by ASA, Inc.
Friday, May 08, 2026
Breanna Stewart (+1300) to Win 2026 WNBA MVP – Betting Preview
The New York Liberty enter the 2026 season as clear championship favorites at +220, with the Las Vegas Aces trailing at +390. That team success could be the perfect springboard for Breanna Stewart to claim her third MVP at plus-money odds.
Why Stewart Has a Real Shot
· Elite supporting cast — Sabrina Ionescu, Jonquel Jones, and Satou Sabally (plus Betnijah Laney-Hamilton) create one of the most talented rosters in the league. Defenses can’t load up on Stewart the way they did in past seasons, opening up easier scoring and playmaking opportunities.
· Bounce-back narrative — Stewart played just 31 games (roughly 70%) in 2025 due to a nagging right knee bone bruise, posting career-low averages of 18.3 points and 6.5 rebounds. A healthy Stewart is a two-time MVP who has historically put up 20+ PPG and strong rebounding/defensive numbers. Coming off a down year often helps with voter perception.
· Path cleared by competitors:
· A’ja Wilson (heavy favorite around +200) just won back-to-back MVPs and could face voter fatigue, especially if the Aces aren’t the clear #1 seed again.
· Napheesa Collier (+750 range) is sidelined early in the season with ankle surgery recovery and will miss significant time.
At +1300, Stewart offers strong value as a proven superstar on the best team in the league. If she stays healthy and posts numbers closer to her peak (while the Liberty dominate the standings), the narrative writes itself: “Stewart is back and leading a superteam.”
Recommended play: Stewart +1300 (or better). It’s a high-upside spot in what should be a competitive but winnable MVP race. Good luck!
