Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/02/2023

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Aug 01, 2023
Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Wednesday, August 2, 2023
Venue:  T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA
Where to Watch:  ROOT Sports NW


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +110, Mariners -130; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +110, Mariners -130; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +110, Mariners -130; Over/Under:  8 runs

Season Record

Boston Red Sox:  56-50 (4th place, AL East)
Seattle Mariners:  55-51 (4th place, AL West)

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Recent Form
Boston Red Sox:  5-5 last 10
Seattle Mariners:  7-3 last 10



Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners Preview and Analysis


The Red Sox are entering this series on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 3-game series against the San Francisco Giants 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 56-50 record overall and have a road record of 26-27. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Mariners on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. They also lost the series opener of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 6th in the MLB with a .765 OPS. Brayan Bello is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Kutter Crawford is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 5-5 with a 3.86 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 7 Ks on 3 hits through 5.2 IP against the San Francisco Giants.

The Mariners are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 55-51 record overall and have a home record of 30-25. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. They also won the 1st game of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 22nd in the MLB with a .710 OPS. Rookie pitcher Bryce Miller is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Logan Gilbert is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 9-5 with a 3.83 ERA this season. His team won their last 5 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 0 BB with 5 strikeouts on 9 hits through 6.1 innings played against the Arizona Diamondbacks.


Red Sox vs Mariners Prediction

The current betting odds have the Mariners listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mariners have been rolling since coming out of the All-Star break and are clearly trying to get hot now to make a playoff run. They have been playing a lot better than the Red Sox have been playing lately as the Red Sox just had their long win streak ended over the weekend and now they have fallen into a slump with a cold offense. The Red Sox are in the same boat as the Mariners since they both have similar winning records but still have a long way to go before getting into this playoff race. The Mariners have been rolling at home lately though and they are going to be looking to beat up on this slumping Red Sox team as they try to stay hot and get into the playoff race. The Mariners are going with Gilbert in this game and he has been a really reliable starter for them over the last few seasons and hasn't been giving up many runs in his starts lately either. He has also been really good in his home starts and will have no trouble shutting down this cold Red Sox lineup. Meanwhile, the Red Sox have Crawford on the mound here and he hasn't been terrible lately but he does give up quite a few runs, especially when he makes his appearances as a starter as he has been a lot worse in the rotation than out of the bullpen. The Mariners will be able to take advantage of the scoring opportunities they get here since Crawford is going to put them on base and the Red Sox will struggle to compete offensively in this game with Gilbert shutting them down. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mariners to win this game.

Red Sox Mariners Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, August 2, 2023 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Mariners 4 Red Sox 0.
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MLB Betting Trends


Boston Red Sox: 28-28 (+9.5 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 56-50 (+6.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. KUTTER CRAWFORD is 5-3 OVER as a road underdog of +100 to +150 and 4-2 OVER in August games.

Seattle Mariners: 55-51 (-8.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 55-51 (-8.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 29-20 OVER at home when the total is 7 to 8.5. 14-8 OVER against AL East opponents.

Key Injuries


Boston Red Sox:  J. Turner (DH) Ques Tues - Heel. J. Rodriguez (RP) Out indefinitely - Hip. C. Kluber (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. K. Ort (RP) Early Sept - Elbow. T. Story (2B) Mid Aug - Elbow. R. McGuire (C) Mid Aug - Oblique. G. Whitlock (RP) Mid Aug - Elbow. C. Sale (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. W. Mills (RP) out for season - Elbow. T. Houck (SP) Out indefinitely - Face. Z. Kelly (RP) Early Sept - Elbow. A. Mondesi (SS) Out indefinitely - Knee.

Seattle Mariners:  D. Moore (RF) Ques Tues - Wrist. M. Gonzales (SP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. J. Kelenic (CF) Early Sept - Foot. P. Murfee (SP) out for season - Elbow. R. Ray (SP) out for season - Forearm. E. McGee (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. White (1B) Mid Aug - Thigh.


Notable Quotes


“Him going deep in the game, that was huge for us to reset and actually give us a chance to win the series the next two days.” - Alex Cora after his team’s loss against the Mariners in their game on Monday.


“It’s hard this time of year. It really is. Players and their families and everything else with the trade deadline and trying to see how it all plays out.” - Scott Servais after his team’s win against the Red Sox in their game on Monday.


Starting Lineups


Boston Red Sox
Jarren Duran (L) CF
Justin Turner (R) DH
Masataka Yoshida (L) LF
Rafael Devers (L) 3B
Triston Casas (L) 1B
Alex Verdugo (L) RF
Connor Wong (R) C
Pablo Reyes (R) 2B
Yu Chang (R) SS

Seattle Mariners
J.P. Crawford (L) SS
Julio Rodriguez (R) CF
Eugenio Suarez (R) 3B
Cal Raleigh (S) DH
Teoscar Hernandez (R) RF
Ty France (R) 1B
Tom Murphy (R) C
Cade Marlowe (L) LF
Jose Caballero (R) 2B

Statistical Leaders


Boston Red Sox
Batting Average:  Jarren Duran (.314)
Hits:  Justin Turner (112)
Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (25)
RBI:  Rafael Devers (76)
Stolen Bases:  Jarren Duran (23)
Wins:  Brayan Bello (7)
Saves:  Kenley Jansen (23)
ERA:  Mauricio Llovera (0.00)

Seattle Mariners
Batting Average:  Tom Murphy (.286)
Hits:  Julio Rodriguez (108)
Home Runs:  Julio Rodriguez (17)
RBI:  Eugenio Suarez (65)
Stolen Bases:  Julio Rodriguez (24)
Wins:  George Kirby (9)
Saves:  Paul Sewald (21)
ERA:  Easton McGee (0.00)

Managers:
Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (5th season, 3rd consecutive)
Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (8th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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