by Rod Pearson
Monday, Nov 25, 2024
Game Time: 12:30 pm ET, Thursday, November 28, 2024
Venue: Ford Field, Detroit, MI
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Bears +10.5, Lions -10.5; Over/Under: 48.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Bears +10.5, Lions -10.5; Over/Under: 48.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Bears +10.5, Lions -10.5; Over/Under: 48.5 points
Season Record
Chicago Bears: 4-7 (4th place, NFC North)
Detroit Lions: 10-1 (1st place, NFC North)
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Recent Form
Chicago Bears: lost their last game at home against the Minnesota Vikings 30-27 in overtime.
Detroit Lions: won their last game on the road against the Indianapolis Colts 24-6.
Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions Preview and Analysis
The Bears are entering this game with a 4-7 record overall and they have a 0-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-3 in their home games, 0-4 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Minnesota Vikings 30-27 in OT. Caleb Williams was the starting QB and he completed 32/47 passes for 340 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Caleb Williams led the team in rushing yards with 33. D. J. Moore led the receivers with 106 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Kevin Byard III led the defense in that game with 11 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while DeMarcus Walker, Montez Sweat, and Jacob Martin each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Lions are entering this game with a 10-1 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 6-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Indianapolis Colts 24-6. Jared Goff was the starting QB and he completed 26/36 passes for 269 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jahmyr Gibbs led the team in rushing yards with 90 and 2 TDs. Jameson Williams led the receivers with 64 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Malcolm Rodriguez led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Bears vs Lions Prediction
The current betting odds have the Lions listed as a 10.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Lions have looked great in their games this season with their 10-1 record overall which has them right at the top of the NFC North with the best record in the entire NFL. They already have 2 wins in the division against the Vikings and the Packers, and both of those wins were on the road too. Now they are getting the only team in the NFC North that is below .500 at home and the Lions have been rolling a lot of bad teams this season so don't expect them to take their foot off the gas against a division rival when they have a chance to put on a show at home on Thanksgiving. Meanwhile, the Bears haven't looked good in their games this season with their 4-7 record overall which has them at the bottom of the NFC North and out of the playoff race too. They started the season hot with Caleb Williams looking decent in his home games, but the wheels started to fall off this team after their trip to London and they haven't been the same since. They looked better last week in their OT loss to the Vikings after they fired their OC during the week, but Williams still hasn't looked great in his rookie season and the defense can only do so much to keep them in games as they have been doing it all year. The Lions have many ways to beat this Bears defense and the Bears offense won't be able to keep up with the talent on the Lions. The best way to place a bet here is on the Lions to cover the spread in this game.
Bears Lions Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Thursday, November 28, 2024 (12:30 pm ET start time) is Lions 34 Bears 10.
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NFL Betting Trends
Chicago Bears: 6-14 ATS as a road underdog. 4-8 ATS in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 1-5 ATS after a 2 game home stand. 6-3 OVER as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points. 8-3 OVER off a home loss. 10-3 OVER after a loss by 6 or less points.
Detroit Lions: 35-13 ATS in all games. 22-9 ATS as a favorite. 20-9 ATS in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 11-3 ATS versus division opponents. 13-6 OVER as a home favorite. 12-2 OVER in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 9-5 OVER versus division opponents.
Key Injuries
Chicago Bears: K. Allen (WR) Questionable - Ankle. M. Lewis (TE) Injured - NIR - Rest. D. Swift (RB) Questionable - Groin. R. Bates (OL) Out - Concussion. E. Hicks (DB) Out - Ankle. T. Jenkins (OL) Injured - Ankle. K. Amegadjie (OL) Questionable - Calf.
Detroit Lions: T. Arnold (CB) Out - Groin. E. Rakestraw (CB) Out - Hamstring. S. Zylstra (TE) Injured - Neck. C. Davis (CB) Injured - Thumb. S. LaPorta (TE) Injured - Shoulder. E. Moseley (CB) Questionable - Pectoral. A. Robinson (WR) Injured - Concussion.
Notable Quotes
“He’s growing in front of our eyes. Today was a really good growth for him to be able to go out there and execute the way he did with a 103 passer rating and be able to get those drives going at the end to put us in position to win the game.” - Matt Eberflus after his team’s loss against the Vikings in their last game.
“This is, whatever it is, 10 quarters without allowing a touchdown and the three last games in the second half we're not allowing it. We talk about it all the time — limiting points, play physical style, shut down the run — we were able to do that.” - Dan Campbell after his team’s win against the Colts in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Chicago Bears
WR Moore, DJ
WR Odunze, Rome
WR Allen, Keenan
TE Kmet, Cole
QB Williams, Caleb
RB Swift, D'Andre
Detroit Lions
WR Patrick, Tim
WR Williams, Jameson
WR St. Brown, Amon-Ra
TE LaPorta, Sam
QB Goff, Jared
RB Gibbs, Jahmyr
Statistical Leaders
Chicago Bears
Passing: C. Williams (2356)
Rushing: D. Swift (665)
Receiving: D. Moore (566)
Touchdowns: R. Johnson (6)
Detroit Lions
Passing: J. Goff (2761)
Rushing: J. Gibbs (886)
Receiving: A. St. Brown (747)
Touchdowns: D. Montgomery (11)
Coaches:
Chicago Bears: Matt Eberflus (3rd season)
Detroit Lions: Dan Campbell (4th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
