Boston Red Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/17/2022

Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Wednesday, August 17, 2022

Venue:  PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA

Where to Watch:  Sportsnet PT

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox -150, Pirates +130; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox -150, Pirates +130; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox -150, Pirates +130; Over/Under:  8 runs

 

Boston Red Sox:  57-59 (5th place, AL East)

Pittsburgh Pirates:  45-70 (5th place, NL Central)

 

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Boston Red Sox:  4-6 last 10

Pittsburgh Pirates:  2-8 last 10

 

 

 

 

The Red Sox won 3 of their last 4 games and enter this game off of a win. They won their last series against the New York Yankees 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 57-59 record overall and have a road record of 28-29. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Pirates on Wednesday with the series opener still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .721 OPS. Nick Pivetta is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Rich Hill is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 4-5 with a 4.75 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 4 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 0 Ks on 7 hits through 4 IP against the Atlanta Braves. 

 

The Pirates enter this game on a 4 game losing streak. They lost their last series against the San Francisco Giants getting swept 3-0 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 45-70 record overall and have a home record of 24-29. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Wednesday with the 1st game still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 28th in the MLB with a .652 OPS. Mitch Keller is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while JT Brubaker is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 2-10 with a 4.45 ERA this season. His team lost their last 6 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 6 Ks on 3 hits through 5 IP against the Arizona Diamondbacks. 

The current betting odds have the Pirates listed as an underdog in this game. The Red Sox have been playing a lot better in their recent games as they have been winning more now, but they still are not a great team. The Pirates have been awful all season but they started to play better in the last few games of this losing streak they are on. They have Brubaker starting in this game but he has not been that bad in his recent starts as he only allowed 2 runs in his last start and their offense even woke up in their last game on Sunday. The Red Sox have Hill starting here and he has not been that great in his starts as he allows a lot of runs. The Pirates are not an awful team at home even though their overall record is bad and they have a chance to win this game here since the Red Sox have also been awful over the last few weeks and will likely regress again at some point since they have been going on a little streak recently. This is a good spot for the Pirates to snap their losing streak though and get a win. The best way to place a bet here is on the Pirates to win this game.

 

Red Sox Pirates Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, August 17, 2022 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Pirates 3 Red Sox 1.

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Boston Red Sox: 87-86 (+7.3 Units) ML in road games. 32-23 (+12.7 Units) ML in an inter-league game. 29-14 UNDER after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less.

Pittsburgh Pirates: 125-212 (-26.2 Units) ML in all games. 106-200 (-31 Units) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 13-6 UNDER after allowing 8 runs or more.

 

 

Boston Red Sox:  T. Story (2B) Late Aug - Wrist. R. Refsnyder (LF) Late Aug - Knee. E. Hernandez (CF) Prob Tues - Hip Flexor.

Pittsburgh Pirates:  R. Perez (C) out for season - Hamstring. C. Smith-Njigba (CF) Late Aug - Wrist. T. Heineman (C) Out indefinitely - Groin.

 

 

 

"I feel like I work better that way. That's the mentality that I was facing: Get back in the dugout as quick as possible and let the guys keep getting a crack at their guy." - Michael Wacha after their win against the Yankees on Sunday.

 

 

"It's tough going back and forth. It's just how it goes sometimes. It stinks that's how it ended. It's been a grind but we showed today what we're made of. We're always getting in there and fighting." - Bryan Reynolds after their loss against the Giants on Sunday.

 

 

 

Tommy Pham (R) LF

Rafael Devers (L) 3B

Xander Bogaerts (R) SS

Alex Verdugo (L) RF

J.D. Martinez (R) DH

Eric Hosmer (L) 1B

Christian Arroyo (R) 2B

Jarren Duran (L) CF

Kevin Plawecki (R) C

 

Kevin Newman (R) 2B

Bryan Reynolds (S) DH

Michael Chavis (R) 1B

Ben Gamel (L) RF

Rodolfo Castro (S) 3B

Oneil Cruz (L) SS

Greg Allen (S) CF

Tucupita Marcano (L) LF

Jason Delay (R) C

 

 

Batting Average:  Reese McGuire (.500)

Hits:  Xander Bogaerts (125)

Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (25)

RBI:  Rafael Devers (62)

Stolen Bases:  Trevor Story (10)

Wins:  Nick Pivetta (8)

Saves:  Tanner Houck (8)

ERA:  Kevin Plawecki (0.00)

 

Batting Average:  Liover Peguero (.333)

Hits:  Ke'Bryan Hayes (98)

Home Runs:  Bryan Reynolds (17)

RBI:  Bryan Reynold (40)

Stolen Bases:  Ke'Bryan Hayes (13)

Wins:  Dillon Peters (5)

Saves:  David Bednar (17)

ERA:  Max Kranick (0.00)

 

Managers:

Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (4th season)

Pittsburgh Pirates: Derek Shelton (3rd season)