Bowling Green Falcons vs Liberty Flames Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/02/2023

Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, September 2, 2023

Venue:  Williams Stadium, Lynchburg, VA

Where to Watch:  CBS Sports

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  BGSU +10, Liberty -10; Over/Under:  50.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  BGSU +10, Liberty -10; Over/Under:  50.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  BGSU +10, Liberty -10; Over/Under:  50.5 points

Bowling Green Falcons:  0-0 (MAC East)

Liberty Flames:  0-0 (C-USA)

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Bowling Green Falcons:  N/A

Liberty Flames:  N/A

Bowling Green State finished last season with a 6-7 record overall and they had a 5-3 record in their conference games too.  They were 3-3 in their home games, 3-3 in their road games, and they were also 0-1 in their neutral site games last season, but they will be on the road for this season opener. Last season, their offense was averaging 23.5 points scored per game while their defense was allowing an average of 32.5 points per game. Their offense also averaged 334.8 yards per game while their defense was allowing an average of 419.6 yards per game. Matt McDonald led the team in passing yards with 2654, Jaison Patterson led the team in rushing yards with 583, and Odieu Hiliare led the team in receiving yards with 747.

 

 

 

Liberty finished last season with an 8-5 record overall and they had a 0-0 record in their conference games too.  They were 4-2 in their home games, 4-2 in their road games, and they were also 0-1 in their neutral site games last season, but they will be at home for this season opener. Last season, their offense was averaging 27.5 points scored per game while their defense was allowing an average of 24.6 points per game. Their offense also averaged 389.4 yards per game while their defense was allowing an average of 345.8 yards per game. Johnathan Bennett led the team in passing yards with 1534, Dae Dae Hunter led the team in rushing yards with 854, and Demario Douglas led the team in receiving yards with 993.

The current betting odds have Liberty listed as a 10 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Liberty is no longer an Independent school as they are now in the Conference USA and will be looking to make a splash in their 1st season there. They have made a lot of improvements in the transfer portal and will have a much better team this season. Bowling Green already wasn't great last season, they finished the regular season 6-6 going to a bowl game and losing in it but they have really taken a step back this season with the talent they have lost and they are not going to be as good as they were last season. This could be one of the worst teams in the MAC this season while Liberty has made improvements to their team and are now in a real conference where they can try to win a conference title so they will be motivated to get out to a good start at home this year. The best way to place a bet here is on Liberty to cover the spread in this game. 

Bowling Green Liberty Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 2, 2023 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Liberty 35 BGSU 14.

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Bowling Green Falcons: 4-8 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 11-6 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 52. 7-3 UNDER against Conference USA opponents. 

Liberty Flames: 46-26 ATS in all games. 38-19 ATS in non-conference games. 8-4 UNDER in home games. 12-7 UNDER in non-conference games.

Bowling Green Falcons:  None.

Liberty Flames:  B. Schlitter (OL) out for season - Lower Body. J. Jenkins (TE) out for season - Eligibility. V. Jones Jr. (WR) out for season - Knee. R. Smith (WR) out for season - Knee.

“I think we’ll be very good defensively. Offensively, I think we’ll have a better line than what we’ve had, and our skill players are good.” - Scot Loeffler on his team coming into this new college football season.

“He made a huge impact on the team. He was very quiet as far as an outwardly quietness. But when he was one on one with his teammates, he lit up the room. He had a very giving heart and if there was something that anybody was going through on the team, he was always there.” - Jamey Chadwell on Tajh Boyd who passed away right before this season opener.

WR Hiliare, Odieu 

WR Ibrahim, Abdul-Fatai 

TE Fannin Jr., Harold 

TE Gazarek, Levi 

QB Bazelak, Connor 

RB Stewart, Terion 

WR Frith, Noah 

WR Daniels, CJ 

WR Smith, Reese 

TE Hanshaw, Bentley 

QB Bennett, Johnathan 

RB Blue, Vaughn 

Passing: N/A

Rushing: N/A

Receiving: N/A

Touchdowns: N/A

Passing: N/A

Rushing: N/A

Receiving: N/A

Touchdowns: N/A

Coaches:

Bowling Green Falcons: Scot Loeffler (5th season)

Liberty Flames: Jamey Chadwell (1st season)