Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/11/2023

Game Time: 8:15 pm ET, Sunday, September 10, 2023

Venue:  MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ

Where to Watch:  ABC, ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Bills -2.5, Jets +2.5; Over/Under:  46 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Bills -2.5, Jets +2.5; Over/Under:  46.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Bills -2.5, Jets +2.5; Over/Under:  46.5 points

Buffalo Bills:  0-0 (AFC East)

New York Jets:  0-0 (AFC East)

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Buffalo Bills:  N/A

New York Jets:  N/A

The Bills finished last season with a 13-3 record overall and they were 4-2 in their division games too. They had a 7-1 record in their home games and had a 6-2 record in their road games where they will be in this game. Last season, their offense was averaging 28.4 points per game and their defense was allowing an average of 17.9 points per game. Their offense was also averaging 374.2 yards per game and their defense was allowing an average of 300.4 yards per game. Josh Allen led the team in passing yards with 4283, Devin Singletary led the team in rushing yards with 819, and Stefon Diggs led the team in receiving yards with 1429.

The Jets finished last season with a 7-10 record overall and they were 2-4 in their division games too. They had a 3-5 record in their home games and had a 4-5 record in their road games where they will be in this game. Last season, their offense was averaging 17.4 points per game and their defense was allowing an average of 18.6 points per game. Their offense was also averaging 318.2 yards per game and their defense was allowing an average of 311.1 yards per game. Zach Wilson led the team in passing yards with 1688, Breece Hall led the team in rushing yards with 463, and Garrett Wilson led the team in receiving yards with 1103.

The current betting odds have the Bills listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bills finished last season with a 13-3 record overall and fell short once again in the playoffs but the hunger to win is still there for this team. They still have a great offense and a great defense with tons of weapons and they are going to be looking to start their season with a big division win in prime time here. The Jets were only 7-10 last season but improved a lot and now they have upgraded their QB along with some other weapons on the offense. This is still going to be the 1st game with Aaron Rodgers in this new system with new receivers to throw to and he struggled a lot to find chemistry with new receivers last season for the Packers. The Bills are still the team to beat in this division and adding Rodgers to this Jets offense doesn't instantly make them a contender in the 1st season. The Bills will have their own point to prove here and will be playing the season with a chip on their shoulder as they are being disrespected right out of the gate. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bills to cover the spread in this game. 

Bills Jets Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, September 10, 2023 (8:15 pm ET start time) is Bills 31 Jets 20.

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Buffalo Bills: 5-2 ATS in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 9-4 ATS in the first half of the season. 11-3 UNDER as a road favorite. 8-1 UNDER as a road favorite of 7 points or less. 9-5 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5.

New York Jets: 2-7 ATS as a home underdog of 7 points or less. 4-8 ATS versus division opponents. 8-16 ATS in games played on turf. 6-3 UNDER as a home underdog of 7 points or less. 8-4 UNDER versus division opponents. 

Buffalo Bills:  B. Spector (LB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. J. Shorter (WR) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. M. Barkley (QB) I-R - Elbow. V. Miller (LB) Out indefinitely - Knee. K. Shakir (WR) Ques Week 1 - Ribs. C. McGovern (G) Ques Week 1 - Knee. T. Doyle (OT) I-R - Knee. Z. Davidson (TE) I-R - Knee. N. Hines (RB) I-R - Knee.

New York Jets:  K. Yeboah (TE) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. C. Warren (OT) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. J. Bernard-Converse (S) Out indefinitely - Foot. I. Abanikanda (RB) Prob Week 1 - Thigh. C. Lawson (DL) Ques Week 1 - Back. A. Lazard (WR) Prob Week 1 - Shoulder. I. Odenigbo (DE) I-R - Undisclosed. M. Hall (LB) I-R - Undisclosed. H. Nasirildeen (LB) I-R - Neck. C. Clark (S) I-R - Knee. B. Echols (CB) Elig Week 2 - Suspension.

“I love it, honestly. It feels good to be back with the guys. As a head coach, we coach but we don’t coach. A lot of the time is spent on things outside of coaching. It feels really good to be back in the weeds.” - Sean McDermott on getting back into play calling this season. 

"X has shown a dynamic ability in the return game. He's a really good football player, he has great feel for space. In the pass game he has a long way to go, he's going to get better. The way he works and his mindset, you could tell he's going to be a really good football player in this league." - Robert Saleh on Xavier Gipson making the 53-man roster.

WR Davis, Gabe 

WR Diggs, Stefon 

WR Sherfield, Trent 

TE Knox, Dawson 

QB Allen, Josh 

RB Cook, James 

FB Gilliam, Reggie 

WR Wilson, Garrett 

WR Lazard, Allen 

WR Hardman Jr., Mecole 

TE Conklin, Tyler 

QB RODGERS, AARON 

RB Hall, Breece 

FB Bawden, Nick 

Passing: N/A

Rushing: N/A

Receiving: N/A

Touchdowns: N/A

Passing: N/A

Rushing: N/A

Receiving: N/A

Touchdowns: N/A

Coaches:

Buffalo Bills: Sean McDermott (7th season)

New York Jets: Robert Saleh (3rd season)