Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/13/2022

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Jul 12, 2022
Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Wednesday, July 13, 2022
Venue:  Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, FL
Where to Watch:  BSSUN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +120, Rays -140; Over/Under:  6.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +120, Rays -140; Over/Under:  6.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +120, Rays -140; Over/Under:  6.5 runs
 

Season Record

Boston Red Sox:  47-40 (2nd place, AL East)
Tampa Bay Rays:  46-40 (3rd place, AL East)
 
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Recent Form
Boston Red Sox:  4-6 last 10
Tampa Bay Rays:  6-4 last 10
 
 
 

Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Preview and Analysis

 
The Red Sox were on a 2 game winning streak but now enter this game off of a loss. They split their last series against the New York Yankees 2-2 in a 4-game series. They enter this game with a 47-40 record overall and have a road record of 24-20. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Rays on Wednesday with the 2nd game still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .740 OPS. Chris Sale is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Connor Seabold is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 0-2 with a 11.91 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 7 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 2 Ks on 9 hits through 2.2 IP against the New York Yankees. 
 
The Rays were on a 3 game losing streak but now enter this game off of a win. They lost their last series against the Cincinnati Reds getting swept 3-0 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 46-40 record overall and have a home record of 26-17. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Red Sox on Wednesday with the 2nd game still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 23rd in the MLB with a .687 OPS. Corey Kluber is on the mound on Tuesday while Shane McClanahan will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Wednesday. He is 9-3 with a 1.73 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 8 Ks on 3 hits through 6 IP against the Cincinnati Reds. 

 

Red Sox vs Rays Prediction

The current betting odds have the Rays listed as a slight favorite in this game. The Rays were just swept by the Reds over the weekend but they were playing quite well going into that series and they have already ripped off a win in this series against the Red Sox. They seem to have had the Red Sox number in their last few meetings and the Rays have been the better team recently as well. The Red Sox have been losing a lot of games and to some bad teams as well. They are still dealing with a lot of injuries to their starters so they will have Seabold starting here and he has been having a very bad season, coming off of another bad start in his last game. McClanahan is starting for the Rays here and he has been one of their pitchers this season as he does not allow many runs in any of his starts. He will give the Rays a very good performance at home here and will keep the Red Sox from scoring a lot here. The best way to place a bet in this game is on the Rays to win here.
 
Red Sox Rays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 13, 2022 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Rays 3 Red Sox 1.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Boston Red Sox: 12-9 (+5.4 Units) ML as a road underdog of +100 to +150. 24-20 (+4.8 Units) ML in road games. 12-6 UNDER as a road underdog of +100 to +150.
Tampa Bay Rays: 46-40 (-3.5 Units) ML in all games. 13-3 UNDER as a home favorite of -125 to -175. 20-14 UNDER against division opponents.
 

Key Injuries

 
Boston Red Sox:  R. Devers (3B) Ques Mon - Back. E. Hernandez (CF) Late July - Hip Flexor. C. Arroyo (2B) Out indefinitely - Groin.
Tampa Bay Rays:  K. Kiermaier (CF) Out indefinitely - Hip. W. Franco (SS) Out indefinitely - Wrist. B. Lowe (2B) Late July - Back.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"He gave us 12 outs. We needed him to do that and he did. ... He gave us a chance to win the game." - Alex Cora after his team’s loss against the Rays on Monday.
 
 
"A lot of times in this game you hit the ball hard and you get nothing to show for it. Now I'm hitting balls that are falling in for hits." - Yandy Diaz after their win against the Red Sox on Monday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Boston Red Sox
Jarren Duran (L) CF
Christian Vazquez (R) C
J.D. Martinez (R) DH
Xander Bogaerts (R) SS
Alex Verdugo (L) LF
Trevor Story (R) 2B
Franchy Cordero (L) 1B
Rob Refsnyder (R) RF
Bobby Dalbec (R) 3B
 
Tampa Bay Rays
Yandy Diaz (R) 3B
Ji-Man Choi (L) 1B
Randy Arozarena (R) DH
Jonathan Aranda (L) 2B
Josh Lowe (L) RF
Francisco Mejia (S) C
Luke Raley (L) LF
Taylor Walls (S) SS
Brett Phillips (L) CF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Boston Red Sox
Batting Average:  Jaylin Davis (.500)
Hits:  Rafael Devers (106)
Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (19)
RBI:  Trevor Story (58)
Stolen Bases:  Trevor Story (10)
Wins:  Nick Pivetta (8)
Saves:  Tanner Houck (6)
ERA:  Kevin Plawecki (0.00)
 
Tampa Bay Rays
Batting Average:  Jonathan Aranda (.500)
Hits:  Randy Arozarena (82)
Home Runs:  Isaac Paredes (13)
RBI:  Randy Arozarena (40)
Stolen Bases:  Randy Arozarena (18)
Wins:  Shane McClanahan (9)
Saves:  Andrew Kittredge (5)
ERA:  J.P. Feyereisen (0.00)
 
Managers:
Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (4th season)
Tampa Bay Rays: Kevin Cash (8th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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