Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/16/2022

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Jul 15, 2022
Game Time: 7:15 pm ET, Saturday, July 16, 2022
Venue:  Yankee Stadium, The Bronx, NY
Where to Watch:  Fox

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +135, Yankees -155; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +135, Yankees -155; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +135, Yankees -155; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
 

Season Record

Boston Red Sox:  47-43 (4th place, AL East)
New York Yankees:  62-27 (1st place, AL East)
 
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Recent Form
Boston Red Sox:  2-8 last 10
New York Yankees:  4-6 last 10
 
 
 

Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Preview and Analysis

 
The Red Sox enter this game on a 4 game losing streak. They lost their last series against the Tampa Bay Rays getting swept 4-0 in a 4-game series. They enter this game with a 47-43 record overall and have a road record of 24-23. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .734 OPS. Nathan Eovaldi is their starting pitcher on Friday while Nick Pivetta is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 8-6 with a 4.08 ERA this season. His team won 5 of their last 6 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 6 ER, 2 HRs, and 2 BB with 5 Ks on 8 hits through 3.1 IP against the New York Yankees. 
 
The Yankees lost 4 of their last 5 games and enter this game off of a loss. They lost their last series against the Cincinnati Reds 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 62-27 record overall and have a home record of 35-11. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Saturday with the 1st game still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .768 OPS. Jordan Montgomery is on the mound on Friday while Jameson Taillon will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Saturday. He is 9-2 with a 4.01 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 6 ER, 3 HRs, and 1 BB with 3 Ks on 7 hits through 5 IP against the Boston Red Sox. 

 

Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a favorite in this game. They have not been playing very well in their recent games as they have been losing a lot of games over the last week. They just lost their last series to one of the worst teams in the MLB, the Cincinnati Reds, and they were at home for that series. They are playing the Red Sox at home here though and this is a series that they will get up for with their rival coming into town. They played in Boston just last week and split the series so the Yankees will be looking to not only bounce back here, but win the series over the Red Sox. Their offense has still been great in their games, it has been their pitching that is letting them down but Taillon leads the team in wins here and he should pitch well here. Pivetta is starting for the Red Sox and he has been very bad in his last 2 starts allowing a lot of runs. The Yankees are at home here, they are in a little slump but this is still the best team in the MLB right now with their record. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game.
 
Red Sox Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 16, 2022 (7:15 pm ET start time) is Yankees 8 Red Sox 5.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Boston Red Sox: 11-24 (-14.7 Units) ML against division opponents. 32-36 (-8.1 Units) ML against right-handed starters. NICK PIVETTA is 10-6 OVER in all games.
New York Yankees: 62-27 (+18.1 Units) ML in all games. 35-11 (+15 Units) ML in home games. JAMESON TAILLON is 10-3 OVER when the money line is +125 to -125.
 

Key Injuries

 
Boston Red Sox:  T. Story (2B) Ques Fri - Hand. E. Hernandez (CF) Late July - Hip Flexor. C. Arroyo (2B) Out indefinitely - Groin.
New York Yankees:  A. Hicks (CF) Ques Fri - Shin. J. Donaldson (3B) Ques Fri - Hand. L. Severino (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"Bullpen-wise we were limited. He was throwing the ball well so we rolled the dice with him. It was kind of like Kutter, Schreiber, (closer) Tanner (Houck), but is just didn't happen." - Alex Cora after his team’s loss against the Rays on Thursday.
 
 
 
"He's one of the best pitchers in the league. He just didn't leave too many mistakes for us to hit. When you have 100 (mph) and you're painting the corners, that's in for a tough day." - Aaron Judge on Castillo after their loss against the Reds on Thursday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Boston Red Sox
Jarren Duran (L) RF
Rafael Devers (L) 3B
J.D. Martinez (R) DH
Xander Bogaerts (R) SS
Alex Verdugo (L) LF
Franchy Cordero (L) 1B
Kevin Plawecki (R) C
Jackie Bradley Jr. (L) CF
Jeter Downs (R) 2B
 
New York Yankees
DJ LeMahieu (R) 3B
Aaron Judge (R) CF
Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B
Giancarlo Stanton (R) DH
Matt Carpenter (L) RF
Gleyber Torres (R) 2B
Joey Gallo (L) LF
Jose Trevino (R) C
Marwin Gonzalez (S) SS
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Boston Red Sox
Batting Average:  Jaylin Davis (.500)
Hits:  Rafael Devers (110)
Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (20)
RBI:  Trevor Story (58)
Stolen Bases:  Trevor Story (10)
Wins:  Nick Pivetta (8)
Saves:  Tanner Houck (6)
ERA:  Kevin Plawecki (0.00)
 
New York Yankees
Batting Average:  Matt Carpenter (.338)
Hits:  Aaron Judge (91)
Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (31)
RBI:  Aaron Judge (66)
Stolen Bases:  Isiah Kiner-Falefa (13)
Wins:  Jameson Taillon (9)
Saves:  Clay Holmes (16)
ERA:  David McKay (0.00)
 
Managers:
Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (4th season)
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (5th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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