Boston Red Sox vs San Francisco Giants Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/28/2023

Game Time: 10:15 pm ET, Friday, July 28, 2023

Venue:  Oracle Park, San Francisco, CA

Where to Watch:  NBCS-BA

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +130, Giants -150; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +130, Giants -150; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +130, Giants -150; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Boston Red Sox:  55-47 (4th place, AL East)

San Francisco Giants:  56-47 (2nd place, NL West)

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Boston Red Sox:  6-4 last 10

San Francisco Giants:  4-6 last 10

The Red Sox are entering this series on a 4 game winning streak and completed the sweep 2-0 in their 2-game series against the Atlanta Braves in their last series. They enter this game with a 55-47 record overall and have a road record of 25-24. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Giants on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .771 OPS. Brayan Bello was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Kutter Crawford is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 4-5 with a 4.04 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 2 HR, and 0 BB with 2 Ks on 4 hits through 4 IP against the New York Mets.

The Giants are entering this series on a 2 game winning streak and completed the sweep 2-0 in their 2-game series against the Oakland Athletics in their last series. They enter this game with a 56-47 record overall and have a home record of 28-25. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 20th in the MLB with a .717 OPS. Rookie pitcher Ryan Walker was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Logan Webb is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 8-8 with a 3.48 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 6 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 2 strikeouts on 5 hits through 1.1 innings played against the Washington Nationals.

The current betting odds have the Red Sox listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Red Sox have been rolling in their games lately, they are still in 4th place of the AL East but are slowly trying to climb up the standings and do have a really good offense. The Giants also have a good offense but the Red Sox have one of the best in the league and they will be trying to take advantage of this pitching matchup. The Giants are going with Webb in this game and he has been a solid starter for the Giants all season but he is coming off a terrible start in his last one as he gave up 6 runs and this hot Red Sox offense will be looking to get after him for some runs while he hasn't been at his best lately. The Red Sox are going with Crawford in this game and he hasn't been great this season but he hasn't been bad either and even though he gave up 4 runs in his last start, he hasn't been giving up that many runs in his starts lately and he does have the better offense behind him here too. The Red Sox have been putting up a ton of runs in their games lately and they are on a streak right now as they are getting hot. The best way to place a bet here is on the Red Sox to win this game. 

Red Sox Giants Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, July 28, 2023 (10:15 pm ET start time) is Red Sox 7 Giants 5.

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Boston Red Sox: 13-1 (+15.1 units) on the moneyline after batting .333 or better over a 3 game span. 17-11 (+13.6 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +125 to +175. 7-1 UNDER against NL West opponents. 12-5 UNDER when the total is 7 or less. 

San Francisco Giants: 17-17 (-8.4 units) on the moneyline as a home favorite of -110 or higher. 11-13 (-4.8 units) on the moneyline after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span. 13-7 UNDER after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span. 20-11 UNDER as a home favorite of -110 or higher.

Boston Red Sox:  K. Ort (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. T. Story (2B) Early Aug - Elbow. R. McGuire (C) Early Aug - Oblique. C. Kluber (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder. G. Whitlock (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. C. Sale (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. W. Mills (RP) out for season - Elbow. T. Houck (SP) Out indefinitely - Face. Z. Kelly (RP) Early Sept - Elbow. A. Mondesi (SS) Out indefinitely - Knee.

San Francisco Giants:  B. Crawford (SS) Early Aug - Knee. C. Waites (RP) out for season - Elbow. L. Gonzalez (CF) Early Aug - Back. T. Estrada (SS) Mid Aug - Wrist. M. Haniger (RF) Late Aug - Forearm. J. Brebbia (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. T. Szapucki (SP) out for season - Arm. R. Perez (C) out for season - Shoulder.

“They have a great team. We respect the way they go about it. They’re relentless. Hopefully we can play them again. That’s the goal here, but we’ve got work to do." - Alex Cora after his team’s win against the Braves in their game on Wednesday.

“We've got two months, we've got a really tough schedule in August, so every one matters. So it's show up and go to work.” - Alex Wood after their win against the A’s in their game on Wednesday.

Jarren Duran (L) LF

Justin Turner (R) 2B

Masataka Yoshida (L) DH

Rafael Devers (L) 3B

Adam Duvall (R) CF

Alex Verdugo (L) RF

Triston Casas (L) 1B

Connor Wong (R) C

Yu Chang (R) SS

LaMonte Wade Jr. (L) 1B

Wilmer Flores (R) DH

J.D. Davis (R) 3B

Michael Conforto (L) LF

Luis Matos (R) CF

Patrick Bailey (S) C

Mike Yastrzemski (L) RF

Marco Luciano (R) SS

Casey Schmitt (R) 2B

Batting Average:  Masataka Yoshida (.316)

Hits:  Masataka Yoshida (110)

Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (25)

RBI:  Rafael Devers (76)

Stolen Bases:  Jarren Duran (21)

Wins:  Brayan Bello (7)

Saves:  Kenley Jansen (22)

ERA:  Chris Martin (1.44)

Batting Average:  Austin Slater (.298)

Hits:  J.D. Davis (82)

Home Runs:  Michael Conforto (13)

RBI:  Michael Conforto (51)

Stolen Bases:  Thairo Estrada (18)

Wins:  Logan Webb (8)

Saves:  Camilo Doval (31)

ERA:  Mauricio Llovera (1.69)

Managers:

Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (5th season, 3rd consecutive)

San Francisco Giants: Gabe Kapler (4th season)