Boston Red Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/16/2022

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Aug 15, 2022
Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Tuesday, August 16, 2022
Venue:  PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
Where to Watch:  Sportsnet PT

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox -130, Pirates +110; Over/Under:  9 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox -130, Pirates +110; Over/Under:  9 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox -130, Pirates +110; Over/Under:  9 runs
 

Season Record

Boston Red Sox:  57-59 (5th place, AL East)
Pittsburgh Pirates:  45-70 (5th place, NL Central)
 
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Recent Form
Boston Red Sox:  4-6 last 10
Pittsburgh Pirates:  2-8 last 10
 
 
 

Boston Red Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates Preview and Analysis

 
The Red Sox won 3 of their last 4 games and enter this game off of a win. They won their last series against the New York Yankees 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 57-59 record overall and have a road record of 28-29. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Pirates on Tuesday and they had Monday off as a rest day. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .721 OPS. Michael Wacha was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Nick Pivetta is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 8-9 with a 4.51 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 5 Ks on 5 hits through 6 IP against the Atlanta Braves. 
 
The Pirates enter this game on a 4 game losing streak. They lost their last series against the San Francisco Giants getting swept 3-0 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 45-70 record overall and have a home record of 24-29. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a rest day. Their offense ranks 28th in the MLB with a .652 OPS. Zach Thompson was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Mitch Keller is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 4-8 with a 4.25 ERA this season. His team lost 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 0 HRs, and 1 BB with 3 Ks on 5 hits through 5.1 IP against the Arizona Diamondbacks. 

 

Red Sox vs Pirates Prediction

The current betting odds have the Red Sox listed as a slight favorite in this game. The Red Sox have not been very good in their games over the last few weeks but the Pirates have not been any better either. The Red Sox have Pivetta starting in this game and he has been getting rocked in his last few starts but he is starting to tone it down a little and he has shown throughout his career that he is a lot better than the way he has been pitching recently. He will be able to bounce back here against a bad team with a bad offense that has not been scoring many runs recently. The Pirates have Mitch Keller starting here and he has not been very good this season or throughout his career. He allows a lot of runs in his starts and even though the Red Sox have not been hitting that well recently, they will be able to score runs here with the pieces they have in that lineup. The best way to place a bet here is on the Red Sox to win this game.
 
Red Sox Pirates Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, August 16, 2022 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Red Sox 6 Pirates 3.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Boston Red Sox: 87-86 (+7.3 Units) ML in road games. 32-23 (+12.7 Units) ML in an inter-league game. 29-14 UNDER after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less.
Pittsburgh Pirates: 125-212 (-26.2 Units) ML in all games. 106-200 (-31 Units) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 13-6 UNDER after allowing 8 runs or more.
 

Key Injuries

 
Boston Red Sox:  T. Story (2B) Late Aug - Wrist. R. Refsnyder (LF) Late Aug - Knee. E. Hernandez (CF) Late Aug - Hip Flexor.
Pittsburgh Pirates:  R. Perez (C) out for season - Hamstring. C. Smith-Njigba (CF) Late Aug - Wrist. T. Heineman (C) Out indefinitely - Groin.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"I feel like I work better that way. That's the mentality that I was facing: Get back in the dugout as quick as possible and let the guys keep getting a crack at their guy." - Michael Wacha after their win against the Yankees on Sunday.
 
 
"It's tough going back and forth. It's just how it goes sometimes. It stinks that's how it ended. It's been a grind but we showed today what we're made of. We're always getting in there and fighting." - Bryan Reynolds after their loss against the Giants on Sunday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Boston Red Sox
Tommy Pham (R) LF
Rafael Devers (L) 3B
Xander Bogaerts (R) SS
Alex Verdugo (L) RF
J.D. Martinez (R) DH
Eric Hosmer (L) 1B
Christian Arroyo (R) 2B
Jarren Duran (L) CF
Kevin Plawecki (R) C
 
Pittsburgh Pirates
Kevin Newman (R) 2B
Bryan Reynolds (S) DH
Michael Chavis (R) 1B
Ben Gamel (L) RF
Rodolfo Castro (S) 3B
Oneil Cruz (L) SS
Greg Allen (S) CF
Tucupita Marcano (L) LF
Jason Delay (R) C
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Boston Red Sox
Batting Average:  Reese McGuire (.500)
Hits:  Xander Bogaerts (125)
Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (25)
RBI:  Rafael Devers (62)
Stolen Bases:  Trevor Story (10)
Wins:  Nick Pivetta (8)
Saves:  Tanner Houck (8)
ERA:  Kevin Plawecki (0.00)
 
Pittsburgh Pirates
Batting Average:  Liover Peguero (.333)
Hits:  Ke'Bryan Hayes (98)
Home Runs:  Bryan Reynolds (17)
RBI:  Bryan Reynold (40)
Stolen Bases:  Ke'Bryan Hayes (13)
Wins:  Dillon Peters (5)
Saves:  David Bednar (17)
ERA:  Max Kranick (0.00)
 
Managers:
Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (4th season)
Pittsburgh Pirates: Derek Shelton (3rd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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