Buffalo Sabres vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/17/2026

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Mar 16, 2026
Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Tuesday, March 17, 2026
Venue:  T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
Where to Watch:  ESPN+


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Sabres +114, Knights -135; Over/Under:  6.5 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Sabres +115, Knights -135; Over/Under:  6.5 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Sabres +115, Knights -135; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Season Record

Buffalo Sabres:  41-20-6 (1st place, Atlantic Division)
Vegas Golden Knights:  31-22-14 (2nd place, Pacific Division)

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Recent Form
Buffalo Sabres:  9-1-0 last 10
Vegas Golden Knights:  4-6-0 last 10



Buffalo Sabres vs Vegas Golden Knights Preview and Analysis


The Sabres are entering this game with 88 points, a 41-20-6 record overall, and they are 19-11-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Toronto Maple Leafs in their last game, winning that one at home 3-2 in a shootout. Jack Quinn and Owen Power each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Noah Östlund, Ryan McLeod, Sam Carrick, and Zach Benson each led the team in assists with 1 while Alex Tuch led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Alex Lyon was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 18 shots with 16 saves and a .889 save percentage. Their offense has scored 235 goals this season averaging 3.5 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 200 goals against them allowing 3 goals per game.



The Golden Knights are entering this game with 76 points, a 31-22-14 record overall, and they are 16-10-7 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Chicago Blackhawks in their last game, winning that one at home 4-0. Pavel Dorofeyev led the team in goals scored with 2 while Keegan Kolesar and Rasmus Andersson each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Mark Stone and Mitch Marner each led the team in assists with 2 while Pavel Dorofeyev led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Adin Hill was the starting goalie in that game and he recorded the shutout as he allowed 0 goals on 21 shots with 21 saves and a .1.000 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 220 goals this season averaging 3.3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 209 goals against them allowing 3.1 goals per game.


Sabres vs Golden Knights Prediction

The current betting odds have the Sabres listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Sabres have looked great in their games this season with their 41-20-6 record overall which has them right at the top of their division in the East. They have been a good road team too with their 19-11-3 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Golden Knights have looked good in their games this season with their 31-22-14 record overall which has them right near the top of their division in the West. They have looked good on home ice too with their 16-10-7 home record this season. The Golden Knights have definitely looked a lot better on home ice this year and they are off a 4-0 win over the Blackhawks in their last one, but they still haven't looked good lately and have slipped out of 1st place in their division. They are 4-6-0 in their last 10 games and they have been struggling a lot since coming back from the Olympic Break. The Sabres have been the complete opposite though and they have been rolling in their games lately. They are 9-1-0 in their last 10 games and they are off a win over the Maple Leafs in their last one too. They have been surging up the standings lately, passing the Lightning for 1st place in their division, and they have looked like the best team in the East on this run. These two teams have been trending in opposite directions since coming back from the Olympic Break, so the value is with the Sabres as the underdog since they have been the better team. The best way to place a bet here is on the Sabres to win this game. 

Sabres Golden Knights Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Tuesday, March 17, 2026 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Sabres 3 Knights 2.
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NHL Betting Trends


Buffalo Sabres: 41-26 (+16.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 14-4 (+9.6 units) on the moneyline when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%). 24-14 (+9.5 units) on the moneyline against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game. 23-15 UNDER off a win in their previous game.

Vegas Golden Knights: 31-36 (-19.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 10-22 (-18.8 units) on the moneyline revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite. 8-17 (-14.6 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 4-1 UNDER after a blowout win by 4 goals or more.

Key Injuries


Buffalo Sabres:  C. Ellis (G) Day To Day - Undisclosed. T. Pearson (LW) Day To Day - Lower-Body. M. Samuelsson (D) Day To Day - Undisclosed. T. Kozak (C) Day To Day - Undisclosed. J. Kulich (C) Out For Season - Ear. J. Greenway (LW) Out - Abdomen. C. Timmins (D) Out - Leg. J. Danforth (RW) Day To Day - Lower Body.

Vegas Golden Knights:  W. Karlsson (C) Out - Lower Body. J. Rondbjerg (RW) Out - Lower Body. C. Hart (G) Out - Leg.


Notable Quotes


“I think halfway through the second we started playing better. Just really encouraging. Obviously, we’ve been on a good run. You lose one in regulation, and those are the games when doubt can creep in. You just have to grind through it. We’re going to get tested so much more throughout the rest of the season. So you just have to stay in the moment. There’s going to be a lot of adversity.” - Alex Lyon after their win against the Maple Leafs in their game on Saturday.


“I’m sure the group feels a lot better about themselves. We’ve got a couple of wins now. We’re getting good first periods, cleaning up that part of our game. Special teams are playing well. Adin Hill’s found his rhythm.” - Bruce Cassidy after his team’s win against the Blackhawks in their game on Saturday.


Starting Lineups


Buffalo Sabres
LW Peyton Krebs
C Tage Thompson
RW Alex Tuch
LD Rasmus Dahlin
RD Zach Metsa
G Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

Vegas Golden Knights
LW Ivan Barbashev
C Jack Eichel
RW Mark Stone
LD Brayden McNabb
RD Shea Theodore
G Adin Hill

Statistical Leaders


Buffalo Sabres
Points: Tage Thompson (70)
Goals: Tage Thompson (34)
Assists: Rasmus Dahlin (47)
GAA: Alex Lyon (2.62)

Vegas Golden Knights
Points: Jack Eichel (74)
Goals: Pavel Dorofeyev (34)
Assists: Jack Eichel (50)
GAA: Akira Schmid (2.61)

Coaches:
Buffalo Sabres: Lindy Ruff (2nd season)
Vegas Golden Knights: Bruce Cassidy (4th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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