Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/10/2023

Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, December 10, 2023

Venue:  GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO 

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Bills +2.5, Chiefs -2.5; Over/Under:  48.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Bills +2.5, Chiefs -2.5; Over/Under:  48.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Bills +2.5, Chiefs -2.5; Over/Under:  48.5 points

Buffalo Bills:  6-6 (2nd place, AFC East)

Kansas City Chiefs:  8-4 (1st place, AFC West)

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Buffalo Bills:  lost their last game on the road against the Philadelphia Eagles in overtime 37-34.

Kansas City Chiefs:  lost their last game on the road against the Green Bay Packers 27-19.

The Bills are entering this game with a 6-6 record overall and they have a 2-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-1 in their home games, 1-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Philadelphia Eagles 37-34 in OT. Josh Allen was the starting QB and he completed 29/51 passes for 339 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Josh Allen led the team in rushing yards with 81 and 2 TDs. Gabe Davis led the receivers with 105 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Micah Hyde led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Linval Joseph and Tim Settle each led the defense in sacks with 1. Terrel Bernard came away with the only interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

The Chiefs are entering this game with an 8-4 record overall and they have a 3-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-2 in their home games, 4-2 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Green Bay Packers 27-19. Patrick Mahomes was the starting QB and he completed 21/33 passes for 210 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Isiah Pacheco led the team in rushing yards with 110 and 1 TD. Travis Kelce led the receivers with 81 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Justin Reid led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Mike Danna and Charles Omenihu each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have the Chiefs listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Chiefs have looked good this season with their 8-4 record overall but lately they haven't been at their best in their games. They just lost another game on the road last week in prime time against the Packers but they will be looking to bounce back now that they are back at home. The Bills haven't looked too good this season with their 6-6 record overall and right now they are struggling to get into the Wild Card. They have looked terrible in their road games all season with their 1-4 road record and also lost their only game at a neutral site. They are coming off their bye week and looked a lot better in their loss to the Eagles in their last game, but this is just as big a game for the Chiefs at home as it is for the Bills. The Bills need to make a run to make the playoffs but the Chiefs also already have 4 losses this season and that puts them out of the number 1 seed right now. The Chiefs are going to be in the same mindset as the Bills with this being a must win game and they have the home advantage here too. The Chiefs need to win this game at home for the number 1 seed race in the AFC and they will also be motivated to bounce back after the way they lost to the Packers in prime time. The best way to place a bet here is on the Chiefs to cover the spread in this game. 

Bills Chiefs Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 10, 2023 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Chiefs 27 Bills 24.

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Buffalo Bills: 4-8 ATS in all games. 5-10 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5. 4-9 ATS after gaining 300 or more passing yards in the last game. 8-4 UNDER in all games. 11-4 UNDER after gaining 300 or more passing yards in the last game. 

Kansas City Chiefs: 11-4 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 33-20 ATS in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points. 8-4 UNDER in all games. 17-9 UNDER as a home favorite. 16-8 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5.

Buffalo Bills:  T. Rapp (S) Ques Sun - Neck. D. Jackson (CB) Ques Sun - Head. K. Elam (CB) Out indefinitely - Ankle. D. Knox (TE) Out indefinitely - Wrist. D. Harris (RB) Out indefinitely - Neck.  D. Jones (DT) I-R - Pectoral. M. Milano (LB) I-R - Leg. T. White (CB) I-R - Achilles. J. Shorter (WR) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. T. Doyle (OT) I-R - Knee. Z. Davidson (TE) I-R - Knee. N. Hines (RB) I-R - Knee.

Kansas City Chiefs:  J. McKinnon (RB) Ques Sun - Groin. N. Bolton (LB) Ques Sun - Wrist. M. Hardman Jr. (WR) Out indefinitely - Thumb. J. Ross (WR) Out indefinitely - Personal. B. Thompson (DE) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. P. Wanogho (OT) Out indefinitely - Quadricep. J. Fortson (TE) I-R - Shoulder. N. Johnson (S) I-R - Knee.

“They're defending NFC champs for a reason. They made plays tonight and they made enough to win the game.” - Josh Allen after their loss against the Eagles in their last game. 

“The Packers I thought did a great job tonight. They got after us, and it’s a good football team. We’ve got to be able to start faster on both sides of the ball. We’ve got to make sure we take care of that. Whether it was the penalties on offense or whether we weren’t getting off the field on the defensive side, those are things that cost us. We’ve got to learn from that and get better as we go forward.” - Andy Reid after his team’s loss against the Packers in their last game. 

WR Diggs, Stefon 

WR Davis, Gabe 

WR Shakir, Khalil  

TE Kincaid, Dalton  

QB Allen, Josh 

RB Cook, James 

FB Gilliam, Reggie

WR Moore, Skyy 

WR Watson, Justin 

WR Rice, Rashee 

TE Kelce, Travis 

QB Mahomes, Patrick 

RB Pacheco, Isiah

Passing: J. Allen (3214)

Rushing: J. Cook (731)

Receiving: S. Diggs (969)

Touchdowns: J. Allen (9)

Passing: P. Mahomes (3127)

Rushing: I. Pacheco (779)

Receiving: T. Kelce (813)

Touchdowns: I. Pacheco (7)

Coaches:

Buffalo Bills: Sean McDermott (7th season)

Kansas City Chiefs: Andy Reid (11th season)