by Rod Pearson
Friday, Aug 28, 2026
Game Time: 1:05 pm ET, Saturday, August 29, 2026
Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Where to Watch: MLB TV, MLB Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Red Sox +100, Yankees -120; Over/Under: 8 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Red Sox +100, Yankees -120; Over/Under: 8 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Red Sox +100, Yankees -120; Over/Under: 8 runs
Season Record
Boston Red Sox: 73-60 (3rd place, AL East)
New York Yankees: 75-58 (2nd place, AL East)
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Recent Form
Boston Red Sox: 7-3 last 10
New York Yankees: 7-3 last 10
Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Preview and Analysis
The Red Sox are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Miami Marlins 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 73-60 record overall and have a road record of 39-28. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Yankees on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .729 OPS. Patrick Sandoval is their starting pitcher on Friday while Jake Bennett is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 8-6 with a 3.49 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 6 SO on 7 hits through 7 IP against the San Francisco Giants.
The Yankees are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Houston Astros 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 75-58 record overall and have a home record of 34-30. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Red Sox on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 15th in the MLB with a .718 OPS. Cam Schlittler is their starting pitcher on Friday while Carlos Rodón is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 4-2 with a 3.15 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 2 walks with 2 strikeouts on 2 hits through 4 innings pitched against the Toronto Blue Jays.
Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction
The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees have looked really good in their games this season with their 75-58 record overall which has them right near the top of the AL East. They have looked good in their own ballpark too with their 34-30 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Red Sox have looked good in their games this season with their 73-60 record overall which has them right in the middle of the AL East. They have been a great road team too with their 39-28 road record this year. This is the 1st game of a double-header on Saturday and the Red Sox have been rolling lately, now 7-3 in their last 10 games, but the Yankees are also 7-3 in their last 10 games and have been hot. The Yankees are going with Rodon in this one and he has looked great this year. He is 4-2 with a 3.15 ERA and the team has been having success with him lately. They have won 2 games in a row now with him starting and he is coming off another great start giving up 1 earned run which has been a common theme for him this season. The Red Sox are going with Bennett in this one and he has looked good this season too. He is 8-6 with a 3.49 ERA, but lately the team hasn't been having a lot of success with him. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games with him starting and he is coming off a start in which he gave up 3 earned runs. Both bullpens have been really good this season too, so the Yankees having the better starter should give them the edge in this 1st game of the double-header. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game.
Red Sox Yankees Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Saturday, August 29, 2026 (1:05 pm ET start time) is Yankees 3 Red Sox 1.
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MLB Betting Trends
Boston Red Sox: 125-108 (+20.8 units) on the moneyline in road games. 129-110 (+20.5 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 158-130 (+8.5 units) on the moneyline vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse. 25-15 UNDER against division opponents.
New York Yankees: 273-204 (-18.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 135-103 (-30.3 units) on the moneyline in home games. 78-74 (-19.9 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 25-18 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record.
Key Injuries
Boston Red Sox: J. Slaten (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. M. Yoshida (DH) Ten Day IL - Hamstring. G. Whitlock (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. I. Kiner-Falefa (2B) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. C. Mead (3B) Ten Day IL - Hand. Z. Kelly (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. R. Anthony (LF) Sixty Day IL - Wrist. G. Crochet (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. T. Story (SS) Sixty Day IL - Abdomen. K. Crawford (SP) Sixty Day IL - Wrist. T. Casas (1B) Sixty Day IL - Knee. J. Oviedo (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. T. Houck (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.
New York Yankees: F. Cruz (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. K. Castro (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. G. Stanton (DH) Sixty Day IL - Calf. R. Weathers (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Forearm. R. McMahon (3B) Ten Day IL - Thumb. M. Fried (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. A. Judge (RF) Sixty Day IL - Rib. C. Schmidt (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
“He was OK. He got behind some counts more than often. But overall, he gave us five innings, so that was good.” - Chad Tracy on Sonny Gray after his team’s loss against the Marlins in their game on Wednesday.
“The good thing about George is, he’s so skilled and gifted out there, and foundationally he’s really good, too. He will get through it. You’ve just got to get a few going and then start playing carefree and easy a little bit.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s loss against the Red Sox in their game on Thursday.
Starting Lineups
Boston Red Sox
Nick Sogard (S) 1B
Ceddanne Rafaela (R) CF
Wilyer Abreu (L) RF
Caleb Durbin (R) 3B
Mickey Gasper (S) DH
Andruw Monasterio (R) SS
Jarren Duran (L) LF
Anthony Seigler (S) 2B
Connor Wong (R) C
New York Yankees
Trent Grisham (L) CF
Ben Rice (L) DH
Luis García Jr. (L) 1B
Cody Bellinger (L) LF
George Lombard Jr. (R) SS
Spencer Jones (L) RF
Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) 2B
Austin Wells (L) C
José Caballero (R) 3B
Statistical Leaders
Boston Red Sox
Batting Average: Jahmai Jones (.500)
Hits: Ceddanne Rafaela (145)
Home Runs: Willson Contreras (26)
RBI: Willson Contreras (78)
Stolen Bases: Jarren Duran (18)
Wins: Sonny Gray (16)
Saves: Aroldis Chapman (30)
ERA: Erik Miller (0.00)
New York Yankees
Batting Average: Luis García (.289)
Hits: Ben Rice (120)
Home Runs: Ben Rice (35)
RBI: Ben Rice (83)
Stolen Bases: Jazz Chisholm (38)
Wins: Cam Schlittler (11)
Saves: David Bednar (30)
ERA: Michael Fulmer (0.00)
Managers:
Boston Red Sox: Chad Tracy (Interim)
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (9th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
