Bowling Green Falcons vs Michigan Wolverines Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/16/2023

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, September 16, 2023

Venue:  Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI

Where to Watch:  Big Ten Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  BGSU +40.5, Michigan -40.5; Over/Under:  53.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  BGSU +40.5, Michigan -40.5; Over/Under:  53.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  BGSU +40.5, Michigan -40.5; Over/Under:  53.5 points

Bowling Green Falcons:  1-1 (0-0) (2nd place, MAC East)

Michigan Wolverines:  2-0 (0-0) (6th place, Big Ten East)

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Bowling Green Falcons:  won their last game at home against the Eastern Illinois Panthers 38-15.

Michigan Wolverines:  won their last game at home against the UNLV Rebels 35-7.

Bowling Green State is entering this game with a 1-1 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Eastern Illinois 38-15. Connor Bazelak was the starting QB and he completed 23/28 passes for 319 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Terion Stewart led the team in rushing yards with 51 and 2 TDs. Taron Keith led the receivers with 123 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Joseph Sipp Jr. led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Cashius Howell led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Jalen Huskey came away with the only interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

Michigan is entering this game with a 2-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against UNLV 35-7. J.J. McCarthy was the starting QB and he completed 22/25 passes for 278 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Blake Corum led the team in rushing yards with 80 and 3 TDs. Roman Wilson led the receivers with 89 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 2 TDs. Michael Barrett led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Kenneth Grant and Jaylen Harrell each led the defense in sacks with 1.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have Bowling Green State listed as a 40.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Bowling Green State is 1-1 this season and they haven't been great in their games but this is a large number for Michigan to cover and it is something they haven't done yet this season. Michigan has been great in their games on defense as they haven't given up more than 7 points in either game, but their offense isn't putting up a ton of points either as they haven't even put up 40 points in either game this year. Michigan also likes to run the ball a lot which eats up a lot of clock and with the new rule changes to the clock, they are not going to get as many possessions with their longer drives. Michigan has a really good team but they love to run the ball which will give them less opportunities to put up points and they aren't going to be that focused on this game either with their conference schedule starting next week. The best way to place a bet here is on Bowling Green to cover the spread in this game. 

Bowling Green Michigan Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 16, 2023 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Michigan 38 BGSU 3.

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Bowling Green Falcons: 8-16 ATS as a road underdog of 21.5 or more points. 4-9 ATS off 1 or more straight overs. 16-5 UNDER after a cover as a double digit favorite. 27-18 UNDER off a home win.

Michigan Wolverines: 6-1 ATS off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite. 7-1 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread. 7-1 UNDER after a win by 28 or more points. 13-2 UNDER as a home favorite.

Bowling Green Falcons:  None.

Michigan Wolverines:  A. Walker (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. G. Green (DB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. J. Rolder (LB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. P. O'Leary (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. L. Forbes (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. C. Cabana (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. T. Dunlap (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. M. Paige (DB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. B. Hall (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. D. Clemons (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed.

“There’s not a position on the field that you see that has weakness. I think they’re way better than they were last year.” - Scot Loeffler on Michigan coming into this game against them.

“This whole week has been super emotional because that's been my guy since day one. That 47-yard touchdown was something that you just can't make up. It was unbelievable.” - J.J. McCarthy after their win against UNLV in their last game. 

WR Ibrahim, Abdul-Fatai 

WR Hiliare, Odieu 

TE Fannin Jr., Harold 

TE Bench, Andrew  

QB Bazelak, Connor 

RB Patterson, Jaison 

WR Johnson, Cornelius 

WR Moore, Fredrick 

WR Wilson, Roman 

TE Bredeson, Max  

QB McCarthy, J.J. 

RB Corum, Blake 

Passing: C. Bazelak (390)

Rushing: T. Stewart (106)

Receiving: H. Fannin Jr. (138)

Touchdowns: T. Stewart (2)

Passing: J. McCarthy (558)

Rushing: B. Corum (153)

Receiving: R. Wilson (167)

Touchdowns: R. Wilson (5)

Coaches:

Bowling Green Falcons: Scot Loeffler (5th season)

Michigan Wolverines: Jim Harbaugh (9th season)