Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/05/2023

Game Time: 8:20 pm ET, Sunday, November 5, 2023

Venue:  Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati, OH

Where to Watch:  NBC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Bills +2, Bengals -2; Over/Under:  49 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Bills +2, Bengals -2; Over/Under:  48.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Bills +2, Bengals -2; Over/Under:  48.5 points

Buffalo Bills:  5-3 (2nd place, AFC East)

Cincinnati Bengals:  4-3 (4th place, AFC North)

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Buffalo Bills:  won their last game at home against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24-18.

Cincinnati Bengals:  won their last game on the road against the San Francisco 49ers 31-17.

The Bills are entering this game with a 5-3 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24-18. Josh Allen was the starting QB and he completed 31/40 passes for 324 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. James Cook led the team in rushing yards with 67. Khalil Shakir led the receivers with 92 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Terrel Bernard led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Taron Johnson, Ed Oliver, and A.J. Epenesa each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

The Bengals are entering this game with a 4-3 record overall and they have a 0-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the San Francisco 49ers 31-17. Joe Burrow was the starting QB and he completed 28/32 passes for 283 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Joe Mixon led the team in rushing yards with 87 and 1 TD. Ja'Marr Chase led the receivers with 100 receiving yards on 10 receptions and 1 TD. Logan Wilson led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Sam Hubbard and Trey Hendrickson each led the defense in sacks with 1. Logan Wilson and Germaine Pratt each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have the Bengals listed as a 2 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bengals are only 4-3 this season but they have looked a lot better in their games lately. Burrow is healthy now and the offense has been putting up a lot more points in their games. The Bills have also been good this season with their 5-3 record overall but they have struggled a lot more in their road games this season. Their offense has not been as good in their road games and their defense will struggle more against this Bengals offense that has been getting hot lately. This is a big game for both teams since this is the rematch of the game that was never finished last season when Damar Hamlin went down injured on the field. This is going to be an emotional game for the Bills but the Bengals have been playing better lately and they have the advantage being at home. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bengals to cover the spread in this game. 

Bills Bengals Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 5, 2023 (8:20 pm ET start time) is Bengals 27 Bills 21.

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Buffalo Bills: 19-30 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less. 4-8 ATS after gaining 300 or more passing yards in the last game. 5-1 UNDER against AFC North division opponents. 10-4 UNDER after gaining 300 or more passing yards in the last game.

Cincinnati Bengals: 31-16 ATS in all games. 22-9 ATS in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 12-4 ATS off a road win. 29-18 UNDER in all games. 16-7 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 

Buffalo Bills:  J. Allen (QB) Ques Sun - Shoulder. Q. Morris (TE) Ques Sun - Ankle. K. Elam (CB) Ques Sun - Ankle. B. Spector (LB) Ques Sun - Hamstring. D. Knox (TE) Out indefinitely - Wrist. D. Harris (RB) Out indefinitely - Neck. D. Jones (DT) I-R - Pectoral. M. Milano (LB) I-R - Leg. T. White (CB) I-R - Achilles. J. Shorter (WR) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. T. Doyle (OT) I-R - Knee. Z. Davidson (TE) I-R - Knee. N. Hines (RB) I-R - Knee.

Cincinnati Bengals:  T. Hendrickson (DE) Ques Sun - Ankle. A. Davis-Gaither (LB) Ques Sun - Knee. C. Brown (HB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. C. Jones (WR) Out indefinitely - Thumb. D. Cochran (OT) I-R - Knee. D. Maxwell (DT) I-R - Knee.

“Well, I mean, I could feel the team. They came out with an attitude and it started in the locker room, really. Stefon Diggs, there’s a little motivational couple of words he said to the team before we went out there. That’s what a leader does. He did a phenomenal job of basically setting the tone.” - Sean McDermott after his team’s win against the Bucs in their last game. 

“I worked really hard on that all offseason and for four or five weeks I haven’t been able to really show that. So when you see hard work pay off, it’s exciting.” - Joe Burrow after their win against the 49ers in their last game. 

WR Davis, Gabe 

WR Diggs, Stefon 

WR Shakir, Khalil  

TE Kincaid, Dalton  

QB Allen, Josh 

RB Cook, James 

FB Gilliam, Reggie

WR Chase, Ja'Marr 

WR Higgins, Tee 

WR Boyd, Tyler 

TE Smith Jr., Irv 

QB Burrow, Joe 

RB Mixon, Joe 

Passing: J. Allen (2165)

Rushing: J. Cook (486)

Receiving: S. Diggs (748)

Touchdowns: S. Diggs (6)

Passing: J. Burrow (1513)

Rushing: J. Mixon (453)

Receiving: J. Chase (656)

Touchdowns: J. Chase (4)

Coaches:

Buffalo Bills: Sean McDermott (7th season)

Cincinnati Bengals: Zac Taylor (5th season)