Calgary Flames vs Dallas Stars Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/07/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Friday, May 06, 2022
Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Saturday, May 7, 2022
Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
Where to Watch:  TNT

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Flames -155, Stars +135; Over/Under:  5.5 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Flames -155, Stars +135; Over/Under:  5.5 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Flames -160, Stars +135; Over/Under:  5.5 goals
 

Season Record

Calgary Flames:  50-21-11 (1st place, Pacific Division)
Dallas Stars:  46-30-6 (4th place, Central Division)
 
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Calgary Flames vs Dallas Stars Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Calgary Flames:  6-2-2 last 10
Dallas Stars:  5-4-1 last 10
 
 
 

Calgary Flames Analysis

The Flames are coming into this game finishing the regular season with 111 points, a 50-21-11 record overall, and they were 25-9-7 in their home games this regular season where they will be in this game. They have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game. Their last win was against the Stars in game 1 while their 3 losses in that span were against the Minnesota Wild, the Winnipeg Jets, and the Stars in their last game which was also game 2 of this series. They lost that game at home 2-0. No one scored a goal for them in that one as they were completely shut out. Mikael Backlund led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Jacob Markström was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 22 shots with 21 saves and a .955 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 248 goals this season averaging 3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 254 goals against them allowing 3.1 goals per game. 
 
 

Dallas Stars Analysis

The Stars are coming into this game finishing the regular season with 98 points, a 46-30-6 record overall, and they were 19-20-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. Their last loss was against the Flames in game 1 of this series while their 2 wins in that span came against the Anaheim Ducks in their last game of the season and the Flames in their last game which was also game 2 of this series. They won that game on the road 2-0. Joe Pavelski and Michael Raffl each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Tyler Seguin led the team in shots on net in that game with 3. Jake Oettinger was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 0 goals on 29 shots with 29 saves and a 1.000 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 238 goals this season averaging 2.9 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 246 goals against them allowing 3 goals per game. 
 
 

 

Flames vs Stars Prediction

The Stars are coming into this game as an underdog with the current betting odds. They are coming into these next two games at home with a tied series 1-1 and they played very well in the first two games that were in Calgary. The Stars only lost game 1 by 1 goal in a defensive 1-0 game but they got their revenge in game 2 by handing the Flames a similar loss of 2-0. Both teams have played great on defense and the goalkeepers have been outstanding for both sides so far. The under may have a good look here as the Flames are very physical and the Stars will match that knowing they cannot win this game if it gets out of hand. After that last game and the way the Flames won game 1 though, the momentum has shifted a bit to the Stars and with them being at home here, they have a very good chance of taking a lead in the series here. The Flames have not been able to score goals and if they do not start to get hot soon, the series will slip away from them quickly. This is a perfect spot for the Stars to take a lead here. The best bet in this game is on the Stars to win.
 
Flames Stars Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Saturday, May 7, 2022 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Stars 3 Flames 2.
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NHL Betting Trends

 
Calgary Flames: 22-13 (+8 Units) ML in a road game where the total is 5.5. 33-23 (+4.2 Units) ML after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game. 25-19 UNDER in the first round of the playoffs.
Dallas Stars: 122-113 (-10.2 Units) ML in all games. 40-41 (-12.8 Units) ML after 2 or more consecutive unders. 19-10 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive unders.
 

Key Injuries

 
Calgary Flames:  Monahan (C) out for season - Hip injury.
Dallas Stars:  B. Holtby (G) Mid May - Lower Body injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
“They’re a good defensive team. I thought we had plenty of scoring chances tonight. Their goalie played well. A couple of 2-on-1s, breakaway, thought we did a good job in their own zone, but got to score, got to bear down and put the puck in the net (starting) with myself.” - Johnny Gaudreau after their loss against the Stars in game 2 on Thursday.
 
 
“Not a lot of room out there. There’s not a lot of room for them or us. You’ve got to work for everything you get.” - Rick Bowness after his team’s win against the Flames in game 2 on Thursday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Calgary Flames
LW Gaudreau, Johnny
C Lindholm, Elias
RW Tkachuk, Matthew
LD Hanifin, Noah
RD Andersson, Rasmus
G Markström, Jacob
 
Dallas Stars
LW Robertson, Jason
C Hintz, Roope
RW Pavelski, Joe
LD Suter, Ryan
RD Heiskanen, Miro
G Oettinger, Jake
 

Statistical Leaders


 
Calgary Flames
Points: J. Gaudreau (115)
Goals: M. Tkachuk (42)
Assists: J. Gaudreau (75)
GAA: J. Markstrom (2.22)
 
Dallas Stars
Points: J. Pavelski (81)
Goals: J. Robertson (41)
Assists: J. Pavelski (54)
GAA: J. Oettinger (2.53)
 
Coaches:
Calgary Flames: Darryl Sutter (2nd season)
Dallas Stars: Rick Bowness (3rd season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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