Carolina Hurricanes vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/16/2024

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Mar 15, 2024
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Saturday, March 16, 2024
Venue:  Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON
Where to Watch:  ESPN+


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Hurricanes -110, Leafs -110; Over/Under:  6 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Hurricanes -110, Leafs -110; Over/Under:  6 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Hurricanes -110, Leafs -110; Over/Under:  6 goals

Season Record

Carolina Hurricanes:  40-20-6 (2nd place, Metropolitan Division)
Toronto Maple Leafs:  38-19-8 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)

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Recent Form
Carolina Hurricanes:  6-3-1 last 10
Toronto Maple Leafs:  7-3-0 last 10



Carolina Hurricanes vs Toronto Maple Leafs Preview and Analysis


The Hurricanes are entering this game with 86 points, a 40-20-6 record overall, and they are 18-11-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Florida Panthers in their last game, winning that one at home 4-0. Seth Jarvis, Evgeny Kuznetsov, Martin Nečas, and Andrei Svechnikov each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Jaccob Slavin led the team in assists with 2 while Evgeny Kuznetsov, Dmitry Orlov, and Andrei Svechnikov each led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Frederik Andersen was the starting goalie in that game and he recorded the shutout as he allowed 0 goals on 21 shots with 21 saves and a 1.000 save percentage. Their offense has scored 220 goals this season averaging 3.3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 178 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.


The Maple Leafs are entering this game with 84 points, a 38-19-8 record overall, and they are 18-12-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Philadelphia Flyers in their last game, winning that one on the road 6-2. Tyler Bertuzzi, Pontus Holmberg, Timothy Liljegren, Auston Matthews, William Nylander, and Matthew Knies each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Tyler Bertuzzi, Pontus Holmberg, Timothy Liljegren, Auston Matthews, William Nylander, Connor Dewar, Max Domi, David Kämpf, Ilya Lyubushkin, Jake McCabe, Morgan Rielly, and Ilya Samsonov each led the team in assists with 1 while John Tavares led the team in shots on net in that game with 8. Ilya Samsonov was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 28 shots with 26 saves and a .928 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 237 goals this season averaging 3.6 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 203 goals against them allowing 3.1 goals per game.


Hurricanes vs Maple Leafs Prediction

The current betting odds have the Hurricanes listed as a pick 'em in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Hurricanes have looked really good in their games this season with their 40-20-6 record overall which has them in 2nd place of their division in the East and in a playoff spot right now. They have also looked good in their road games this year with their 18-11-2 road record, despite not being at their best in those games. Meanwhile, the Leafs have also looked good in their games this season with their 38-19-8 record overall which has them in 3rd place of their division in the East and in a playoff spot right now. They are looking to keep their playoff spot over dropping into the Wild Card, but they have been a much worse team on their home ice this season than they have been on the road. They have an 18-12-2 home record this year and have definitely struggled more in those games. They are the hotter team coming into this one with their 7-3-0 record in their last 10 games, but the Hurricanes have almost been just as hot with their 6-3-1 record in their last 10 games. The Hurricanes are also coming off a shutout win against the Panthers in their last one and that win is going to give them a ton of momentum here with the Panthers being one of the best in the NHL right now. The best way to place a bet here is on the Hurricanes to win this game. 

Hurricanes Maple Leafs Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Saturday, March 16, 2024 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Hurricanes 3 Leafs 2.
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NHL Betting Trends


Carolina Hurricanes: 160-96 (+6.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 28-12 (+9 units) on the moneyline off a home blowout win by 3 goals or more. 103-56 (+13.3 units) on the moneyline off a win or tie in their previous game. 8-1 UNDER off a home blowout win by 3 goals or more. 23-16 UNDER off a win or tie in their previous game. 8-4 UNDER after playing 3 consecutive home games.

Toronto Maple Leafs: 150-96 (-19 units) on the moneyline in all games. 55-36 (-12.6 units) on the moneyline revenging a loss versus opponent. 46-38 (-25.2 units) on the moneyline after a 2 game unbeaten streak. 24-15 UNDER revenging a close loss vs opponent of 1 goal or less. 5-3 UNDER after playing 3 consecutive road games.

Key Injuries


Carolina Hurricanes:  J. Drury (C) Ques Sat - Lower Body.

Toronto Maple Leafs:  C. Jarnkrok (C) Out indefinitely - Upper Body. M. Marner (RW) Ques Sat - Ankle. M. Giordano (D) Out indefinitely - Concussion. C. Timmins (D) Late March - Illness. J. Klingberg (D) out for season - Hip. M. Murray (G) out for season - Hip. J. Muzzin (D) out for season - Spine.


Notable Quotes


“If we can get that kind of goaltending or even close to it, it’s a good sign for us.” - Rod Brind’Amour after his team’s win against the Panthers in their game on Thursday.


“We stuck with it, stayed patient and pulled away there toward the end of the third period.” - Auston Matthews after their win against the Flyers in their game on Thursday.


Starting Lineups


Carolina Hurricanes
LW Svechnikov, Andrei
C Aho, Sebastian
RW Teräväinen, Teuvo
LD Slavin, Jaccob
RD Burns, Brent
G Andersen, Frederik

Toronto Maple Leafs
LW Bertuzzi, Tyler
C Matthews, Auston
RW Järnkrok, Calle
LD Brodie, TJ
RD McCabe, Jake
G Samsonov, Ilya

Statistical Leaders


Carolina Hurricanes
Points: S. Aho (68)
Goals: S. Aho (25)
Assists: S. Aho (43)
GAA: F.Andersen (2.19)

Toronto Maple Leafs
Points: W. Nylander (86)
Goals: A. Matthews (55)
Assists: M. Marner (51)
GAA: M. Jones (2.71)

Coaches:
Carolina Hurricanes: Rod Brind'Amour (6th season)
Toronto Maple Leafs: Sheldon Keefe (5th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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