by Rod Pearson
Saturday, Nov 25, 2023
Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, November 26, 2023
Venue: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Bills +3, Eagles -3; Over/Under: 48.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Bills +3, Eagles -3; Over/Under: 48.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Bills +3, Eagles -3; Over/Under: 48.5 points
Season Record
Buffalo Bills: 6-5 (2nd place, AFC East)
Philadelphia Eagles: 9-1 (1st place, NFC East)
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Recent Form
Buffalo Bills: won their last game at home against the New York Jets 32-6.
Philadelphia Eagles: won their last game on the road against the Kansas City Chiefs 21-17.
Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles Preview and Analysis
The Bills are entering this game with a 6-5 record overall and they have a 2-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-2 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the New York Jets 32-6. Josh Allen was the starting QB and he completed 20/32 passes for 275 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. James Cook led the team in rushing yards with 73. Khalil Shakir led the receivers with 115 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Tyrel Dodson led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Leonard Floyd led the defense in sacks with 2.5. Rasul Douglas came away with the only 2 interceptions for them in that game.
The Eagles are entering this game with a 9-1 record overall and they have a 3-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 5-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Kansas City Chiefs 21-17. Jalen Hurts was the starting QB and he completed 14/22 passes for 150 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. D'Andre Swift led the team in rushing yards with 76 and 1 TD. DeVonta Smith led the receivers with 99 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Kevin Byard led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Haason Reddick led the defense in sacks with 1. Kevin Byard came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Bills vs Eagles Prediction
The current betting odds have the Eagles listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Eagles have looked really good this season with their 9-1 record overall and they now have the best record in the NFL. They are 4-0 in their home games this season and they have been rolling over every team they play there whether they have a losing or a winning record. The Bills have looked alright this season with their 6-5 record overall but they haven't looked like the same Bills team that has been dominating the AFC East the last few years. They have also looked a lot worse in their road games this season with their 1-3 road record and that doesn't include their loss in London. This is going to be a really tough environment for the Bills to go into with the way the Eagles have been playing lately and the Bills have also had a big problem taking care of the football this year which could be a key factor in this game too. The Eagles are rolling right now and the Bills won't be the team to stop them on the road. The best way to place a bet here is on the Eagles to cover the spread in this game.
Bills Eagles Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 26, 2023 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Eagles 34 Bills 20.
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NFL Betting Trends
Buffalo Bills: 19-31 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less. 4-11 ATS off a division game. 5-9 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5. 8-3 UNDER in all games. 10-5 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5.
Philadelphia Eagles: 12-4 ATS as a home favorite. 8-2 ATS after a win by 6 or less points. 9-5 ATS in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 13-7 UNDER after 2 straight wins by 6 or less points. 29-22 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points.
Key Injuries
Buffalo Bills: D. Williams (LB) Prob Sun - Knee. T. Sherfield (WR) Prob Sun - Ankle. C. Lewis (CB) Prob Sun - Shoulder. T. Johnson (CB) Prob Sun - Concussion. M. Hyde (S) Prob Sun - Neck. T. Rapp (S) Out Sun - Neck. D. Jackson (CB) Out Sun - Head. J. Allen (QB) Prob Sun - Shoulder. K. Elam (CB) Out indefinitely - Ankle. D. Knox (TE) Out indefinitely - Wrist. D. Harris (RB) Out indefinitely - Neck. D. Jones (DT) I-R - Pectoral. M. Milano (LB) I-R - Leg. T. White (CB) I-R - Achilles. J. Shorter (WR) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. T. Doyle (OT) I-R - Knee. Z. Davidson (TE) I-R - Knee. N. Hines (RB) I-R - Knee.
Philadelphia Eagles: M. Williams (DT) Out Sun - Concussion. J. Evans (S) Out Sun - Knee. G. Calcaterra (TE) Out Sun - Ankle. A. Brown (WR) Prob Sun - Thigh. D. Swift (RB) Prob Sun - Ankle. J. Jones (WR) Prob Sun - Knee. Q. Watkins (WR) Ques Sun - Hamstring. N. Dean (LB) Out indefinitely - Foot. D. Goedert (TE) Early Dec - Forearm. A. Maddox (CB) Out indefinitely - Pectoral. I. Rodgers Sr. (DB) out for season - Suspension. R. Johnson (OT) I-R - Undisclosed. S. Bradley (LB) I-R - Achilles.
Notable Quotes
“Let’s have fun playing this game. It’s football and at the end of the day we get to do, in my opinion, the most amazing job on the planet ... So we've got to enjoy it when you can.” - Josh Allen after their win against the Jets in their last game.
“We weren't thinking, ‘Hey, we’re coming up here to avenge a loss.’ That's a different magnitude of game. That was for everything. So we're just pleased to get the win tonight.” - Nick Sirianni after his team’s win against the Chiefs in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Buffalo Bills
WR Diggs, Stefon
WR Davis, Gabe
WR Shakir, Khalil
TE Kincaid, Dalton
QB Allen, Josh
RB Cook, James
FB Gilliam, Reggie
Philadelphia Eagles
WR Brown, A.J.
WR Smith, DeVonta
WR Zaccheaus, Olamide
TE Goedert, Dallas
QB Hurts, Jalen
RB Swift, D'Andre
Statistical Leaders
Buffalo Bills
Passing: J. Allen (2875)
Rushing: J. Cook (688)
Receiving: S. Diggs (895)
Touchdowns: S. Diggs (7)
Philadelphia Eagles
Passing: J. Hurts (2497)
Rushing: D. Swift (690)
Receiving: A. Brown (1013)
Touchdowns: J. Hurts (9)
Coaches:
Buffalo Bills: Sean McDermott (7th season)
Philadelphia Eagles: Nick Sirianni (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
