Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/06/2024

Game Time: 1:05 pm ET, Saturday, July 6, 2024

Venue:  Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY

Where to Watch:  YES

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +142, Yankees -170; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +145, Yankees -170; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +145, Yankees -170; Over/Under:  9 runs

Boston Red Sox:  47-39 (3rd place, AL East)

New York Yankees:  54-35 (2nd place, AL East)

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Boston Red Sox:  7-3 last 10

New York Yankees:  2-8 last 10

The Red Sox are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the Miami Marlins 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 47-39 record overall and have a road record of 27-16. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .741 OPS. Tanner Houck is their starting pitcher on Friday while Josh Winckowski is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 2-1 with a 2.80 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 0 BB with 1 K on 4 hits through 5 IP against the San Diego Padres.

The Yankees are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 3-game series against the Cincinnati Reds 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 54-35 record overall and have a home record of 24-17. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .758 OPS. Nestor Cortes is their starting pitcher on Friday while Gerrit Cole is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 1-1 with a 6.23 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 6 strikeouts on 3 hits through 5 innings played against the Toronto Blue Jays.

The current betting odds have the Red Sox listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Red Sox had a terrible start to the season, but they have looked a lot better in their games lately. They have a 47-39 record overall and have looked a lot better in their road games with their 27-16 road record. Meanwhile, the Yankees have looked great in their games this season with their 54-35 record overall which leads the AL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB, but they have been in a big slump lately. They are 24-17 in their home games this year, but they are 2-8 in their last 10 games and just got swept by the Reds at home in their last series. The Red Sox have been the complete opposite though, going 7-3 in their last 10 games and starting to get hot now. The Red Sox are going with Winckowski in this game who is 2-1 with a 2.80 ERA. He hasn't made many starts this season, but he gave up no runs in his last one and that has been a common theme for him in his few starts. The Yankees are going to have Cole on the mound here and he hasn't had many starts either, missing a lot of time this season due to injury. He is 1-1 with a 6.23 ERA and hasn't been off to a great start. He only gave up 1 earned run in his last start, but he struggled in his other starts and the team has lost 2 of their last 3 games with him starting. Cole is still trying to find his rhythm with his late start to the season and the Yankees just don't have the firepower on offense to back him up right now. The Red Sox have a solid starter on the mound here and have been the better team lately, also beating the Yankees in a series just a few weeks ago. The best way to place a bet here is on the Red Sox to win this game.

Red Sox Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 6, 2024 (1:05 pm ET start time) is Red Sox 6 Yankees 4.

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Boston Red Sox: 26-14 (+13.05 units) on the moneyline in their last 40 games. 45-42 (+5.35 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 87 games. 28-16 to the over in their last 44 games. 

New York Yankees: 5-15 (-17.70 units) on the moneyline in their last 20 games. 5-15 (-17.95 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 20 games. 24-9 to the over in their last 33 games. 

Boston Red Sox:  V. Grissom (2B) - Hamstring. G. Whitlock (SP) - Oblique. T. Casas (1B) - Rib. T. Story (SS) - Shoulder. B. Mata (SP) - Hamstring. L. Hendriks (RP) - Elbow. C. Murphy (RP) - Elbow. L. Giolito (SP) - Elbow.

New York Yankees:  G. Stanton (DH) - Hamstring. A. Rizzo (1B) - Wrist. C. Poteet (SP) - Tricep. I. Hamilton (RP) - Lat. C. Schmidt (SP) - Lat. J. Berti (SS) - Calf. N. Burdi (RP) - Hip. J. Loáisiga (RP) - Elbow. J. Brubaker (SP) - Elbow. L. Trivino (RP) - Elbow. S. Effross (RP) - Back.

“We did a good job, they did a good job. Baserunning today was outstanding. We grind with them and never stopped playing.” - Alex Cora after his team’s win against the Marlins in their game on Thursday.

“You go back at all the past World Series champions, they’ve always hit a little skid at some point. That's what kind of defines a team is how we respond out of this.” - Aaron Judge after their loss against the Reds in their game on Thursday.

J Duran (L) CF

D Hamilton (L) 2B

T O'Neill (R) LF

R Devers (L) 3B

W Abreu (L) RF

M Yoshida (L) DH

R McGuire (L) C

Do Smith (L) 1B

C Rafaela (R) SS

B Rice (L) 1B

J Soto (L) RF

A Judge (R) DH

A Verdugo (L) LF

G Torres (R) 2B

A Volpe (R) SS

A Wells (L) C

O Cabrera (S) 3B

T Grisham (L) CF

Batting Average:  Connor Wong (.323)

Hits:  Jarren Duran (102)

Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (18)

RBI:  Rafael Devers (51)

Stolen Bases:  David Hamilton (23)

Wins:  Brayan Bello (8)

Saves:  Kenley Jansen (16)

ERA:  Brennan Bernardino (1.17)

Batting Average:  Taylor Trammell (1.000)

Hits:  Aaron Judge (98)

Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (32)

RBI:  Aaron Judge (83)

Stolen Bases:  Anthony Volpe (15)

Wins:  Carlos Rodón (9)

Saves:  Clay Holmes (19)

ERA:  Jonathan Loáisiga (0.00)

Managers:

Boston Red Sox: Álex Cora (4th season)

New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (7th season)