Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/29/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Friday, October 29, 2021
Venue:  FTX Arena, Miami, FL
Where to Watch:  ESPN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Hornets +6, Heat -6; Over/Under:  NL points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Hornets NL, Heat NL; Over/Under:  NL points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Hornets NL, Heat NL; Over/Under:  NL points
 

Season Record

Charlotte Hornets:  4-1 (1st place, Southeast Division)
Miami Heat:  3-1 (3rd place, Southeast Division)
 
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Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Charlotte Hornets:  4-1 last 5
Miami Heat:  3-1 last 4
 
 
 

Charlotte Hornets Analysis

The Hornets are coming into this game with a 4-1 record overall and they are 3-0 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. Their 1 loss came against the Boston Celtics while their 4 wins came against the Indiana Pacers, the Cleveland Cavaliers, the Brooklyn Nets, and the Orlando Magic in their last game. They won against the Magic in a game that was close all night until they finally pulled away in the fourth quarter. Miles Bridges went off in that game leading his team in points with 31 while Gordon Hayward also had a pretty good game with 24 points. Hayward along with Cody Martin from the bench both led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Mason Plumlee led the team in rebounds with 10. Their offense is averaging 121.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116 PPG against them. The Hornets opened as a 6.5 point favorite in their last game with that line closing around 5.5 points while the point total opened at 220.5 points and closed around 221. The Hornets covered the spread in that game winning it by 9 points while the game went over the total with 231 total points. 
 
 

Miami Heat Analysis

The Heat are coming into this game with a 3-1 record overall and they are 2-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. Their 1 loss came against the Indiana Pacers while their 3 wins came against the Milwaukee Bucks, the Orlando Magic, and the Brooklyn Nets in their last game. They took a big lead in the first quarter of that game against the Nets but found themselves trailing at halftime after a bad second quarter. The Heat dominated in the second half of that game though taking the lead back and never giving it back after that point. Bam Adebayo had a great game leading the team in points with 24 in that game while Jimmy Butler was next on the team with 17 points but there were a lot of different players getting involved in the offense that night. Kyle Lowry led the team in assists with 9 in that game while Butler led the team in rebounds with 14. Their offense is averaging 110.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 95 PPG against them. The Heat opened as a 5 point underdog in their last game with that line closing around 4 while the point total opened at 222.5 points and closed around 217. The Heat covered the spread in that game and they won it straight up on the moneyline as a +155 underdog while the game stayed under the total with 199 total points.
 
 

 

Hornets vs Heat Prediction

The Hornets are coming into this game as a 6 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Hornets have a very good team this year and one of the best records in the NBA right now. The Heat are coming off of a huge win against the Nets that they were likely focused on heavily as the Hornets need to do more to earn the respect they deserve from other teams. This will be a bit of a let down for the Heat after that win and the Hornets will use this game as a statement game to show they mean business this year. The best bet to place in this game is on the Hornets to cover the spread here as they have a very good chance at taking the win in this game.
 
Hornets Heat Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, October 29, 2021 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Hornets 105 Heat 101.
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NBA Betting Trends

 
Charlotte Hornets: 265-275 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 659-683 ATS 659-683. 436-465 ATS as an underdog. 278-296 ATS as a road underdog. 334-341 ATS in road games. 122-142 ATS after a division game.
Miami Heat: 429-419 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 1096-1072 ATS in all games. 669-656 ATS as a favorite. 562-538 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders. 
 

Key Injuries

 
Charlotte Hornets:  P. Washington (PF) Doub Fri - Knee injury. T. Rozier (PG) Ques Fri - Ankle injury.
Miami Heat:  B. Adebayo (C) Prob Fri - Knee injury. K. Lowry (PG) Prob Fri - Elbow injury. U. Haslem (PF) Ques Fri - Flu. V. Oladipo (SG) Early Nov - Quadricep injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"His confidence to make plays is just oozing out of him. You can see the belief in himself right now. He's a very confident kid, and you can just feel his will to lead us to win games." - James Borrego on Miles Bridges after their win against the Magic in their last game.
 
 
"We have a bunch of like-minded guys. (That's) the way those guys are hard-wired." - Erik Spoelstra on his team’s mentality after their win over the Nets in their last game.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Charlotte Hornets
PG    LaMelo Ball
SG    Kelly Oubre Jr.
SF     Gordon Hayward
PF    Miles Bridges
C    Mason Plumlee
 
Miami Heat
PG     Kyle Lowry
SG     Duncan Robinson
SF     Jimmy Butler
PF     P.J. Tucker
C     Bam Adebayo
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Charlotte Hornets
PPG: M. Bridges (26.2)
APG: L. Ball (6)
Reb/G: M. Plumlee (10.2)
 
Miami Heat
PPG: J. Butler (23.3)
APG: K. Lowry (7.7)
Reb/G: B. Adebayo (12.8)
 
Coaches:
Charlotte Hornets: James Borrego (4th season)
Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (14th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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