by Rod Pearson
Monday, Nov 13, 2023
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 19, 2023
Venue: Ford Field, Detroit, MI
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Bears +9.5, Lions -9.5; Over/Under: 47 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Bears +9.5, Lions -9.5; Over/Under: 47 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Bears +9.5, Lions -9.5; Over/Under: 46.5 points
Season Record
Chicago Bears: 3-7 (4th place, NFC North)
Detroit Lions: 7-2 (1st place, NFC North)
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Recent Form
Chicago Bears: won their last game at home against the Carolina Panthers 16-13.
Detroit Lions: won their last game on the road against the Los Angeles Chargers 41-38.
Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions Preview and Analysis
The Bears are entering this game with a 3-7 record overall and they have a 0-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-3 in their home games, 1-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Carolina Panthers 16-13. Tyson Bagent was the starting QB and he completed 20/33 passes for 162 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. D'Onta Foreman led the team in rushing yards with 80 and 1 TD. D. J. Moore led the receivers with 58 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Kyler Gordon led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Justin Jones, Yannick Ngakoue, and Rasheem Green each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
The Lions are entering this game with a 7-2 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 4-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the LA Chargers 41-38. Jared Goff was the starting QB and he completed 23/33 passes for 333 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. David Montgomery led the team in rushing yards with 116 and 1 TD. Amon-Ra St. Brown led the receivers with 156 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 1 TD. Kerby Joseph led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. Kerby Joseph came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Bears vs Lions Prediction
The current betting odds have the Lions listed as a 9.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Lions have looked really good this season with their 7-2 record overall and they just came out of their bye with another road win against the Chargers. The Lions have been rolling teams at home all season too as their defense hasn't been giving up many points there. Meanwhile, the Bears are only 3-7 overall and they haven't looked terrible with Bagent starting but they also won both of their games at home with him. The 2 road games he started in this offense were both games they lost, including a blowout loss against the Chargers in one of those. They also barely scraped by the Panthers at home in their last game and the Panthers are the worst team in the NFL this season. The Bears don't have much of a chance here on the road against a team like the Lions with the way they have been playing at home lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Lions to cover the spread in this game.
Bears Lions Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 19, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Lions 31 Bears 13.
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NFL Betting Trends
Chicago Bears: 14-27 ATS in all games. 11-24 ATS as an underdog. 7-15 ATS in road games. 2-12 ATS versus division opponents. 5-1 UNDER off a home win. 10-4 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread.
Detroit Lions: 30-13 ATS in all games. 16-5 ATS in home games. 9-3 ATS as a favorite. 11-2 ATS versus division opponents. 19-10 UNDER after scoring and allowing 30 pts or more last game. 6-1 UNDER after gaining 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game.
Key Injuries
Chicago Bears: J. Fields (QB) Late Nov - Thumb K. Herbert (RB) day-to-day - Ankle. T. Smith (DB) day-to-day - Illness. T. Edmunds (LB) day-to-day - Knee. K. Blasingame (FB) day-to-day - Concussion. N. Davis (OL) Out indefinitely - Ankle.
Detroit Lions: L. Onwuzurike (DL) day-to-day - Hip. D. Peoples-Jones (WR) day-to-day - Ribs. H. Vaitai (G) day-to-day - Back. J. Houston (LB) Late Nov - Ankle. S. Daly (LS) Out indefinitely - Knee. E. Moseley (CB) I-R - Knee. Z. Knight (RB) I-R - Shoulder. J. Cabinda (FB) Out indefinitely - Knee. M. Nelson (T) Out indefinitely - Ankle. C. Gardner-Johnson (DB) I-R - Pectoral. N. Sudfeld (QB) I-R - Knee. S. Zylstra (TE) I-R - Knee. H. Hooker (QB) Out indefinitely - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“We’ll see where it is. It’s a big week to make that evaluation, so we’ll see where it is. When Justin’s healthy, he’ll be our starter.” - Matt Eberflus after his team’s win against the Panthers in their last game.
“One of those things we haven’t done a lot of is win the close shootouts. Every time you win and get it done you learn something from it. The offense really showed up today big time.” - Dan Campbell after his team’s win against the LA Chargers in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Chicago Bears
WR Moore, DJ
WR St. Brown, Equanimeous
WR Mooney, Darnell
TE Kmet, Cole
QB Fields, Justin
RB Foreman, D'Onta
FB Blasingame, Khari
Detroit Lions
WR Reynolds, Josh
WR Williams, Jameson
WR St. Brown, Amon-Ra
TE LaPorta, Sam
QB Goff, Jared
RB Montgomery, David
Statistical Leaders
Chicago Bears
Passing: J. Fields (1201)
Rushing: D. Foreman (367)
Receiving: D. Moore (793)
Touchdowns: D. Moore (5)
Detroit Lions
Passing: J. Goff (2507)
Rushing: D. Montgomery (501)
Receiving: A. St. Brown (821)
Touchdowns: D. Montgomery (7)
Coaches:
Chicago Bears: Matt Eberflus (2nd season)
Detroit Lions: Dan Campbell (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
