Game Time: 9:40 pm ET, Friday, May 19, 2023
Venue: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
Where to Watch: BSSO
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Red Sox +140, Padres -165; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Red Sox +140, Padres -165; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Red Sox +140, Padres -165; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Boston Red Sox: 24-20 (5th place, AL East)
San Diego Padres: 20-24 (4th place, NL West)
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Boston Red Sox: 4-6 last 10
San Diego Padres: 2-8 last 10
Boston Red Sox vs San Diego Padres Preview and Analysis
The Red Sox are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak. They enter this game with a 24-20 record overall and have a road record of 9-9. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Padres on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .793 OPS. Brayan Bello was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while James Paxton is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 0-0 with a 3.60 ERA this season. His team lost their only game this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 9 Ks on 4 hits through 5 IP against the St Louis Cardinals.
The Padres are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak. They enter this game with a 20-24 record overall and have a home record of 11-13. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 22nd in the MLB with a .699 OPS. Yu Darvish was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Blake Snell is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 1-5 with a 4.61 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 4 BB with 4 strikeouts on 4 hits through 6 innings played against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Red Sox vs Padres Prediction
The current betting odds have the Red Sox listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Red Sox are having a tough start to the season, they aren't playing bad as they are above .500 with a 24-20 record overall, but that record has them in 5th place in their own division due to the strength of it as their record would be 1st place in the AL Central. They haven't been bad but they have been losing a lot of their games due to bad pitching, their offense has been great though as it is one of the best in the league. The Padres are off to an even worse start with their losing 20-24 record overall and they have one of the worst offenses in the league right now with the way they haven't been scoring a lot of runs in their games. The Red Sox haven't had great pitching this season but Paxton wasn't bad in his last start and he will get plenty of run support from this good Red Sox offense while Snell hasn't been great for the Padres in his starts this season and their offense has also been really cold. The Red Sox have been a money making team this year and there is a lot of value in them here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Red Sox to win this game.
Red Sox Padres Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Friday, May 19, 2023 (9:40 pm ET start time) is Red Sox 6 Padres 3.
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MLB Betting Trends
Boston Red Sox: 14-3 (+12.6 units) on the moneyline when the total is 9 to 9.5. 10-4 (+11 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +125 to +175. 9-4 UNDER after scoring 8 runs or more 2 straight games. 11-6 UNDER after a win by 8 runs or more.
San Diego Padres: 20-24 (-12 units) on the moneyline in all games. 9-13 (-11.8 units) on the moneyline in home games. 28-14 UNDER in all games. 11-2 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5.
Boston Red Sox: A. Verdugo (RF) Ques Fri - Groin. A. Duvall (LF) Early June - Wrist. J. Schreiber (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. K. Crawford (SP) Prob Fri - Hamstring. C. Arroyo (3B) Late May - Hamstring. G. Whitlock (RP) Late May - Elbow. W. Mills (RP) Late May - Elbow. Y. Chang (3B) Mid June - Wrist. Z. Kelly (RP) Early Sept - Elbow. A. Mondesi (SS) Out indefinitely - Knee. T. Story (2B) Mid July - Elbow.
San Diego Padres: M. Machado (3B) Ques Fri - Hand. S. Lugo (RP) Ques Fri - Calf. D. Pomeranz (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. L. Campusano (C) Early July - Thumb. J. Castillo (RP) Late May - Shoulder. D. Dahl (LF) Late May - Quadricep. J. Azocar (RF) Late May - Elbow. A. Morejon (SP) Late May - Elbow. R. Suarez (SP) Out indefinitely - Arm. N. Crismatt (RP) Out indefinitely - Hip. E. Rosario (2B) Mid July - Ankle.
“We talked a little about him. Everybody feels that he can hit. He put some good at-bats today. He played some good defense. He’s been really good for us.” - Alex Cora on Pablo Reyes after his team’s win against the Mariners in their game on Wednesday.
“I don’t blame them. We’re not playing well right now. There’s an expectation that we had coming into the season and they expect us to go out there and win every single game. I think collectively as a group we’ve got to go out there and be better as a group. We’ve got to trust the process. Things really aren’t really rolling our way right now, at all.” - Manny Machado after their loss against the Royals in their game on Wednesday.
Boston Red Sox
Alex Verdugo (L) RF
Justin Turner (R) 1B
Rob Refsnyder (R) LF
Rafael Devers (L) 3B
Masataka Yoshida (L) DH
Enrique Hernandez (R) SS
Pablo Reyes (R) 2B
Jarren Duran (L) CF
Connor Wong (R) C
San Diego Padres
Xander Bogaerts (R) SS
Jake Cronenworth (L) 1B
Fernando Tatis Jr. (R) RF
Juan Soto (L) LF
Matt Carpenter (L) DH
Ha-Seong Kim (R) 3B
Rougned Odor (L) 2B
Trent Grisham (L) CF
Austin Nola (R) C
Boston Red Sox
Batting Average: Adam Duvall (.455)
Hits: Alex Verdugo (51)
Home Runs: Rafael Devers (11)
RBI: Rafael Devers (40)
Stolen Bases: Jarren Duran (7)
Wins: Brayan Bello (3)
Saves: Kenley Jansen (9)
ERA: Justin Garza (0.00)
San Diego Padres
Batting Average: Xander Bogaerts (.275)
Hits: Xander Bogaerts (44)
Home Runs: Juan Soto (7)
RBI: Juan Soto (20)
Stolen Bases: Ha-Seong Kim (6)
Wins: Michael Wacha (4)
Saves: Josh Hader (11)
ERA: Tom Cosgrove (0.00)
Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (5th season, 3rd consecutive)
San Diego Padres: Bob Melvin (2nd season)