Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/19/2024

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Jun 18, 2024
Game Time: 7:07 pm ET, Wednesday, June 19, 2024
Venue:  Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Where to Watch:  SN1


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +105, Blue Jays -125; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +105, Blue Jays -125; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +105, Blue Jays -125; Over/Under:  8 runs

Season Record

Boston Red Sox:  38-35 (3rd place, AL East)
Toronto Blue Jays:  35-37 (4th place, AL East)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Kyle Hunter is on a HOT STREAK in the MLB on a 16-3-1 MLB RUN for +$12,600 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.


Recent Form
Boston Red Sox:  6-4 last 10
Toronto Blue Jays:  5-5 last 10



Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview and Analysis


The Red Sox are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the New York Yankees 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 38-35 record overall and have a road record of 20-15. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Blue Jays on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. The Red Sox won the series opener of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .740 OPS. Tanner Houck is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Brayan Bello is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 6-4 with a 5.00 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 1 HR, and 3 BB with 5 Ks on 6 hits through 4.2 IP against the New York Yankees.

The Blue Jays are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Cleveland Guardians 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 35-37 record overall and have a home record of 18-17. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. The Blue Jays lost the 1st game of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 19th in the MLB with a .677 OPS. Chris Bassitt is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Kevin Gausman is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 5-5 with a 4.08 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 1 homer, and 0 BB with 6 strikeouts on 8 hits through 5.1 innings played against the Cleveland Guardians.


Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction

The current betting odds have the Blue Jays listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Red Sox have looked decent in their games this season with their 38-35 record overall which has them in 3rd place of the AL East, but they are still well out of the race for the division with the Baltimore Orioles and the New York Yankees so many games ahead. They have looked a lot better in their road games though with their 20-15 road record. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays haven't looked great in their games this season with their 35-37 record overall and their 18-17 home record which has them struggling in the AL East and well out of the division race. They already lost the 1st game of this series against the Red Sox, but they do have the better pitching matchup in this one which gives them a better chance to win. Gausman is on the mound for the Jays and he hasn't looked bad this season. He is 5-5 with a 4.08 ERA and he gave up 3 earned runs in his last start too, but the Jays have looked a lot better as a team in their home games so if Gausman is going to bounce back with a better start, it is going to be at home. The Red Sox also have Bello on the mound here and he hasn't looked great this year. He is 6-4 with a 5.00 ERA and he has been giving up a ton of runs in his starts all season. He is coming off a start in which he gave up 4 earned runs and the team has lost 3 games in a row with him starting too. The Red Sox do have the better offense but the Jays were putting up a lot of runs in their last series at home and if they are going to take a game in this series, this will be their best shot with the pitching matchup. The best way to place a bet here is on the Blue Jays to win this game. 

Red Sox Blue Jays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, June 19, 2024 (7:07 pm ET start time) is Blue Jays 6 Red Sox 5.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks, best bets, and expert baseball picks today.  And if you enjoyed this Boston Red Sox Toronto Blue Jays prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily MLB projections and previews.

MLB Betting Trends


Boston Red Sox: 20-15 (+6.5 units) on the moneyline in road games. 53-51 (+7 units) on the moneyline on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5. 29-23 (+5.9 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 9-5 OVER against division opponents. BRAYAN BELLO is 5-0 OVER as an underdog of +100 or higher and 6-1 OVER in road games.

Toronto Blue Jays: 35-37 (-7.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 77-85 (-14 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 73-75 (-17.7 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. KEVIN GAUSMAN is 10-4 OVER in all games, 8-3 OVER as a favorite of -110 or higher, and 18-10 OVER against division opponents.

Key Injuries


Boston Red Sox:  M. Yoshida (LF) Ques Tues - Hand. Z. Penrod (SP) Late June - Leg. L. Hendriks (RP) Early August - Elbow. G. Whitlock (RP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. C. Murphy (RP) out for season - Elbow. B. Mata (SP) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. C. Martin (RP) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. V. Grissom (2B) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. R. Gonzalez (2B) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. L. Giolito (SP) out for season - Elbow. T. Casas (3B) Out indefinitely - Ribs. W. Abreu (CF) Out indefinitely - Ankle. T. Story (2B) out for season - Shoulder.

Toronto Blue Jays:  Y. Garcia (RP) Ques Tues - Elbow. B. Bichette (SS) Que Tues - Calf. J. Romano (RP) Late June - Elbow. A. Manoah (SP) out of season - Elbow. Y. Rodriguez (SP) Out indefinitely - Spine.


Notable Quotes


“Offensively, we came out hot. The two homers put us in a good spot.” - Alex Cora after his team’s win against the Blue Jays in their game on Monday.


“Just an abnormal start for Yusei with his stuff tonight.” - John Schneider after his team’s loss against the Red Sox in their game on Monday.


Starting Lineups


Boston Red Sox
Jarren Duran (L) LF
Rob Refsnyder (R) RF
Tyler O'Neill (R) DH
Rafael Devers (L) 3B
Connor Wong (R) C
Romy Gonzalez (R) 2B
Bobby Dalbec (R) 1B
David Hamilton (L) SS
Ceddanne Rafaela (R) CF

Toronto Blue Jays
Davis Schneider (R) 2B
Danny Jansen (R) C
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R) 1B
Daulton Varsho (L) LF
Justin Turner (R) DH
George Springer (R) RF
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R) SS
Ernie Clement (R) 3B
Kevin Kiermaier (L) CF

Statistical Leaders


Boston Red Sox
Batting Average:  Connor Wong (.332)
Hits:  Jarren Duran (83)
Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (14)
RBI:  Ceddanne Rafaela (40)
Stolen Bases:  David Hamilton (18)
Wins:  Tanner Houck (7)
Saves:  Kenley Jansen (12)
ERA:  Pablo Reyes (0.00)

Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average:  Spencer Horwitz (.333)
Hits:  Vladimir Guerrero (78)
Home Runs:  Daulton Varsho (11)
RBI:  Daulton Varsho (35)
Stolen Bases:  George Springer (8)
Wins:  Chris Bassitt (6)
Saves:  Jordan Romano (8)
ERA:  Brandon Eisert (0.00)

Managers:
Boston Red Sox: Álex Cora (4th season)
Toronto Blue Jays: John Schneider (3rd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

© 2024 Al McMordie's BigAl.com. All Rights Reserved.