Bowling Green Falcons vs Minnesota Golden Gophers Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/25/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, September 25, 2021
Venue:  Huntington Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
Where to Watch:  ESPNU


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Bowling Green +31, Minnesota -31; Over/Under:  52 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Bowling Green +31, Minnesota -31; Over/Under:  51.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Bowling Green +31, Minnesota -31; Over/Under:  52.5 points

Season Record

Bowling Green Falcons:  1-2 (5th place, MAC East)
Minnesota Golden Gophers:  2-1 (4th place, Big Ten West)
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Bowling Green Falcons vs Minnesota Golden Gophers Preview and Analysis

Recent Form
Bowling Green Falcons:  won at home on Sep. 18 against the Murray State Racers 27-10.
Minnesota Golden Gophers:  won on the road on Sep. 18 against the Colorado Buffaloes 30-0.

Bowling Green Falcons Analysis

Bowling Green is coming into this college football game with a 1-2 record overall and is 0-1 on the road this season where they will be in this game, their first road loss coming against the Tennessee Vols. This will be their 4th non-conference game in a row. They are coming off of their first win of the season last week against Murray State. Matt McDonald played alright in that game completing 22/28 passes for 221 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception. Their run game was not very strong as Nick Mosley led the team in rushing with 48 yards on 9 carries. The receiving corps also had a fairly quiet day with Austin Osborne leading the way with 69 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Devin Taylor and Davon Ferguson both led the defense with 4 solo tackles and 1 assisted one. Diego Neri and Blaine Spires both recorded 1 sack each while Jack Wardzala and Dierre Kelly both had 0.5 sacks in that game. Sy Dabney and Brock Horne both came away with 1 interception each in that game. They have scored 52 points in their first 3 games and have allowed their opponents to score 70 points against them. The Bowling Green offense is averaging 296.3 YPG while their defense is allowing 347.7 YPG.

Minnesota Golden Gophers Analysis

Minnesota is coming into this game with a 2-1 record overall this season and a 0-1 record in conference games. This will be their 3rd non-conference game of the year though and their last. After this one, they have Purdue, Nebraska, Maryland, Northwestern, Illinois, the Iowa Hawkeyes, Indiana, and Wisconsin all coming up on their schedule and they have already played a really good game against the Ohio State Buckeyes which they lost but not until they let that one go in the second half back on Thursday, September 2. They are 1-1 at home where they will be in this game. They are coming off of a big 30-0 win in Colorado over the Buffaloes last week, a Pac-12 team. Tanner Morgan played a solid game at the quarterback position completing 11/17 passes for 164 yards. Treyson Potts had a huge day in the run game as he led his team in rushing with 121 yards and 3 touchdowns on 26 carries. Mar'Keise Irving also had a nice day with 89 rushing yards on 15 carries. The receiving corps were quiet as Chris Autman-Bell led the team in receiving with 79 yards on 4 receptions. Jack Gibbens led the defense with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted one. Thomas Rush and Boye Mafe both led the team in sacks with 2 each while no one on the defense came away with an interception. They have scored 92 points in their first 3 games and have allowed their opponents to score 71 points against them. Their offense is averaging 378.7 YPG while their defense is allowing 299.7 YPG.


Bowling Green vs Minnesota Prediction

This game is going to go over the total. The total is set very low which helps a lot but this is a case where Minnesota is going to be riding high after a game where their defense did not allow a single point. That will likely not happen again here and they have already allowed another team from the MAC conference to score 26 points against them in a single game this season. Their offense will be rolling a lot here as they have scored over 30 points in every game and will probably even score more here. BGSU is also going to be riding high as they just got their first win since 2019 and they will make a big effort to stay somewhat competitive in this game, especially since Miami-OH was able to against them. Both of these teams are going to score points and since the total is set at a number below 50, the over is the best bet to make here.
Bowling Green Minnesota Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 25, 2021 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Minnesota 42 Bowling Green 17.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert college football picks today.  And if you enjoyed this Bowling Green Falcons Minnesota Golden Gophers prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.

NCAAF Betting Trends

Bowling Green Falcons: 1-5 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 4-13 ATS as an underdog. 1-9 ATS in road games.
Minnesota Golden Gophers: 12-9 ATS in all games. 4-1 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders.

Key Injuries

Bowling Green Falcons:  T. Raymore (RB) out for season - Knee injury.
Minnesota Golden Gophers:  M. Ibrahim (RB) out for season - Leg injury.

Players to Watch

Bowling Green Falcons: Matt McDonald is one player to watch in this game. They are coming off of their first win of the season and it will be up to him to keep up that intensity for him and his team. If they want to have a chance of winning this game he will need to step up in a big way here so look for him to do that.
Minnesota Golden Gophers: Trey Potts is one player to watch in this one. He already leads his team in rushing yards and touchdowns but he will have to keep picking up the slack now that Mohamed Ibrahim is out for the season. Potts had a big game last week so look for him to keep playing at his best.

Notable Quotes

"I'm excited for those guys. Last week was horrible; it was miserable. I give them credit. We're a young team, they could've tanked it. They came out with a great attitude. We're just going to keep getting better and better. That's the goal." - Scot Loeffler on his team getting their first win since 2019.
"We came in here with incredible focus. What our defense did was a wonderful performance." - P.J. Fleck after a very impressive 30-0 win on the road in Colorado.

Starting Lineups

Bowling Green Falcons
WR Broden, Tyrone 
WR Osborne, Austin 
TE Sims, Christian 
TE Bench, Andrew 
QB McDonald, Matt 
RB Stewart, Terion 
Minnesota Golden Gophers
WR Autman-Bell, Chris 
WR Jackson, Daniel 
WR Brown-Stephens, Mike 
TE Kieft, Ko 
QB Morgan, Tanner 
RB Potts, Trey 

Statistical Leaders

Bowling Green Falcons
Passing: M. McDonald (716)
Rushing: N. Mosley (74)
Receiving: A. Osborne (153)
Touchdowns: M. McDonald (1)
Sacks: W. Haire (2)
Tackles: D. Ferguson (17)
Minnesota Golden Gophers
Passing: T. Morgan (481)
Rushing: T. Potts (333)
Receiving: D. Wright (189)
Touchdowns: T. Potts (5)
Sacks: B. Mafe (2)
Tackles: M. Sori-Marin (10)
Bowling Green Falcons: Scot Loeffler (3rd season)
Minnesota Golden Gophers: P.J. Fleck (5th season)

Weather Forecast

62 degrees F partly cloudy, 45% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 12 mph wind speeds W.

Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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