Buffalo Bills vs Washington Commanders Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/24/2023

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, September 24, 2023

Venue:  FedEx Field, North Englewood, MD

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Bills -6.5, Commanders +6.5; Over/Under:  44.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Bills -6.5, Commanders +6.5; Over/Under:  44.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Bills -6.5, Commanders +6.5; Over/Under:  44.5 points

Buffalo Bills:  1-1 (3rd place, AFC East)

Washington Commanders:  2-0 (3rd place, NFC East)

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Buffalo Bills:  won their last game at home against the Las Vegas Raiders 38-10.

Washington Commanders:  won their last game on the road against the Denver Broncos 35-33.

The Bills are entering this game with a 1-1 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Las Vegas Raiders 38-10. Josh Allen was the starting QB and he completed 31/37 passes for 274 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. James Cook led the team in rushing yards with 123. Gabe Davis led the receivers with 92 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Terrel Bernard led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. Terrel Bernard and Matt Milano each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

The Commanders are entering this game with a 2-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Denver Broncos 35-33. Sam Howell was the starting QB and he completed 27/39 passes for 299 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Brian Robinson Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 87 and 2 TDs. Terry McLaurin led the receivers with 54 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Daron Payne led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Montez Sweat and Chase Young each led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Emmanuel Forbes Jr. came away with the only interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have the Commanders listed as a 6.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Commanders are 2-0 this season and didn't look good in week 1 in their win over the Cardinals, but they looked a lot better last week in their road win against the Broncos. Their offense finally found some stability and they were able to put up a lot of points on a good defense. The Bills also had a nice get right game as they blew out the Raiders at home in their last game, but as good as the Bills offense was in that game, they were still at home and have struggled more in their road games. The Commanders also have a good defense under Ron Rivera and they are going to play a lot better at home here after giving up 30 points in their last game. The Bills aren't going to have the same explosiveness on offense here on the road against this defense and both of these defenses will play well to keep this a closer game in the end. The best way to place a bet here is on the Commanders to cover the spread in this game. 

Bills Commanders Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, September 24, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Bills 24 Commanders 20.

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Buffalo Bills: 20-13 ATS against NFC East division opponents. 21-11 ATS after gaining 450 or more total yards in their previous game. 9-1 UNDER as a road favorite of 7 points or less. 9-5 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5. 

Washington Commanders: 40-65 ATS in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 15-23 ATS after a road game where both teams scored 24 or more points. 8-2 UNDER as a home underdog of 7 points or less. 6-0 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5.

Buffalo Bills:  M. Hyde (S) day-to-day - Hamstring. B. Spector (LB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. J. Shorter (WR) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. V. Miller (LB) Out indefinitely - Knee. T. Doyle (OT) I-R - Knee. Z. Davidson (TE) I-R - Knee. N. Hines (RB) I-R - Knee.

Washington Commanders:  L. Thomas (TE) day-to-day - Concussion. J. Martin (DB) day-to-day - Concussion. D. Milne (WR) Out indefinitely - Groin. E. Obada (DE) Out indefinitely - Knee. P. Mathis (DT) Out indefinitely - Calf. K. Smith (TE) I-R - Undisclosed. B. Dillon (TE) I-R - Undisclosed. B. Daniels (OL) I-R - Shoulder. C. Brooks (DT) I-R - Undisclosed. T. Apke (CB) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. D. Bada (DT) I-R - Tricep. A. Rogers (TE) I-R - Achilles.

“I love feeling how I felt last week. I really do, because it makes the good feel that much better. I take the bad with the good, I understand it, and I’m just trying to let it fuel me and use it to my benefit.” - Josh Allen after their win against the Raiders in their last game. 

“This is a resilient team. The thing I’m proud of is we had each other’s back on both sides of the ball.” - Sam Howell after their win against the Broncos in their last game. 

WR Davis, Gabe 

WR Diggs, Stefon 

TE Knox, Dawson 

TE Kincaid, Dalton 

QB Allen, Josh 

RB Cook, James 

FB Gilliam, Reggie 

WR McLaurin, Terry 

WR Dotson, Jahan 

WR Samuel, Curtis 

TE THOMAS, LOGAN 

QB Howell, Sam 

RB Robinson Jr., Brian 

Passing: J. Allen (510)

Rushing: J. Cook (169)

Receiving: S. Diggs (168)

Touchdowns: S. Diggs (1)

Passing: S. Howell (501)

Rushing: B. Robinson (146)

Receiving: T. McLaurin (85)

Touchdowns: B. Robinson (3)

Coaches:

Buffalo Bills: Sean McDermott (7th season)

Washington Commanders: Ron Rivera (4th season)