Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/30/2023

Game Time: 7:07 pm ET, Friday, June 30, 2023

Venue:  Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON

Where to Watch:  SNET

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +120, Blue Jays -140; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +120, Blue Jays -140; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +120, Blue Jays -140; Over/Under:  9 runs

Boston Red Sox:  40-41 (5th place, AL East)

Toronto Blue Jays:  44-37 (4th place, AL East)

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Boston Red Sox:  4-6 last 10

Toronto Blue Jays:  5-5 last 10

The Red Sox entered their last series on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 3-game series against the Chicago White Sox 2-1. They enter this game with a 40-41 record overall and have a road record of 19-21. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Blue Jays on Friday with the series finale of their series against the Miami Marlins still to be played on Thursday. They also lost the series opener and the 2nd game of that series on Tuesday and Wednesday. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .754 OPS. Brayan Bello is their starting pitcher on Thursday while James Paxton is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 3-1 with a 3.19 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 3 Ks on 2 hits through 4 IP against the Chicago White Sox.

The Blue Jays entered their last series on a 2 game winning streak and won their 3-game series against the Oakland Athletics 2-1. They enter this game with a 44-37 record overall and have a home record of 22-15. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Friday with the 3rd game of their series against the San Francisco Giants still to be played on Thursday. They also lost the 1st game of that series on Tuesday but won the 2nd game on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .751 OPS. Chris Bassitt is their starting pitcher on Thursday while José Berríos is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 8-5 with a 3.60 ERA this season. His team won 6 of their last 7 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 8 strikeouts on 6 hits through 6 innings played against the Oakland A’s.

The current betting odds have the Blue Jays listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Blue Jays haven't been great this season as they are only a few games above .500 and sitting in 4th place of their division, but the Red Sox have been even worse as they sit in last place of the same division and have been struggling to stay over .500 this season. The Red Sox do have one of the best offenses in the league this season but their pitching has been terrible and their offense has also been nowhere to be found lately as they aren't hitting the ball well. The Blue Jays also have one of the best offenses in the MLB and even though they have been really up and down this season, they have been putting up runs lately and will be looking to gain some ground in the division with a series win over a division opponent here. Paxton is starting for the Red Sox and he has been good in his starts but he hasn't made many this season and the Blue Jays offense will find ways to put the runs up at home here. Meanwhile, the Jays have Berrios starting in this game and he has been a solid starter for them lately as he hasn't been giving up many runs at all and the team has also been finding success in the games he has been starting in. His recent string of good performances along with the good Blue Jays offense will be enough to get by the Red Sox at home with their struggling lineup. The best way to place a bet here is on the Blue Jays to win this game.

Red Sox Blue Jays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, June 30, 2023 (7:07 pm ET start time) is Blue Jays 6 Red Sox 3.

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Boston Red Sox: 12-11 (+6.7 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +125 to +175. 13-11 (+4.1 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 7-3 UNDER on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5. 

Toronto Blue Jays: 30-25 (-8.4 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 7-17 (-15.4 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 9-5 UNDER at home with a money line of -100 to -150. 21-13 UNDER in home games.

Boston Red Sox:  M. Yoshida (LF) Ques Thurs - Forearm. J. Paxton (SP) Prob Fri - Knee. P. Reyes (3B) Out indefinitely - Abdominal. J. Schreiber (RP) Early July - Back. R. McGuire (C) Mid July - Oblique. Y. Chang (3B) Out indefinitely - Wrist. J. Rodriguez (RP) Early July - Shoulder. C. Kluber (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Houck (SP) Out indefinitely - Face. W. Mills (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. C. Sale (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder. T. Story (2B) Late July - Elbow. R. Bleier (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. Z. Kelly (RP) Early Sept - Elbow. A. Mondesi (SS) Out indefinitely - Knee.

Toronto Blue Jays:  T. Heineman (C) Ques Thurs - Upper Body. A. Cimber (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. Z. Pop (RP) Early July - Hamstring. C. Green (RP) Mid July - Elbow. A. Kirk (C) Out indefinitely - Hand. H. Ryu (SP) Mid July - Elbow.

“We're not hitting the ball hard. It's been going on for a while. Putting good at-bats, but not finishing them. We're struggling offensively right now. We are.” - Alex Cora after his team’s loss against the Marlins in their game on Wednesday.

“It was a convicted approach up and down.” - John Schneider after his team’s win against the Giants in their game on Wednesday.

Alex Verdugo (L) RF

Justin Turner (R) 1B

Rob Refsnyder (R) LF

Rafael Devers (L) 3B

Adam Duvall (R) DH

Christian Arroyo (R) 2B

Enrique Hernandez (R) CF

Connor Wong (R) C

David Hamilton (L) SS

George Springer (R) RF

Bo Bichette (R) SS

Brandon Belt (L) DH

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R) 1B

Matt Chapman (R) 3B

Daulton Varsho (L) CF

Whit Merrifield (R) LF

Danny Jansen (R) C

Cavan Biggio (L) 2B

Batting Average:  Pablo Reyes (.303)

Hits:  Alex Verdugo (88)

Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (19)

RBI:  Rafael Devers (61)

Stolen Bases:  Jarren Duran (15)

Wins:  Chris Sale (5)

Saves:  Kenley Jansen (16)

ERA:  Chris Murphy (1.80)

Batting Average:  Ernie Clement (.429)

Hits:  Bo Bichette (110)

Home Runs:  Bo Bichette (14)

RBI:  Vladimir Guerrero (49)

Stolen Bases:  Whit Merrifield (18)

Wins:  Jose Berrios (8)

Saves:  Jordan Romano (23)

ERA:  Thomas Hatch (0.00)

Managers:

Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (5th season, 3rd consecutive)

Toronto Blue Jays: John Schneider (2nd season)