by Rod Pearson
Saturday, Jul 16, 2022
Game Time: 1:35 pm ET, Sunday, July 17, 2022
Venue: Yankee Stadium, The Bronx, NY
Where to Watch: MLB Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Red Sox +165, Yankees -195; Over/Under: 8 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Red Sox +165, Yankees -195; Over/Under: 8 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Red Sox +165, Yankees -195; Over/Under: 8 runs
Season Record
Boston Red Sox: 48-43 (4th place, AL East)
New York Yankees: 62-28 (1st place, AL East)
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Recent Form
Boston Red Sox: 3-7 last 10
New York Yankees: 4-6 last 10
Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Preview and Analysis
The Red Sox were on a 4 game losing streak but now enter this game off of a win. They lost their last series against the Tampa Bay Rays getting swept 4-0 in a 4-game series. They enter this game with a 48-43 record overall and have a road record of 25-23. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Sunday with the 2nd game still to be played on Saturday. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .734 OPS. Nick Pivetta is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Chris Sale is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA this season. His team lost their only game this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HRs, and 1 BB with 5 Ks on 3 hits through 5 IP against the Tampa Bay Rays.
The Yankees enter this game on a 2 game losing streak. They lost their last series against the Cincinnati Reds 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 62-28 record overall and have a home record of 35-12. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Sunday with the 2nd game still to be played on Saturday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .767 OPS. Jameson Taillon is on the mound on Saturday while Gerrit Cole will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Sunday. He is 8-2 with a 3.05 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HRs, and 1 BB with 11 Ks on 4 hits through 7 IP against the Cincinnati Reds.
Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction
The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a big favorite in this game. The Yankees have not been playing well at all recently as they have just 1 win in their last 6 games but they will bounce back in this series against a heated rival as they still have the best record in the MLB this season by far. The Red Sox have not been playing well recently, they were just swept by the Rays in their last series but their offense has not been great in those games. They also have Sale starting here who is a very good pitcher but he also missed most of the season due to an injury and has only made 1 start this season. He was very good in that start but he also pitched against the Rays who do not have a good offense at all, winning most of their games with great pitching, and now he is getting one of the best lineups in the MLB here. The Yankees will be hungry to finish off this series with a series win before the All Star break and they should get it with Cole pitching here as he has been consistent for most of the season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game.
Red Sox Yankees Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Sunday, July 17, 2022 (1:35 pm ET start time) is Yankees 6 Red Sox 4.
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MLB Betting Trends
Boston Red Sox: 12-24 (-13.2 Units) ML against division opponents. 32-36 (-8.1 Units) ML against right-handed starters. 16-11 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5.
New York Yankees: 62-28 (+16.6 Units) ML in all games. 35-12 (+13.5 Units) ML in home games. 33-21 UNDER as a home favorite of -150 to -200.
Key Injuries
Boston Red Sox: T. Story (2B) Ques Sat - Hand. E. Hernandez (CF) Late July - Hip Flexor. C. Arroyo (2B) Out indefinitely - Groin.
New York Yankees: A. Hicks (CF) Ques Sat - Shin. J. Donaldson (3B) Ques Sat - Hand. L. Severino (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.
Notable Quotes
"Sometimes he doesn't look pretty running-wise but when he has to go, he goes." - Alex Cora after his team’s win against the Yankees on Friday.
"We should have won that game. We had our chances and just couldn't break though." - Aaron Boone after his team’s loss against the Red Sox on Friday.
Starting Lineups
Boston Red Sox
Rob Refsnyder (D) RF
Rafael Devers (Z) 3B
J.D. Martinez (D) DH
Xander Bogaerts (D) SS
Alex Verdugo (Z) LF
Christian Vazquez (D) C
Bobby Dalbec (D) 1B
Jackie Bradley Jr. (Z) CF
Jeter Downs (D) 2B
New York Yankees
DJ LeMahieu (D) 3B
Aaron Judge (D) CF
Anthony Rizzo (Z) 1B
Giancarlo Stanton (D) RF
Gleyber Torres (D) 2B
Matt Carpenter (Z) DH
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (D) SS
Kyle Higashioka (D) C
Joey Gallo (Z) LF
Statistical Leaders
Boston Red Sox
Batting Average: Jaylin Davis (.500)
Hits: Rafael Devers (111)
Home Runs: Rafael Devers (21)
RBI: Trevor Story (58)
Stolen Bases: Trevor Story (10)
Wins: Nick Pivetta (8)
Saves: Tanner Houck (6)
ERA: Kevin Plawecki (0.00)
New York Yankees
Batting Average: Matt Carpenter (.352)
Hits: Aaron Judge (91)
Home Runs: Aaron Judge (31)
RBI: Aaron Judge (66)
Stolen Bases: Isiah Kiner-Falefa (13)
Wins: Jameson Taillon (9)
Saves: Clay Holmes (16)
ERA: David McKay (0.00)
Managers:
Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (4th season)
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (5th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
