Championship Game Props: 3 Early Takeaways

by Vegas Writer

Friday, Jan 31, 2025
As we approach Pro FB Championship week, and the hysteria of Radio Row, Media Day, and all the hype that leads to the Big Game, the swarm of propositions hit the boards and bettors wasted no time in getting in on the action 10 days before kickoff.

A quick scan of the throngs of wild offerings brings me to three takeaways worth looking at immediately:

RUN PAT RUN: I'm putting action on Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes to go over 28.5 yards rushing (-110). In 20 career playoff games, Mahomes has rushed for 29 or more 10 times, including 43 against Buffalo in the AFC Championship. And with Philadelphia's defense counting on a vicious front line, I have to believe Mahomes will count on his legs a lot in this game. It's a perfect opportunity for him to use his speed and dual-threat ability in a domed stadium on a fast track.

MAHOMES OVER HURTS: I most certainly like Mahomes -1/2 passing touchdown against Philadelphia quarterback Jalen Hurts. The Eagles' offense has run through Saquon Barkley, and by using their ground-and-pound offense, I have to believe once they get into the end zone we're going to see Barkley with the ball. In eight career playoff games, Hurts has just eight touchdown passes. He's thrown three this postseason, but only one across the NFC Divisional Round and conference championship. Mahomes has at least one passing TD in 18 of his 20 playoff games, and averages 2.15 per postseason contest.

DON'T COUNT ON THE D: Will there be a defensive score? I think no, as the Chiefs and Eagles ranked 25th and 26th, respectively, each with 0.4 defensive points per game, separated by mere decimal points. With Philly likely to rely on Barkley, we have a seasoned running back who doesn't make many mistakes. Hurts will be careful with his approach, staying cautious against the Chiefs' secondary. With Mahomes, he's thrown only eight interceptions in his 20 playoff games.

Chew on those three immediate thoughts for proposition bets, and look for next week's articles derived from The Big East, as I'll have plenty to right about after Media Day and throughout the week, leading up to kickoff.

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