by Rod Pearson
Friday, Dec 05, 2025
Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, December 7, 2025
Venue: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Bears +6.5, Packers -6.5; Over/Under: 44.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Bears +6.5, Packers -6.5; Over/Under: 44.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Bears +6.5, Packers -6.5; Over/Under: 44.5 points
Season Record
Chicago Bears: 9-3 (1st place, NFC North)
Green Bay Packers: 8-3-1 (2nd place, NFC North)
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Recent Form
Chicago Bears: won their last game on the road against the Philadelphia Eagles 24-15.
Green Bay Packers: won their last game on the road against the Detroit Lions 31-24.
Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers Preview and Analysis
The Bears are entering this game with a 9-3 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 5-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Philadelphia Eagles 24-15. Caleb Williams was the starting QB and he completed 17/36 passes for 154 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Kyle Monangai led the team in rushing yards with 130 and 1 TD. Cole Kmet led the receivers with 36 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Jaquan Brisker led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. Kevin Byard III came away with the only interception for them in that one.
The Packers are entering this game with an 8-3-1 record overall and they have a 3-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-2 in their home games, 4-1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Detroit Lions 31-24. Jordan Love was the starting QB and he completed 18/30 passes for 234 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Josh Jacobs led the team in rushing yards with 83. Dontayvion Wicks led the receivers with 94 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 2 TDs. Isaiah McDuffie led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Micah Parsons led the defense in sacks with 2.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Bears vs Packers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Bears listed as a 6.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bears have looked great in their games this season with their 9-3 record overall which has them right at the top of the NFC North with one of the best records in the NFL. They have been a really good road team too with their 5-2 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Packers have looked really good in their games this season with their 8-3-1 record overall which has them right near the top of the NFC North. They have looked good on their home field too with their 4-2 home record this year. The Packers have looked a lot better lately as they have been starting to roll in their games now. They are off a 31-24 win over the Lions in their last one and their defense hasn't been giving up many points lately. As good as they have looked lately, their offense has still been really up and down this season and they have had some questionable losses against much worse teams. The Bears have turned a lot around this season with Ben Johnson changing things for the better in Chicago. They have also been rolling in their games lately, and they are entering this game with a ton of momentum on their side as they are off a 24-15 road win over the Eagles. The Bears have proven that they can compete with the best in the league and they are going to bring their best effort for this very important divisional game between rivals. The Bears can take advantage of those inconsistencies that the Packers have on offense and they will be able to keep this a tight game with how good they have looked on the field lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bears to cover the spread in this game.
Bears Packers Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 7, 2025 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Packers 23 Bears 20.
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NFL Betting Trends
Chicago Bears: 9-4 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 4-1 ATS off an upset win as a road underdog. 10-4 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 10-5 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record. 11-6 UNDER as a road underdog of 7 points or less.
Green Bay Packers: 5-9 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 3-6 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 7 or more passing yards/att. 2-8 ATS vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game. 15-6 UNDER in home games. 10-4 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points.
Key Injuries
Chicago Bears: J. Thuney (OG) Injured - NIR - Rest. A. Billings (DL) Injured - Concussion. D. Robinson (DL) Injured - Concussion. J. Johnson (CB) Injured - Groin. T. Edwards (LB) Injured - Hand. T. Stevenson (CB) Injured - Hip. N. Sewell (LB) Injured - Elbow. R. Odunze (WR) Injured - Foot. K. Monangai (RB) Injured - Ankle. R. Hyppolite II (LB) Injured - Shoulder.
Green Bay Packers: J. Jacobs (RB) Injured - Knee. N. Hobbs (CB) Injured - Knee. J. Love (QB) Injured - Shoulder. Z. Tom (OG) Injured - Back. B. Cox Jr. (DL) Injured - Groin. Q. Walker (LB) Injured - Neck. D. Wyatt (DL) Injured - Ankle. K. Brooks (DL) Injured - Ankle. J. Reed (WR) Injured - Foot. D. Wicks (WR) Injured - Ankle. L. Van Ness (DL) Injured - Foot. M. Lloyd (RB) Injured - Calf. E. Cooper (LB) Injured - Shoulder. J. Bullard (S) Injured - Ankle. C. Oliver (DL) Injured - Hamstring. S. Williams (WR) Injured - Foot. B. Sorrell (DL) Injured - Ankle. M. Golden (WR) Injured - Wrist.
Notable Quotes
“They have a lot of belief in what we’re doing. They have a lot of belief in themselves. They have a lot of belief in this coaching staff. And so that confidence just starts to develop and continues to bubble over.” - Ben Johnson after his team’s win against the Eagles in their last game.
“I’d rather go down swinging. It can bite you, absolutely.” - Matt LaFleur after his team’s win against the Lions in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Chicago Bears
WR Odunze, Rome
WR Moore, DJ
WR Burden III, Luther
TE Kmet, Cole
QB Williams, Caleb
RB Monangai, Kyle
Green Bay Packers
WR Watson, Christian
WR Doubs, Romeo
WR Wicks, Dontayvion
TE FitzPatrick, John
QB Love, Jordan
RB Jacobs, Josh
Statistical Leaders
Chicago Bears
Passing: Caleb Williams (2,722)
Rushing: D'Andre Swift (774)
Receiving: Rome Odunze (661)
Touchdowns: Rome Odunze (6)
Green Bay Packers
Passing: Jordan Love (2,794)
Rushing: Josh Jacobs (731)
Receiving: Romeo Doubs (542)
Touchdowns: Josh Jacobs (11)
Coaches:
Chicago Bears: Ben Johnson (1st season)
Green Bay Packers: Matt LaFleur (7th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
