Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/22/2023

Game Time: 1:10 pm ET, Thursday, June 22, 2023

Venue:  Target Field, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  MLB Network

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +135, Twins -155; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +135, Twins -155; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +140, Twins -165; Over/Under:  9 runs

Boston Red Sox:  39-35 (5th place, AL East)

Minnesota Twins:  36-38 (1st place, AL Central)

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Boston Red Sox:  7-3 last 10

Minnesota Twins:  4-6 last 10

The Red Sox are entering this game on a 6 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the New York Yankees in their last series. They enter this game with a 39-35 record overall and have a road record of 18-17. This is the series finale of a 4-game series with the Twins on Thursday with the 3rd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 4th in the MLB with a .771 OPS. Garrett Whitlock is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Justin Garza is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 0-1 with a 3.46 ERA this season. His team lost 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. He has made many appearances out of the bullpen as a reliever over his 2 seasons in the MLB but this will be his 1st ever MLB career start.

The Twins are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak and lost their 4-game series against the Detroit Tigers 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 36-38 record overall and have a home record of 21-19. This is the 4th game of a 4-game series with the Red Sox on Thursday with the 3rd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 22nd in the MLB with a .709 OPS. Sonny Gray is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Joe Ryan is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 7-4 with a 3.30 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 6 earned runs, 2 homers, and 0 BB with 7 strikeouts on 7 hits through 7 innings played against the Detroit Tigers.

The current betting odds have the Twins listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Twins haven't been great this season as they have a losing record but they still lead their division and will be looking to hang onto that with the success they have found in this series. The Red Sox have a record slightly above .500 but they are the worst team in the AL East at the bottom of the division and as good as their offense has been this season, their pitching has been terrible. They are going with an inexperienced starter in this game too who has never made an MLB start as he has been a reliever throughout his MLB career. The Twins have been a lot better in their home games this season and they are going to be able to edge out the Red Sox at home here with Garza starting for them and that terrible bullpen behind him. The Twins also have Ryan starting here and he has been their ace this season as he hasn't given up many runs in any of his starts all season. Ryan will keep the Twins in this game with a chance to win like he always does when he starts and the Twins offense should be able to do enough to edge out the Red Sox here who are starting to cool off now. The best way to place a bet here is on the Twins to win this game.

Red Sox Twins Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, June 22, 2023 (1:10 pm ET start time) is Twins 4 Red Sox 1.

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Boston Red Sox: 48-32 (+10.9 units) on the moneyline against AL Central opponents. 18-17 (+4.8 units) on the moneyline in road games. NICK PIVETTA is 9-5 OVER against AL Central opponents.  

Minnesota Twins: 36-38 (-11.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 21-19 (-8.4 units) on the moneyline in home games. JOE RYAN is 8-1 OVER against AL East opponents and 9-4 OVER in all games.

Boston Red Sox:  T. Houck (SP) Out indefinitely - Face. J. Rodriguez (RP) Late June - Shoulder. J. Schreiber (RP) Late June - Back. W. Mills (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. C. Sale (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder. T. Story (2B) Late July - Elbow. R. Bleier (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. Z. Kelly (RP) Early Sept - Elbow. A. Mondesi (SS) Out indefinitely - Knee.

Minnesota Twins:  M. Taylor (CF) Ques Wed - Head. N. Gordon (2B) Out indefinitely - Shin. J. Lopez (SP) Out indefinitely - Personal. J. Alcala (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. K. Maeda (SP) Late June - Tricep. J. Polanco (SS) Mid July - Hamstring. C. Thielbar (RP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. C. Sands (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Mahle (SP) out for season - Elbow. C. Paddack (SP) Early Sept - Elbow.

“We don't want take the aggressive of the approach, but at the same time, he can put an at-bat together. You can take pitches because you're good. When you get into counts, you put the ball in play, you hit the ball hard.” - Alex Cora on Christian Arroyo after his team’s win against the Twins in their game on Tuesday.

“We know it’s not good baseball. It’s just not the baseball that we’re accustomed to from our team. I honestly don’t have a lot to say about it. We’ve got to muster something up that’s not currently there.” - Rocco Baldelli after his team’s loss against the Red Sox in their game on Tuesday.

Alex Verdugo (L) RF

Justin Turner (R) DH

Rafael Devers (L) 3B

Masataka Yoshida (L) LF

Adam Duvall (R) CF

Triston Casas (L) 1B

Christian Arroyo (R) 2B

Connor Wong (R) C

Enrique Hernandez (R) SS

Edouard Julien (L) 2B

Carlos Correa (R) SS

Alex Kirilloff (L) 1B

Byron Buxton (R) DH

Joey Gallo (L) LF

Royce Lewis (R) 3B

Max Kepler (L) RF

Ryan Jeffers (R) C

Willi Castro (S) CF

Batting Average:  Adam Duvall (.313)

Hits:  Alex Verdugo (84)

Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (17)

RBI:  Rafael Devers (57)

Stolen Bases:  Jarren Duran (11)

Wins:  Chris Sale (5)

Saves:  Kenley Jansen (15)

ERA:  Chris Murphy (0.00)

Batting Average:  Matt Wallner (.368)

Hits:  Carlos Correa (53)

Home Runs:  Joey Gallo (11)

RBI:  Carlos Correa (34)

Stolen Bases:  Willi Castro (13)

Wins:  Joe Ryan (7)

Saves:  Jhoan Duran (9)

ERA:  Jordan Balazovic (0.00)

Managers:

Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (5th season, 3rd consecutive)

Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (5th season)