs Prediction

The current betting odds have the Bears listed as a 12.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bears are 0-2 this season and have looked terrible in their 2 games. Their defense is bad and their offense still needs a lot of work but they do have some weapons to use and will be looking for a much closer game now that they have 2 under their belt. The Chiefs are 1-1 this season but they haven't looked that great in their games either. They lost at home to the Lions in a game where their offense had many problems and they struggled on offense again in their win last week as they only scored 17 points in the game. They also have a lot of their weapons on offense, mainly the receiving game, banged up for this one so this offense is already taking another big hit when it hasn't really looked that great. The Bears aren't good enough to go into Kansas City and win this game but the Chiefs offense is not going to roll right over them with the way they have been playing and the Bears can definitely keep this close enough to cover. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bears to cover the spread in this game. 

Bears Chiefs Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, September 24, 2023 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Chiefs 24 Bears 16.
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NFL Betting Trends


Chicago Bears: 11-24 ATS in all games. 8-21 ATS as an underdog. 36-63 ATS in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 16-6 UNDER as a road underdog of 10.5 to 14 points. 24-9 UNDER against AFC West division opponents.

Kansas City Chiefs: 30-19 ATS in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points. 9-3 ATS in non-conference games. 15-5 UNDER as a home favorite of 10.5 to 14 points. 13-7 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5. 

Key Injuries


Chicago Bears:  L. Patrick (OL) Ques Sun - Illness. B. Jones (OL) Out indefinitely - Neck. J. Blackwell (DB) Ques Sun - Hamstring. N. Davis (OL) Ques Sun - Personal. D. Mooney (WR) Ques Sun - Knee. E. Jackson (DB) Ques Sun - Foot. K. Gordon (DB) Out indefinitely - Hand. D. Kramer (OL) Out indefinitely - Hand. T. Jenkins (OL) Out indefinitely - Leg.

Kansas City Chiefs:  K. Toney (WR) Ques Sun - Toe. I. Pacheco (RB) Ques Sun - Hamstring. B. Thompson (DE) Ques Sun - Hamstring. N. Jones (CB) Ques Sun - Hand. J. Fortson (TE) I-R - Shoulder. C. Omenihu (DE) Elig Week 7 - Suspension. N. Johnson (S) I-R - Knee.

Notable Quotes


“Disappointing loss. The guys battled to the end. We had a chance.” - Matt Eberflus after his team’s loss against the Bucs in their last game. 


“Too many procedure penalties, turnovers. We’ll get that taken care of.” - Andy Reid after his team’s win against the Jags in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Chicago Bears
WR Moore, DJ 
WR Claypool, Chase 
WR Mooney, Darnell 
TE Kmet, Cole 
QB Fields, Justin 
RB Herbert, Khalil 
FB Blasingame, Khari 

Kansas City Chiefs
WR Valdes-Scantling, Marquez  
WR Toney, Kadarius  
WR Moore, Skyy 
TE KELCE, TRAVIS 
QB Mahomes, Patrick 
RB Pacheco, Isiah

Statistical Leaders


Chicago Bears
Passing: J. Fields (427)
Rushing: J. Fields (62)
Receiving: D. Mooney (129)
Touchdowns: D. Mooney (1)

Kansas City Chiefs
Passing: P. Mahomes (531)
Rushing: I. Pacheco (93)
Receiving: J. Watson (107)
Touchdowns: R. Rice (1)

Coaches:
Chicago Bears: Matt Eberflus (2nd season)
Kansas City Chiefs: Andy Reid (11th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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