Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/12/2021

Game Time: 8:20 pm ET, Sunday, December 12, 2021

Venue:  Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI 

Where to Watch:  NBC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Bears +11.5, Packers -11.5; Over/Under:  44 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Bears +12.5, Packers -12.5; Over/Under:  44 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Bears +12.5, Packers -12.5; Over/Under:  44.5 points

 

Chicago Bears:  4-8 (3rd place, NFC North)

Green Bay Packers:  9-3 (1st place, NFC North)

 

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Chicago Bears:  lost at home on Dec. 5 against the Arizona Cardinals 33-22.

Green Bay Packers:  won at home on Dec. 5 against the LA Rams 36-28.

 

 

 

The Bears are coming into this game with a 4-8 record overall and they are 2-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 4th divisional matchup of the year and they are currently 2-1 in their division games this season. Their 1 divisional loss came against the Packers weeks ago as they lost at home 24-14. They have lost 6 of their last 7 games and are coming into this one off of another loss in their last game. Their last win was against the Detroit Lions while their losses in that span came against the Packers, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, the San Francisco 49ers, the Pittsburgh Steelers, the Baltimore Ravens, and the Arizona Cardinals in their last game. Andy Dalton completed 26/41 passes for 229 yards, 2 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. David Montgomery led the team in rushing with 90 yards and 1 touchdown on 21 carries. Jakeem Grant led the receivers with 62 yards and 1 touchdown on 5 receptions while Montgomery led the team in receptions with 8 for 51 yards. Jimmy Graham also caught 1 TD in that one as well. Artie Burns led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles. No one on the defense was able to record a sack or an interception in that game for them. They have scored 201 points in their 12 games this season averaging 16.8 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 287 points against them allowing 23.9 PPG. Their offense is averaging 298.8 YPG while their defense is allowing 327.9 YPG.

 

 

The Packers are coming into this game with a 9-3 record overall and they are 5-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 4th divisional matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 2-1 in their division games this season. They played the Bears earlier this season and won that game on the road 24-14. They have won 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this game out of their bye week and off of a win in their last game. Their last loss was against the Minnesota Vikings while their 2 wins in that span came against the Seattle Seahawks and the Los Angeles Rams in their last game. Aaron Rodgers completed 28/45 passes for 307 yards and 2 touchdowns. AJ Dillon led the team in rushing with 69 yards on 20 carries while Rodgers ran in 1 TD himself. Davante Adams had a nice day as he led the receivers with 104 yards on 8 receptions while Randall Cobb was right behind with 95 yards and 1 touchdown on 4 receptions. Dillon caught the other touchdown pass in that one. Krys Barnes led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones. Kenny Clark and Rashan Gary both had the only sacks in that game for them with 1 each while Rasul Douglas came up with the only interception for them in that one. They have scored 283 points in their 12 games this season averaging 23.6 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 242 points against them allowing 20.2 PPG. Their offense is averaging 355 YPG while their defense is allowing 321.7 YPG.

 

 

The Bears are coming into this game as an 11.5 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Packers have been playing well this season but they have not been scoring a lot of points or blowing out their opponents in their games. The Bears have been playing very badly recently but they have also been staying around in their games and not getting blown out or they are coming back late in games and cutting down some of their opponents lead. This is a divisional game so both teams are going to fight hard here especially since both are 2-1 and the division in still up for grabs. The Packers did not win their last meeting by this many points and it is usually a lot tougher to beat a team the 2nd time around in a season. This game is going to be closer than the spread suggests so the  best bet to place in this game is on the Bears to cover the spread here.

 

Bears Packers Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 12, 2021 (8:20 pm ET start time) is Packers 27 Bears 20.

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Chicago Bears: 35-59 ATS in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 1-6 ATS against conference opponents. 3-12 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games. 1-6 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. 10-22 ATS after the first month of the season.

Green Bay Packers: 10-2 ATS in all games. 216-152 ATS in games played on a grass field. 16-3 ATS after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 4 straight games. 8-1 ATS after scoring 35 points or more last game. 8-0 ATS after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored. 8-1 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 7-1 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins.

 

 

Chicago Bears:  M. Goodwin (WR) day-to-day - Shoulder injury. K. Mack (LB) I-R - Foot injury. A. Hicks (DL) day-to-day - Ankle injury. J. Fields (QB) day-to-day - Ribs injury.

Green Bay Packers:  R. Cobb (WR) Ques Week 14 - Groin injury. J. Alexander (CB) Out indefinitely - Shoulder injury. R. Tonyan (TE) I-R - Knee injury. D. Bakhtiari (T) Ques Week 14 - Knee injury.

 

 

"They understand that it's OK to be upset, it's OK to be frustrated after a game, there's a lot of emotions. We all want to play better and coach better, they know that. But it is, in these times, you wanna make sure that these guys are understanding that it's our job, our obligation, to make sure we give it everything we got." - Matt Nagy on his team’s loss against the Cardinals in their last game.

 

 

"When I step on the field, I expect greatness. Anyone who's a great competitor feels the same way. I don't lean on excuses: not practicing, a little toe injury." - Aaron Rodgers on their win against the Rams in their last game before their bye week.

 

 

 

WR Robinson, Allen 

WR Mooney, Darnell 

WR GOODWIN, MARQUISE 

TE Kmet, Cole 

TE GRAHAM, JIMMY 

QB Fields, Justin 

RB Montgomery, David 

 

WR Adams, Davante 

WR Valdes-Scantling, Marquez 

TE LEWIS, MARCEDES 

TE Davis, Tyler

QB RODGERS, AARON 

RB Aaron Jones 

FB Deguara, Josiah 

 

 

Passing: J. Fields (1361)

Rushing: D. Montgomery (566)

Receiving: D. Mooney (721)

Touchdowns: D. Montgomery (4)

 

Passing: A. Rodgers (2878)

Rushing: A. Jones (564)

Receiving: D. Adams (1083)

Touchdowns: A. Jones (7)

 

Coaches:

Chicago Bears: Matt Nagy (4th season)

Green Bay Packers: Matt LaFleur (3rd season)