Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/11/2022

Game Time: 1:05 pm ET, Sunday, September 11, 2022

Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD

Where to Watch:  MASN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox -105, Orioles -115; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox -105, Orioles -115; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox -105, Orioles -115; Over/Under:  8 runs

 

Boston Red Sox:  67-72 (5th place, AL East)

Baltimore Orioles:  73-65 (4th place, AL East)

 

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Boston Red Sox:  5-5 last 10

Baltimore Orioles:  6-4 last 10

 

 

 

 

The Red Sox enter this game on a 4 game losing streak. They lost their last series against the Tampa Bay Rays getting swept 3-0 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 67-72 record overall and have a road record of 32-38. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Sunday with the 2nd game still to be played on Saturday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .729 OPS. Michael Wacha is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Rich Hill is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 6-6 with a 4.79 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 5 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 3 Ks on 9 hits through 4 IP against the Tampa Bay Rays. 

 

The Orioles won 2 of their last 3 games and enter this game off of a loss. They lost their last series against the Toronto Blue Jays 3-1 in a 4-game series. They enter this game with a 73-65 record overall and have a home record of 41-28. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Sunday with the 2nd game still to be played on Saturday. Their offense ranks 23rd in the MLB with a .694 OPS. Jordan Lyles is their starting pitcher on Saturday while rookie pitcher Kyle Bradish is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 3-5 with a 5.30 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 3 strikeouts on 6 hits through 3 innings played against the Toronto Blue Jays.

The current betting odds have the Orioles listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Orioles have been playing very well over the last few months and they have been a very good team at home all season as they have a great record there. The Red Sox collapsed in the middle of the season and they have been a very bad team all year as they have put together multiple big losing streaks this year. They also have Hill starting in this game and he has been awful this season giving up a lot of runs in his starts while Bradish has been very good for the Orioles and has been pitching well since coming back from his injury in the middle of the season. The Red Sox are not in playoff contention this year but the Orioles surprisingly are and they will continue to push hard in this game to make a playoff appearance by capturing one of the few Wild Card spots. They have the better pitching matchup in this game and their bats have been very hot lately, they should have no problem winning this game at home. The best way to place a bet here is on the Orioles to win this game.

 

Red Sox Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, September 11, 2022 (1:05 pm ET start time) is Orioles 5 Red Sox 2.

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Boston Red Sox: 67-72 (-9.4 Units) ML in all games. 32-38 (-5.3 Units) ML in road games. 21-16 UNDER as a road underdog of +100 or higher.

Baltimore Orioles: 73-65 (+31.8 Units) ML in all games. 41-28 (+19.3 Units) ML in home games. 24-17 UNDER against left-handed starters.

 

 

Boston Red Sox:  F. Cordero (CF) Out indefinitely - Ankle. N. Eovaldi (SP) Late Sept - Shoulder. K. Crawford (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.

Baltimore Orioles:  A. Wells (SP) Late Sept - Elbow. C. Ellis (SP) out for season - Shoulder. J. Means (SP) out for season - Elbow.

 

 

 

"His stuff was really good, but at the same time he's learning. We didn't throw strikes there in that inning, and we paid the price." - Alex Cora after his team’s loss against the Orioles on Friday.

 

 

"This is going to be really beneficial for them going forward into next year. Being able to be in a tight ballgame in a pennant race against the Red Sox, that's only going to be helpful going forward." - Brandon Hyde after his team’s win against the Red Sox on Friday.

 

 

 

Tommy Pham (R) LF

Alex Verdugo (L) RF

Xander Bogaerts (R) SS

Rafael Devers (L) 3B

Trevor Story (R) 2B

J.D. Martinez (R) DH

Triston Casas (L) 1B

Enrique Hernandez (R) CF

Connor Wong (R) C

 

Cedric Mullins (L) CF

Adley Rutschman (S) C

Anthony Santander (S) DH

Ryan Mountcastle (R) 1B

Gunnar Henderson (L) SS

Ramon Urias (R) 3B

Rougned Odor (L) 2B

Austin Hays (R) LF

Kyle Stowers (L) RF

 

 

Batting Average:  Reese McGuire (.355)

Hits:  Xander Bogaerts (156)

Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (25)

RBI:  Rafael Devers (73)

Stolen Bases:  Trevor Story (13)

Wins:  Michael Wacha (10)

Saves:  Tanner Houck (8)

ERA:  Kevin Plawecki (0.00)

 

Batting Average:  Gunnar Henderson (.306)

Hits:  Cedric Mullins (138)

Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (27)

RBI:  Anthony Santander (79)

Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (30)

Wins:  Jordan Lyles (10)

Saves:  Felix Bautista (12)

ERA:  Jake Reed (0.00)

 

Managers:

Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (4th season)

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (4th season)