Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/01/2023

Game Time: 9:40 pm ET, Tuesday, August 1, 2023

Venue:  T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA

Where to Watch:  ROOT Sports NW

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +100, Mariners -120; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox -110, Mariners -110; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +100, Mariners -120; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Boston Red Sox:  56-49 (4th place, AL East)

Seattle Mariners:  54-51 (4th place, AL West)

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Boston Red Sox:  5-5 last 10

Seattle Mariners:  7-3 last 10

The Red Sox are entering this series on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 3-game series against the San Francisco Giants 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 56-49 record overall and have a road record of 26-26. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Mariners on Tuesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 6th in the MLB with a .766 OPS. Nick Pivetta is their starting pitcher on Monday while Brayan Bello is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 7-6 with a 3.66 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 4 Ks on 4 hits through 6 IP against the Atlanta Braves.

The Mariners are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 54-51 record overall and have a home record of 29-25. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 22nd in the MLB with a .710 OPS. George Kirby is their starting pitcher on Monday while rookie pitcher Bryce Miller is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 7-3 with a 3.96 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 6 earned runs, 4 homers, and 0 BB with 7 strikeouts on 8 hits through 5.2 innings played against the Minnesota Twins.

The current betting odds have the Mariners listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mariners have been getting hot now as they are trying to surge up the standings in the AL West and they are catching the Red Sox at a time when they are starting to slump. The Red Sox haven't had great pitching this season and with the way the Mariners offense is getting hot now, they will take advantage of the scoring opportunities they get in this game. Bello is on the mound here and he has been consistently giving up runs in his starts lately too. Meanwhile, the Mariners have Miller on the mound here and he has been pitching really well all season. He had a bad start in his last outing but he will be looking to bounce back at home here and the Red Sox offense has also been cooling off over the last few games. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mariners to win this game.

Red Sox Mariners Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, August 1, 2023 (9:40 pm ET start time) is Mariners 4 Red Sox 1.

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Boston Red Sox: 28-28 (+9.5 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 56-50 (+6.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 10-2 OVER after a game where the bullpen threw 1 inning or less. 4-2 OVER on the road when the total is 7 to 7.5.

Seattle Mariners: 55-51 (-8.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 16-17 (-8 units) on the moneyline at home when the total is 7 to 7.5. 10-4 OVER at home when the money line is +125 to -125. 14-8 OVER against AL East opponents.

Boston Red Sox:  J. Rodriguez (RP) Out indefinitely - Hip. C. Kluber (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. K. Ort (RP) Early Sept - Elbow. T. Story (2B) Early Aug - Elbow. R. McGuire (C) Early Aug - Oblique. G. Whitlock (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. C. Sale (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. W. Mills (RP) out for season - Elbow. T. Houck (SP) Out indefinitely - Face. Z. Kelly (RP) Early Sept - Elbow. A. Mondesi (SS) Out indefinitely - Knee.

Seattle Mariners:  D. Moore (RF) Ques Mon - Wrist. A. Pollock (DH) Prob Tues - Hamstring. M. Gonzales (SP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. J. Kelenic (CF) Early Sept - Foot. P. Murfee (SP) out for season - Elbow. R. Ray (SP) out for season - Forearm. E. McGee (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. White (1B) Mid Aug - Thigh.

“No, I'm not playing that game. We've got six in a row, we get an off day. I know we get an off day this week. Then after that it's 10, then an off day, then 14. I know the schedule.” - Alex Cora after his team’s win against the Giants in their game on Friday.

“What a trade. He has changed the whole demeanor around our pitching staff. He's the rock, he's who we lean on and he showed up today.” - Scott Servais after his team’s win against the Diamondbacks in their game on Sunday.

Rob Refsnyder (R) LF

Justin Turner (R) 1B

Rafael Devers (L) 3B

Adam Duvall (R) CF

Masataka Yoshida (L) DH

Christian Arroyo (R) 2B

Alex Verdugo (L) RF

Pablo Reyes (R) SS

Jorge Alfaro (R) C

J.P. Crawford (L) SS

Julio Rodriguez (R) CF

Eugenio Suarez (R) 3B

Cal Raleigh (S) C

Teoscar Hernandez (R) RF

Mike Ford (L) DH

Ty France (R) 1B

Cade Marlowe (L) LF

Kolten Wong (L) 2B

Batting Average:  Jarren Duran (.315)

Hits:  Justin Turner (111)

Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (25)

RBI:  Rafael Devers (76)

Stolen Bases:  Jarren Duran (21)

Wins:  Brayan Bello (7)

Saves:  Kenley Jansen (23)

ERA:  Mauricio Llovera (0.00)

Batting Average:  Tom Murphy (.285)

Hits:  Julio Rodriguez (107)

Home Runs:  Julio Rodriguez (17)

RBI:  Eugenio Suarez (64)

Stolen Bases:  Julio Rodriguez (24)

Wins:  George Kirby (9)

Saves:  Paul Sewald (21)

ERA:  Easton McGee (0.00)

Managers:

Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (5th season, 3rd consecutive)

Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (8th season)