Calgary Flames vs Dallas Stars Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/06/2025

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Thursday, March 6, 2025

Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX

Where to Watch:  ESPN+

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Flames +195, Stars -238; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Flames +195, Stars -240; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Flames +195, Stars -240; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Calgary Flames:  29-23-9 (4th place, Pacific Division)

Dallas Stars:  40-19-2 (2nd place, Central Division)

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Calgary Flames:  4-4-2 last 10

Dallas Stars:  7-2-1 last 10

The Flames are entering this game with 67 points, a 29-23-9 record overall, and they are 12-13-5 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Philadelphia Flyers in their last game, winning that one on the road 6-3. Connor Zary led the team in goals scored with 2 while Nazem Kadri, MacKenzie Weegar, Matt Coronato, and Yegor Sharangovich each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Morgan Frost and Jonathan Huberdeau each led the team in assists with 2 while Blake Coleman led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Dustin Wolf was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 29 shots with 26 saves and a .896 save percentage. Their offense has scored 161 goals this season averaging 2.6 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 179 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.

The Stars are entering this game with 82 points, a 40-19-2 record overall, and they are 23-7-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the New Jersey Devils in their last game, winning that one at home 4-3. Roope Hintz, Thomas Harley, Wyatt Johnston, and Ilya Lyubushkin each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Roope Hintz and Jason Robertson each led the team in assists with 2 while Roope Hintz led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Casey DeSmith was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 28 shots with 25 saves and a .893 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 210 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 158 goals against them allowing 2.6 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Stars listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Stars have looked great in their games this season with their 40-19-2 record overall which has them in 2nd place of their division in the West with one of the best records in the entire NHL. They have also looked great on home ice this year with their 23-7-1 home record. Meanwhile, the Flames have looked good in their games this season with their 29-23-9 record overall which has them in 4th place of their division in the West and in a Wild Card spot. They are not safe in their spot though as it is a really tight race in the West, and they haven't been a good road team either with their 12-13-5 road record. They are coming off a road win in their last one, beating the Flyers 6-3, but they are only 4-4-2 in their last 10 games and were struggling a lot on this road trip. The Stars have been really hot though as they are 7-2-1 in their last 10 games, and they have a lot more momentum on their side with 3 wins in a row now. The Flames looked great in their win against the Flyers, but they have struggled to put together consecutive road wins all season and the Stars have played their best on home ice, they can take advantage of the Flames road troubles here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Stars to win this game and on the puckline. 

Flames Stars Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Thursday, March 6, 2025 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Stars 4 Flames 1.

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Calgary Flames: 105-119 (-53.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 34-35 (-12.6 units) on the moneyline revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 48-59 (-12.9 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 28-20 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%).

Dallas Stars: 137-76 (+10.7 units) on the moneyline as a favorite. 76-30 (+15 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a losing record. 129-81 (+7.5 units) on the moneyline against poor power play killing teams - opp score on over 17.5% of chances. 24-13 UNDER after playing 3 consecutive home games.

Calgary Flames:  J. Kirkland (C) Out For Season - Lower-body. A. Mantha (RW) Out For Season - Lower-Body.

Dallas Stars:  T. Seguin (C) Out - Hip. M. Heiskanen (D) Out - Knee. N. Lundkvist (D) Out For Season - Upper Body.

"Didn't think it would be six, but I had a feeling we were going to score. Every team goes through stretches. We went through it now, and hopefully we're going to score a lot more regularly than what we did the prior three games." - Ryan Huska after his team’s win against the Flyers in their game on Tuesday.

“Over a long season you don't want to be doing that every night, but we did some good things to build the 3-1 lead. They made us earn it. We found a way like we've done most of the year.” - Pete DeBoer after his team’s win against the Devils in their game on Tuesday.

LW Jonathan Huberdeau

C Nazem Kadri

RW Matt Coronato

LD Kevin Bahl

RD Rasmus Andersson

G Dustin Wolf

LW Jason Robertson

C Roope Hintz

RW Logan Stankoven

LD Thomas Harley

RD Ilya Lyubushkin

G Casey DeSmith

Points: N. Kadri (46)

Goals: J. Huberdeau (22)

Assists: M. Weegar (28)

GAA: D. Wolf (2.59)

Points: M. Duchene (62)

Goals: M. Duchene (25)

Assists: M. Duchene (37)

GAA: J. Oettinger (2.44)

Coaches:

Calgary Flames: Ryan Huska (3rd season)

Dallas Stars: Peter DeBoer (3rd season)