Bowling Green Falcons vs Miami-OH RedHawks Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/16/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Tuesday, November 16, 2021
Venue:  Yager Stadium, Oxford, OH 
Where to Watch:  ESPNU

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  BGSU +15.5, Miami -15.5; Over/Under:  51 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  BGSU +15.5, Miami -15.5; Over/Under:  51 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  BGSU NL, Miami NL; Over/Under:  51 points
 

Season Record

Bowling Green Falcons:  3-7 (6th place, MAC East)
Miami-OH RedHawks:  5-5 (2nd place, MAC East)
 
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Larry Ness is 12-2, 86% with weekday CFB games / CFB: 43-28-2, +$11,127 YTD! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

 

Bowling Green Falcons vs Miami-OH RedHawks Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Bowling Green Falcons:  lost at home on Nov. 10 against the Toledo Rockets 49-17.
Miami-OH RedHawks:  won at home on Nov. 9 against the Buffalo Bulls 45-18.
 
 
 

Bowling Green Falcons Analysis

BGSU is coming into this college football game with a 3-7 record overall and they are 2-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 7th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 1-5 in their conference games this season. They have lost 5 of their last 6 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game. Matt McDonald did not play well in that game as he completed 11/20 passes for 65 yards and 1 touchdown. Tucker Melton threw a few passes as well and ended up throwing 1 interception in that one. Nick Mosley led the team in rushing with 53 yards on 10 carries while Terion Stewart had 42 yards and 1 touchdown on 13 carries. Austin Osborne led the receivers with 50 yards on 6 receptions in what was a very quiet day for the receiving corps. Trent Simms led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 5 assisted ones. No one on the defense was able to record a sack or an interception for them in that one. They have scored 229 points in their 10 games this season averaging 22.9 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 324 points against them allowing 32.4 PPG. Their offense is averaging 321.3 YPG while their defense is allowing 391.6 YPG.
 
 

Miami-OH RedHawks Analysis

Miami-OH is coming into this game with a 5-5 record overall and they are 4-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 7th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 4-2 in their conference games this season. They have won 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. Brett Gabbert played very well in that game as he completed 21/28 passes for 351 yards, 4 touchdowns and no interceptions. Keyon Mozee led the team in rushing with 67 yards and 1 touchdown on 15 carries while Kenny Tracy had 47 yards and 1 touchdown on 5 carries. Jalen Walker had a nice day as he led the receivers with 136 yards and 1 touchdown on 7 receptions while Jack Sorenson was right behind him with 112 yards and 1 touchdown on 5 receptions. Mac Hippenhammer caught the other touchdown pass in that one. Matthew Salopek led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 3 assisted ones. Kameron Butler and Kobe Hilton both had the only sacks in that game for them with 1 each while John Saunders Jr. came away with the only interception for them in that one. They have scored 268 points in their 10 games this season averaging 26.8 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 231 points against them allowing 23.1 PPG. Their offense is averaging 421.6 YPG while their defense is allowing 357.5 YPG.
 

 

Bowling Green vs Miami-OH Prediction

BGSU is coming into this contest as a 15.5 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. BGSU has not played well for most of the season but they have played better in recent weeks including their win against Buffalo. This team is starting to make strides under their new coach and this is the time of year that those improvements are really going to start showing as they look to finish their season strong to build on it next season. The best bet to place in this game is on BGSU to cover the spread here as they have a good coach and will keep this game close as they keep getting better each week.
 
Bowling Green Miami-OH Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Tuesday, November 16, 2021 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Miami-OH 31 BGSU 21.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today.  And if you enjoyed this Bowling Green Falcons Miami-OH RedHawks prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.
 

NCAAF Betting Trends

 
Bowling Green Falcons: 26-24 ATS as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points. 139-135 ATS in all games. 39-35 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 50-45 ATS as a road underdog. 79-63 ATS in road games. 96-90 ATS against conference opponents.
Miami-OH RedHawks: 41-50 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 57-58 ATS as a favorite. 32-34 ATS as a home favorite. 10-22 ATS in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56. 77-87 ATS in games played on turf. 36-48 ATS off 1 or more straight overs.
 

Key Injuries

 
Bowling Green Falcons:  T. Raymore (RB) out for season - Knee injury.
Miami-OH RedHawks:  J. Bester (RB) day-to-day - Undisclosed injury.
 

Notable Quotes

 
“Wasn’t even close. We watch the tape. Toledo is the best football team in this conference. It’s not even in the [same] hemisphere in terms of talent, speed size. ... This conference and us, we’re in a race to catch up with this team.” - Scot Loeffler on his team’s loss against Toledo in their last game.
 
 
“Their offense is about the same, even though they have an entirely new staff. They are very persistent in running the ball. The old staff was doing the same thing.” - Chuck Martin before their game against Buffalo which they came out as the winners.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Bowling Green Falcons
WR Tyrone Broden 
WR Osborne, Austin 
TE Christian Sims 
TE Bench, Andrew 
QB McDonald, Matt 
RB Stewart, Terion 
 
Miami-OH RedHawks
WR Hippenhammer, Mac
WR Walker, Jalen 
WR Sorenson, Jack 
TE Homer, Andrew 
QB Gabbert, Brett 
RB Bester, Jaylon 
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Bowling Green Falcons
Passing: M. McDonald (2192)
Rushing: T. Stewart (324)
Receiving: T. Broden (543)
Touchdowns: T. Broden (5)
 
Miami-OH RedHawks
Passing: B. Gabbert (1786)
Rushing: K. Mozee (422)
Receiving: J. Sorenson (1098)
Touchdowns: J. Sorenson (8)
 
Coaches:
Bowling Green Falcons: Scot Loeffler (3rd season)
Miami-OH RedHawks: Chuck Martin (8th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

© 2021 Al McMordie's BigAl.com. All Rights Reserved.