Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/18/2026

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 18, 2026

Venue:  Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Bears -3, Falcons +3; Over/Under:  49.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Bears -3, Falcons +3; Over/Under:  49.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Bears -3, Falcons +3; Over/Under:  49.5 points

Chicago Bears:  3-2 (4th place, NFC North)

Atlanta Falcons:  2-3 (2nd place, NFC South)

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Chicago Bears:  lost their last game on the road against the Green Bay Packers 31-7.

Atlanta Falcons:  lost their last game at home against the Baltimore Ravens 30-23 in overtime. 

The Bears are entering this game with a 3-2 record overall and they have a 0-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Green Bay Packers 31-7. Tyson Bagent was the starting QB and he completed 12/21 passes for 87 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. D'Andre Swift led the team in rushing yards with 43 and 1 TD. Luther Burden III led the receivers with 47 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Devin Bush led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles while Austin Booker led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

The Falcons are entering this game with a 2-3 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-2 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Baltimore Ravens 30-23 in OT. Michael Penix Jr. was the starting QB and he completed 19/32 passes for 240 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Bijan Robinson led the team in rushing yards with 86. Drake London led the receivers with 118 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Divine Deablo led the defense in that game with 12 solo tackles while Kendal Daniels, Jared Ivey, and Samson Ebukam each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have the Falcons listed as a 3 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Falcons haven't looked great in their games this season with their 2-3 record overall, but that record has them right near the top of the NFC South. They haven't looked good on their home field either with their 0-2 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Bears have looked good in their games this season with their 3-2 record overall, but that record has them right near the bottom of the NFC North. The Bears have been getting by lately without Caleb Williams, but now they are coming off a 31-7 loss to the Packers in their last one and their offense looked terrible. Their offense has been really up and down this season, looking like one of the best offenses in the NFL at times and then getting completely shut down in other games. The defense hasn't looked great either and that was a big issue for them against the Packers. The Falcons have also been really up and down this season, but they have consistently looked good when Penix has played at QB. They are coming off a 30-23 loss to the Ravens in their last one and they lost to a backup QB, but Penix also left the game injured in OT which allowed Tua Tagovailoa to throw the game ending INT. Penix did avoid a serious injury though and could be back for this week and that will make this Falcons offense really hard to stop for this Bears defense. The Falcons have the talent on offense to go toe-to-toe with the Bears if Caleb Williams is back and the Falcons also have the much better defense to be the deciding factor in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Falcons to cover the spread in this game. 

Bears Falcons Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 18, 2026 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Falcons 23 Bears 20.

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Chicago Bears: 23-16 ATS in all games. 10-5 ATS as a favorite. 5-0 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%). 10-5 UNDER as a favorite. 7-2 UNDER after allowing 30 points or more last game.

Atlanta Falcons: 6-13 ATS in home games. 44-70 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 7 or more passing yards/att. 43-64 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more. 6-2 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5. 3-0 UNDER off 3 or more consecutive overs.

Chicago Bears:  None.

Atlanta Falcons:  None.

“The things that we had done well in the three victories that we had this year, they didn’t show up today. We didn’t take care of the football — five turnovers on offense. We didn’t execute at a very high level in the run game or the passing game. Defensively, we let the ball over our head too many times.” - Ben Johnson after his team’s loss against the Packers in their last game. 

“We didn't do enough to win the game.” - Kevin Stefanski after his team’s loss against the Ravens in their last game. 

WR Odunze, Rome

WR Burden III, Luther

WR Raymond, Kalif

TE Loveland, Colston

QB Bagent, Tyson

RB Swift, D'Andre

WR London, Drake

WR Dotson, Jahan

WR Zaccheaus, Olamide

TE Pitts Sr., Kyle

QB Penix Jr., Michael

RB Robinson, Bijan

Passing: Tyson Bagent (409)

Rushing: D'Andre Swift (354)

Receiving: Rome Odunze (273)

Touchdowns: D'Andre Swift (4)

Passing: Michael Penix Jr. (719)

Rushing: Bijan Robinson (580)

Receiving: Drake London (488)

Touchdowns: Bijan Robinson (5)

Coaches:

Chicago Bears: Ben Johnson (2nd season)

Atlanta Falcons: Kevin Stefanski (1st season)