Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/03/2022

by Rod Pearson

Game Time: 2:10 pm ET, Wednesday, August 3, 2022
Venue:  Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX 
Where to Watch:  MLB Network


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +185, Astros -215; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +185, Astros -215; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +180, Astros -225; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Season Record

Boston Red Sox:  52-52 (5th place, AL East)
Houston Astros:  67-37 (1st place, AL West)
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Recent Form
Boston Red Sox:  4-6 last 10
Houston Astros:  5-5 last 10

Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros Preview and Analysis

The Red Sox enter this game on a 2 game winning streak. They lost their last series against the Milwaukee Brewers 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 52-52 record overall and have a road record of 26-25. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Astros on Wednesday with the 2nd game still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .725 OPS. Kutter Crawford is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while there is no probable starting pitcher yet making his start in this game on Wednesday. 
The Astros lost 2 of their last 3 games and enter this game off of a loss. They won their last series against the Seattle Mariners 3-1 in a 4-game series. They enter this game with a 67-37 record overall and have a home record of 33-16. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Royals on Wednesday with the 2nd game still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .740 OPS. Cristian Javier is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while José Urquidy is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 9-4 with a 3.86 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HRs, and 2 BB with 3 Ks on 4 hits through 6.2 IP against the Seattle Mariners. 


Red Sox vs Astros Prediction

The current betting odds have the Astros listed as a big favorite in this game. The Astros have been playing well all season but they have been slipping up a bit in their games recently. They have lost a few bad games recently including their last one against the Red Sox in the series opener here. They have Javier starting though and he has been pitching well all season. The Red Sox may have won their last 2 games but their offense has not been good recently as they are not scoring a lot of runs. They will struggle to get hits on Javier here and the Astros also have one of the best bullpens in the MLB to back him up here. The Astros have not been at their best recently but they have still been playing well and scoring a lot of runs in their games. The Red Sox are still dealing with problems in their pitching staff so they are unsure about who is starting in this game but their bullpen has been allowing a lot of runs recently and if they do not have a solid starter here then they are not going to keep the Astros from scoring here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Astros to win this game on the runline.
Red Sox Astros Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, August 3, 2022 (2:10 pm ET start time) is Astros 7 Red Sox 3.
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MLB Betting Trends

Boston Red Sox: 52-52 (-3.5 Units) ML in all games. 35-44 (-12.9 Units) ML against right-handed starters. 31-24 UNDER in August games.
Houston Astros: 67-37 (+9.8 Units) ML in all games. 33-16 (+4.2 Units) ML in home games. 62-38 UNDER in all games.

Key Injuries

Boston Red Sox:  E. Hernandez (CF) Mid Aug - Hip Flexor. T. Story (2B) Late Aug - Wrist. R. Refsnyder (LF) Ques Tues - Knee.
Houston Astros:  J. Castro (C) Out indefinitely - Knee. A. Bregman (3B) Out indefinitely - Personal. M. Brantley (LF) Mid Aug - Shoulder.

Notable Quotes

"When the news broke and it was true, it was sad. But, at the same time, you get prepared to go out there and get to do your job." - Nathan Eovaldi on the Vazquez trade after their win against the Astros on Monday.
"We're bringing in a couple quality guys, one guy that's been in the playoffs and one guy wanting to get to the playoffs. Both of them are good players, both of them I heard are excellent teammates and veterans that can help our ball club ... both of them picked up quite a few games in the standings and I'm hoping that they're happy about the trade." - Dusty Baker after his team’s loss against the Red Sox on Monday.

Starting Lineups

Boston Red Sox
Jarren Duran (L) CF
Xander Bogaerts (R) SS
Alex Verdugo (L) LF
J.D. Martinez (R) DH
Christian Arroyo (R) 3B
Franchy Cordero (L) RF
Bobby Dalbec (R) 1B
Yolmer Sanchez (S) 2B
Kevin Plawecki (R) C
Houston Astros
Jose Altuve (R) 2B
Yuli Gurriel (R) 1B
Yordan Alvarez (L) DH
Aledmys Diaz (R) 3B
Kyle Tucker (L) RF
Jeremy Pena (R) SS
Chas McCormick (R) LF
Jake Meyers (R) CF
Martin Maldonado (R) C

Statistical Leaders

Boston Red Sox
Batting Average:  Jaylin Davis (.375)
Hits:  Rafael Devers (115)
Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (22)
RBI:  Trevor Story (58)
Stolen Bases:  Trevor Story (10)
Wins:  Nick Pivetta (8)
Saves:  Tanner Houck (7)
ERA:  Kevin Plawecki (0.00)
Houston Astros
Batting Average:  Yordan Alvarez (.308)
Hits:  Yordan Alvarez (93)
Home Runs:  Yordan Alvarez (30)
RBI:  Yordan Alvarez (71)
Stolen Bases:  Kyle Tucker (16)
Wins:  Justin Verlander (14)
Saves:  Ryan Pressly (21)
ERA:  Ryne Stanek (1.24)
Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (4th season)
Houston Astros: Dusty Baker (3rd season)

Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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