Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/21/2023

Game Time: 7:40 pm ET, Wednesday, June 21, 2023

Venue:  Target Field, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  BSN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +100, Twins -120; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +100, Twins -120; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +100, Twins -120; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Boston Red Sox:  38-35 (5th place, AL East)

Minnesota Twins:  36-37 (1st place, AL Central)

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Boston Red Sox:  7-3 last 10

Minnesota Twins:  5-5 last 10

The Red Sox are entering this game on a 5 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the New York Yankees in their last series. They enter this game with a 38-35 record overall and have a road record of 17-17. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Twins on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .767 OPS. Kutter Crawford is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Garrett Whitlock is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 4-2 with a 4.38 ERA this season. His team won their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 7 Ks on 6 hits through 7 IP against the Colorado Rockies.

The Twins are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 4-game series against the Detroit Tigers 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 36-37 record overall and have a home record of 21-18. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 23rd in the MLB with a .706 OPS. Bailey Ober is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Sonny Gray is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 4-1 with a 2.37 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 4 BB with 3 strikeouts on 3 hits through 4 innings played against the Detroit Tigers.

The current betting odds have the Red Sox listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Red Sox have been red hot over the last week as they are on a 5 game win streak and their offense has also been getting hot on this run. The Twins are leading the AL Central right now with the best record but they still haven't been having a great season as they have a losing record this year. They have been a better home team and they will have Gray on the mound here who has been good all season, but he just gave up 2 runs in his last start and hasn't been at his best lately. The Red Sox are starting to put up a lot more runs with their offense lately and they are going to get after Gray in this game with their 5 game win streak on the line. The Red Sox also have Whitlock starting in this game and he has been pitching well in his starts lately, not giving up a ton of runs. The Red Sox offense is going to lead the way here and they can be a really tough team to stop once they get hot like this and go on a run. The best way to place a bet here is on the Red Sox to win this game.

Red Sox Twins Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, June 21, 2023 (7:40 pm ET start time) is Red Sox 5 Twins 2.

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Boston Red Sox: 47-32 (+9.8 units) on the moneyline against AL Central opponents. 44-48 (+6 units) on the moneyline as a road underdog of +100 to +150. 11-6 UNDER as a road underdog of +100 to +150. 

Minnesota Twins: 36-37 (-9.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 31-34 (-11.5 units) on the moneyline when the total is 7 to 8.5. SONNY GRAY is 17-6 UNDER when the money line is -100 to -150 and 10-3 UNDER at home with a money line of -100 to -150.

Boston Red Sox:  T. Houck (SP) Out indefinitely - Face. J. Rodriguez (RP) Late June - Shoulder. J. Schreiber (RP) Late June - Back. W. Mills (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. C. Sale (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder. T. Story (2B) Late July - Elbow. R. Bleier (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. Z. Kelly (RP) Early Sept - Elbow. A. Mondesi (SS) Out indefinitely - Knee.

Minnesota Twins:  M. Taylor (CF) Ques Tues - Head. N. Gordon (2B) Out indefinitely - Shin. J. Lopez (SP) Out indefinitely - Personal. J. Alcala (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. K. Maeda (SP) Late June - Tricep. J. Polanco (SS) Mid July - Hamstring. C. Thielbar (RP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. C. Sands (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Mahle (SP) out for season - Elbow. C. Paddack (SP) Early Sept - Elbow.

“The line was moving before we started scoring runs the last few days. Now, we're getting the big hit, so hopefully the fun starts.” - Alex Cora after his team’s win against the Twins in their game on Monday.

“We need to put better swings on the ball and find the barrel more than we have. And we walked guys on the other side of the ball. It wasn’t a good recipe for a good game or a win or anything along those lines. We’re in a tough stretch right now. This has not been the best baseball we’ve seen from our group. But that’s it.” - Rocco Baldelli after his team’s loss against the Red Sox in their game on Monday.

Jarren Duran (L) LF

Alex Verdugo (L) RF

Rafael Devers (L) 3B

Adam Duvall (R) CF

Masataka Yoshida (L) DH

Christian Arroyo (R) 2B

Triston Casas (L) 1B

Connor Wong (R) C

Pablo Reyes (R) SS

Donovan Solano (R) 1B

Edouard Julien (L) 2B

Byron Buxton (R) DH

Carlos Correa (R) SS

Alex Kirilloff (L) RF

Willi Castro (S) CF

Kyle Farmer (R) 3B

Joey Gallo (L) LF

Christian Vazquez (R) C

Batting Average:  Adam Duvall (.323)

Hits:  Alex Verdugo (83)

Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (17)

RBI:  Rafael Devers (57)

Stolen Bases:  Jarren Duran (11)

Wins:  Chris Sale (5)

Saves:  Kenley Jansen (15)

ERA:  Chris Murphy (0.00)

Batting Average:  Matt Wallner (.368)

Hits:  Carlos Correa (52)

Home Runs:  Joey Gallo (11)

RBI:  Carlos Correa (34)

Stolen Bases:  Willi Castro (13)

Wins:  Joe Ryan (7)

Saves:  Jhoan Duran (9)

ERA:  Jordan Balazovic (0.00)

Managers:

Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (5th season, 3rd consecutive)

Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (5th season)