Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Odds and Preview - 08/08/2021

by James Q


Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Odds, and Preview - 08/08/2021



Game Time
: 1:07 pm ET, Sunday, August 8th, 2021

Venue:  Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario, Canada

Where to Watch:  NESN, SNET, SNET1, TVA Sports


Season-to-Date Record:


Red Sox: 64-47 (2nd place American League East)

Blue Jays: 58-49 (4th place, American League East)



Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks:


DraftKings:  Moneyline odds: Red Sox +170; Blue Jays -200,  Over/Under: 10 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds: Red Sox +170; Blue Jays -200,  Over/Under: 10 runs


Key Injuries:



Red Sox:  J Duran (illness) Out,  D Santana (Groin) Out, C Arroyo (Hamstring) Out

Blue Jays: C Baggio (back) Out, J Soria (undisclosed) Out, J Merryweather (back) Out


Recent Lineups:



Red Sox:


E. Hernandez, CF
A. Verdugo, LF
X. Bogaerts, SS
R. Devers, 3B
H. Renfroe, RF
K. Plawecki, C
C. Vazquez, DH
B. Dalbec, 1B
J. Arauz, 2B


Blue Jays:



G. Springer, CF
V. Guerrero Jr., DH
M. Semien, 2B
B. Bichette, SS
T. Hernandez, RF
C. Dickerson, LF
A. Kirk, C
L. Gurriel Jr., 1B
S. Espinal, 3B



Statistical Leaders:



Red Sox:

Batting Average: Xander Bogaerts (.305)

Hits:  Xander Bogaets (115)

Home Runs: Rafael Devers (27)

RBI: Rafael Devers (82)

Stolen Bases:  Christian Vazquez (8)

Wins: Nathan Evoldi (9)

Saves: Matt Barnes (24)

ERA:  Matt Barnes (.225)


Blue Jays:

Batting Average:  Vlad Guerrero Jr (.319)

Hits: Bo Bichette (127)

Home Runs:  Vlad Guerrero Jr (34)

RBI: Vlad Guerrero Jr (85)

Stolen Bases:  Bo Bichette (17)

Wins: Hyun Jin Ryu (11)

Saves: Jordan Romano (9)

ERA:  Robbie Ray (3.04)



Managers
:

Red Sox:  Alex “Happy to be back with the team” Cora 

Blue Jays:  Jose Diaz



Recent Form:



Boston is 2-8 over their last ten games.  They are in second place in the AL East but aren’t even playing like a team with a winning record. They got swept in a three-game series by the Tampa Bay Rays, which is why they find themselves 3 games back and clinging to a 4 game lead over the New York Yankees. Is the starting rotation off?  Does it matter whether it’s Saturday night at Fenway Park or Monday night on the road or if the opponents are the sputtering Detroit Tigers or surging Tampa Bay Rays?

Toronto Is 9-1 over their last ten games.  A hot streak for the AL East team from Canada. They swept the Kansas City Royals. They went 3 of 4 against the Cleveland Indians. The other three wins all from the Red Sox. The last start against the Red Sox they bombed for 12 runs, wasn’t even a contest.  They don’t have a shot at the Division Lead (The Rays look good there), or even a wild card spot, but they could displace the Yankees with continued hot play. The Blue Jays odds are usually not great, but this is a right place right time match-up. 



Series History:



The Red Sox are 9-7 against the Blue Jays this year, but the Blue Jays absolutely shelled the Sox during the last two 12-4, 13-1.  The Blue Jays have that type of potent offense that though they aren’t always winning they can put up runs in a hurry.  Valdemir Guerrero, Rafael Devers, and Bo Bichette can combine to get the Blue Jays offense scoring. 


Statistical Comparison:



The Red Sox are 4th in batting average (.256), 10th in home runs (140), and 7th in runs scored.  All around a solid team that can score.  Red Sox pitchers are 15th in ERA 4.28, 25th in whip 1.39, 6th in home runs given up.  

The Blue Jays are 1st in batting average (.266), tied for 1st in home runs (165), and most importantly 3rd in runs scored (behind Astros and Dodgers).  The bats are hot.  Pitching is why they aren’t contending meaningfully.  They are 12th in ERA, 12th in whip, 20th in home runs given up (141).  They aren’t elite because the pitchers aren’t pulling the weight of the batters. 



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Red Sox vs Blue Jays Game Preview:



The Red Sox will start right-hander Garret Richards who is 6-7, 2.57 ERA, 85 strikeouts.  That is all he is... the starting pitcher.  The bullpen will warm up and empty out and hopefully for Boston’s sake the Red Sox lineup will give lots of run support.  I put money on sports I didn’t really understand during the Olympics in Tokyo, but I won’t put money on Garret Richards.

The Blue Jays will start Lefty Hyun Jin Ryu, 11-5, 3.22 ERA, 102 strikeouts.  He is a star.  Not the biggest star but certainly Toronto’s best.


Trends:


Blue Jays: Toronto is 9-1 on the moneyline over their last ten games.  They logged 6 Unders, 3 Overs, and 1 Push.

Red Sox: Boston is 2-8 on the moneyline over their last ten games.  They logged 6 Unders and 4 Overs.



Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday August 8th game is Blue Jays 8 Red Sox 3.



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James Q

About the Author:

James Q. has been involved with sports and gambling his entire life. A former division 1 scholarship basketball player, James understands sports (and especially basketball) inside-and-out. Following his basketball playing days, James parlayed his gambling skills into a semi-pro poker career. James resides in Los Angeles, and especially loves the Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Rams, and Los Angeles Dodgers. And when he isn't betting on sports (and writing about it), James can be found performing stand-up comedy on the Sunset Strip.

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