by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Dec 19, 2023
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Saturday, December 23, 2023
Venue: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
Where to Watch: Peacock
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Bills -10.5, Chargers +10.5; Over/Under: 42.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Bills -11.5, Chargers +11.5; Over/Under: 42.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Bills -11.5, Chargers +11.5; Over/Under: 42.5 points
Season Record
Buffalo Bills: 8-6 (2nd place, AFC East)
Los Angeles Chargers: 5-9 (4th place, AFC West)
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Buffalo Bills: won their last game at home against the Dallas Cowboys 31-10.
Los Angeles Chargers: lost their last game on the road against the Las Vegas Raiders 63-21.
Buffalo Bills vs Los Angeles Chargers Preview and Analysis
The Bills are entering this game with an 8-6 record overall and they have a 2-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 6-1 in their home games, 2-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Dallas Cowboys 31-10. Josh Allen was the starting QB and he completed 7/15 passes for 94 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. James Cook led the team in rushing yards with 179 and 1 TD. Stefon Diggs led the receivers with 48 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Taron Johnson led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Leonard Floyd and Jordan Phillips each led the defense in sacks with 1. Christian Benford came away with the only interception for them in that game.
The Chargers are entering this game with a 5-9 record overall and they have a 1-3 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-5 in their home games, 3-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Las Vegas Raiders 63-21. Easton Stick was the starting QB and he completed 23/32 passes for 257 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Isaiah Spiller led the team in rushing yards with 50. Joshua Palmer led the receivers with 113 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 1 TD. Eric Kendricks led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Eric Kendricks led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
Bills vs Chargers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Bills listed as an 11.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bills haven't looked great this season at times but they have looked a lot better in their games lately as they are starting to surge with their 8-6 record overall. They haven't looked good in their road games with their 2-4 road record but they did beat the Chiefs in their last road game and will have a lot of momentum from the good teams they have been beating lately. Meanwhile, the Chargers have looked terrible this season with their 5-9 record overall as injuries have been taking over this team now. Herbert is out for the season along with some other weapons on the offense and now they have fired their head coach Brandon Staley too. They have had extra time to prepare for this game after playing last Thursday but their season is pretty much over so their motivation has to be in question here. The Bills are in must win mode until the end of the season and they will be looking to beat up on another team here which should be an easy win for them considering everything going on in LA with the Chargers. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bills to cover the spread in this game.
Bills Chargers Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Saturday, December 23, 2023 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Bills 28 Chargers 13.
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NFL Betting Trends
Buffalo Bills: 5-1 ATS after outrushing opponent by 100 or more yards last game. 7-4 ATS in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 10-4 UNDER in all games. 13-4 UNDER as a road favorite. 22-13 UNDER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points.
Los Angeles Chargers: 4-9 ATS in all games. 19-31 ATS after allowing 35 points or more last game. 7-15 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of -4 or worse. 9-4 UNDER in all games. 10-4 UNDER after allowing 40 points or more last game.
Key Injuries
Buffalo Bills: T. Johnson (RB) day-to-day - Shoulder. J. Shorter (WR) day-to-day - Hamstring. K. Elam (CB) day-to-day - Ankle. M. Hyde (S) day-to-day - Stinger. A. Epenesa (DE) day-to-day - Ribs. D. Harris (RB) Out indefinitely - Neck. D. Jones (DT) I-R - Pectoral. M. Milano (LB) I-R - Leg. T. White (CB) I-R - Achilles. T. Doyle (OT) I-R - Knee. Z. Davidson (TE) I-R - Knee. N. Hines (RB) I-R - Knee.
Los Angeles Chargers: K. Allen (WR) day-to-day - Heel. D. Parham Jr. (TE) day-to-day - Shoulder. N. Williams (DL) day-to-day - Shoulder. D. Leonard (DB) day-to-day - Ankle. A. Ogbongbemiga (LB) day-to-day - Hamstring. O. Ogbonnia (DL) day-to-day - Knee. J. Herbert (QB) I-R - Finger. Z. Bailey (OT) Out indefinitely - Back. T. Muse (LB) Out indefinitely - Knee. J. Bosa (LB) Out indefinitely - Foot. C. Rumph II (LB) Out indefinitely - Foot. M. Williams (WR) I-R - Knee. R. Layne (S) Out indefinitely - Knee. C. Linsley (C) Out indefinitely - Illness.
Notable Quotes
“I felt like the kid that didn’t do anything in a class project but got an A. But I’ll do this 10 times out of 10 times, man. Like, keep going.” - Josh Allen after their win against the Cowboys in their last game.
“We just didn’t have a good game tonight. We didn’t have it from the beginning to the end. It’s just one of those games where nothing went right for us. We got a good group of guys, but it was just one of those games where all three phases, the worst thing happened to us tonight. It’s a reflection of all of us.” - Brandon Staley after the Chargers’ loss in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Buffalo Bills
WR Diggs, Stefon
WR Davis, Gabe
WR Shakir, Khalil
TE Kincaid, Dalton
QB Allen, Josh
RB Cook, James
FB Gilliam, Reggie
Los Angeles Chargers
WR Johnston, Quentin
WR Palmer, Joshua
WR Allen, Keenan
TE Everett, Gerald
QB Stick, Easton
RB Ekeler, Austin
Statistical Leaders
Buffalo Bills
Passing: J. Allen (3541)
Rushing: J. Cook (968)
Receiving: S. Diggs (1041)
Touchdowns: J. Allen (11)
Los Angeles Chargers
Passing: J. Herbert (3134)
Rushing: A. Ekeler (506)
Receiving: K. Allen (1243)
Touchdowns: K. Allen (7)
Coaches:
Buffalo Bills: Sean McDermott (7th season)
Los Angeles Chargers: Brandon Staley (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
