Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/11/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Saturday, September 11, 2021
Venue:  Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago, IL
Where to Watch:  NBCS-CHI


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +145, White Sox -165; Over/Under:  NL runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +145, White Sox -165; Over/Under:  NL runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +135, White Sox -160; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Season Record

Boston Red Sox:  80-62 (2nd place, AL East)
Chicago White Sox:  80-60 (1st place, AL Central)
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Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox Preview and Analysis

Recent Form
Boston Red Sox:  5-5 last 10
Chicago White Sox:  5-5 last 10

Offensive Analysis

The Boston Red Sox are ranked 3 in the league for batting average (.261), 5 in the league for RBI (679), 2 in the league for hits (1254), and they are ranked 6 in the league for OBP (.328). The Chicago White Sox are ranked 5 in the league for batting average (.255), 7 in the league for RBI (659), 6 in the league for hits (1179), and they are ranked 3 in the league for OBP (.334).

Defensive Analysis

The Boston Red Sox are ranked 17 in the league for ERA (4.36), 2 in the league for saves (44), 6 in the league for strikeouts (1327), and they are ranked 26 in the league for WHIP (1.39). The Chicago White Sox are ranked 9 in the league for ERA (3.78), 9 in the league for saves (38), 3 in the league for strikeouts (1375), and they are ranked 6 in the league for WHIP (1.20).


Red Sox vs White Sox Prediction

The Boston Red Sox are taking on the Chicago White Sox in this matchup on Saturday. The first game of 3 contests in this three-game series is on Friday and the result is still pending as the game has yet to be played. The Red Sox have lost 3 of their last 4 games, snapping a 3 game losing streak with a win in their last game to end their series with the Tampa Bay Rays. The White Sox are currently on a 2 game losing streak after they lost their last series against the Oakland Athletics.

The Red Sox are coming into this game after squeaking out a 2-1 win against the Rays on Wednesday. They are currently dealing with a covid-19 issue throughout the team so their player selection is thin at the moment. There is no assigned starting pitcher for this game. They are sitting 2nd place of the AL East currently but after 2 bad series played against the Rays these last 2 weeks, their hopes of winning the division are slipping away more and more by the day. They are currently sitting in the first wildcard spot just 1 game ahead of the Yankees. They only have a 1.5 game lead over the Toronto Blue Jays who are not in a playoff spot right now and a 3 game lead over the Oakland Athletics so this race is very tight and every game will be very important until the end of the regular season. They have definitely been hitting the ball in their games as they have scored 36 runs in their last 6 games averaging 6 runs scored per game. They will need to continue that into this series to win games as this playoff race tightens nearing the end of the season.

The White Sox have now lost 3 of their last 4 games and have not been producing much in those games. They will have Dylan Cease starting on the mound for them on Saturday and he is 11-7 with a 3.87 ERA this season. He was credited with a loss in his last outing but had 4 straight wins before that. He has not allowed more than 3 runs in his last 11 starts but he did allow 3 in quite a few of those games. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 being a HR, and 3 BB with 9 Ks on 4 hits through 5 IP. He has faced the Red Sox lineup once this year early in the season and he only allowed 2 runs but his team still went on to lose that game. The offense has not looked good for them in their last few games as they have scored just 8 runs in 4 games averaging 2 runs scored per game in that span. In their last 2 games, they have only been able to score 1 in each.

Cease has been really good this season but the White Sox have cooled down in their recent games and are not winning at the moment. The Red Sox are not doing any better but they have more motivation to win this game with all the pressure on them to hold down their wildcard spot. Chicago has a pretty comfy lead for 1st place of their division so the value here is on the Red Sox to win this game.

Red Sox White Sox Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, September 11, 2021 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Red Sox 3 White Sox 1.
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MLB Betting Trends

Boston Red Sox: 80-62 on the money line in all games. 19-11 on the moneyline against AL Central opponents.
Chicago White Sox: 67-38 on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 23-9 on the money line as a favorite of -175 to -250.

Key Injuries

Boston Red Sox:  C. Sale (SP) Out indefinitely - Illness. X. Bogaerts (SS) Ques Fri - Illness. D. Hernandez (RP) Mid Sept - Oblique injury.
Chicago White Sox:  E. Jimenez (LF) Ques Fri - Knee injury. L. Lynn (SP) Ques Sun - Knee injury. L. Giolito (SP) Prob Tues - Hamstring injury.

Players to Watch

Boston Red Sox: Rafael Devers is one player to watch in this game. He leads his team in homers and in RBI and will be a big part if the team plans on making the playoffs this year. Now is the time for him to start heating up as the pressure mounts for the Red Sox so watch for him to have a big game and help his team win to hold down their spot.
Chicago White Sox: Dylan Cease is one player to watch here. He is the starting pitcher and he will need to pitch a good game as his team has cooled down a bit with their hitting. If they want to snap their little slump Cease will have to have a great performance so watch for him to see if he can steal this win away from Boston.

Notable Quotes

"I knew that if I made a good, strong throw and it was accurate I had a chance to get him. It happened to beat him and I think Bobby made an incredible tag on him." - Hunter Renfroe on throwing out the Tampa Bay Rays runner in the 9th inning.
"I had to battle through a few things. My stuff wasn't as good as it usually is. Today was one of those days you have to battle through, and even though I didn't have my best stuff I was able to get through five innings. I made one mistake, I paid for it." - Reynaldo Lopez on his performance in the last game.

Starting Lineups

Boston Red Sox
E. Hernandez (CF)
H. Renfroe (RF)
J.D. Martinez (DH)
R. Devers (3B)
B. Dalbec (1B)
K. Plawecki (C)
D. Santana (LF)
J. Iglesias (SS)
J. Arauz (2B)
Chicago White Sox
L. Robert (CF)
Y. Moncada (3B)
J. Abreu (1B)
Y. Grandal (C)
G. Sheets (DH)
L. Garcia (SS)
B. Goodwin (RF)
A. Vaughn (LF)
C. Hernandez (2B)

Statistical Leaders

Boston Red Sox
Batting Average:  X. Bogaerts (.298)
Hits:  J. Martinez (146)
Home Runs:  R. Devers (33)
RBI:  R. Devers (103)
Stolen Bases:  C. Vazquez (8)
Wins:  E. Rodriguez (11)
Saves:  M. Barnes (24)
ERA:  G. Whitlock (1.86)
Chicago White Sox
Batting Average:  L. Robert (.337)
Hits:  T. Anderson (140)
Home Runs:  J. Abreu (28)
RBI:  J. Abreu (104)
Stolen Bases:  T. Anderson (17)
Wins:  C. Rodon (11)
Saves:  L. Hendriks (33)
ERA:  C. Kimbrel (1.95)
Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (3rd season, non-consecutive)
Chicago White Sox: Tony La Russa (9th season, non-consecutive)

Weather Forecast

82 degrees F mostly sunny, 59% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 13 mph wind speeds NW.

Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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