Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/29/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Thursday, Apr 28, 2022
Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Friday, April 29, 2022
Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Where to Watch:  MASN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox NL, Orioles NL; Over/Under:  NL runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox NL, Orioles NL; Over/Under:  NL runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox NL, Orioles NL; Over/Under:  NL runs
 

Season Record

Boston Red Sox:  8-11 (4th place, AL East)
Baltimore Orioles:  6-12 (5th place, AL East)
 
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Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Boston Red Sox:  3-7 last 10
Baltimore Orioles:  4-6 last 10
 
 
 

Boston Red Sox Analysis

The Red Sox are coming into this game with an 8-11 record overall and they are 5-7 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 4 of their last 5 games but are coming into this one off of a win in their last game which snapped a 4 game losing streak that they were on. They just lost their 3-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays 2-1 and they are playing the series opener of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Friday night. This will be the 1st game of the series on Friday with the series finale of their series against the Toronto Blue Jays still to be played on Thursday. Garrett Whitlock is the starting pitcher for them on Thursday while Rich Hill is on the mound for them here on Friday. He is 0-1 with a 4.85 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HRs, and 3 BB with 1 K on 4 hits in 4 IP against the Tampa Bay Rays. They scored 14 runs in their last series averaging just over 4 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 13 runs against them averaging 4 runs allowed per game with the last game of that series still to be played.
 

Baltimore Orioles Analysis

The Orioles are coming into this game with a 6-13 record overall and they are 3-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this game on a 3 game losing streak. They just won their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Angels 2-1 and they are playing the series opener of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Friday night. This will be the 1st game of the series on Friday with the series finale of their series against the Yankees still to be played on Thursday. Bruce Zimmermann is the starting pitcher for them on Thursday while Spenser Watkins will be on the mound for them here on Friday. He is 0-0 with a 2.77 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 2 HRs, and 3 BB with 3 Ks on 3 hits in 5 IP against the Los Angeles Angels. They scored 17 runs in their last series averaging just over 8 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 10 runs against them averaging 5 runs allowed per game with the last game of that series still to be played.
 

 

Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction

The Orioles are coming into this game as a big underdog with the current betting odds. They just lost their last series against the Yankees but they have not been playing bad despite losing all of those games. They were allowing a lot of runs against the Yankees but their starting pitching has been pretty good for the most part and they have been scoring a lot of runs themselves in their games. They almost swept the Angels in their series prior to the Yankees and they are going up against a Red Sox team that has not been very good recently. The Red Sox have been losing a lot of their games and they are well below .500 to start the season already. They do not have a great pitching matchup in this game either and the orioles have been a much better team at home. They will be able to score runs on the Red Sox here and they have a very good chance of winning this game with how bad the Red Sox have been recently. The best bet in this game is on the Orioles to win.
 
Red Sox Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, April 29, 2022 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Orioles 6 Red Sox 2.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Boston Red Sox: 64-64 (+5.7 Units) ML in road games. 58-42 (+12.4 Units) ML in the first half of the season. 13-5 UNDER in all games.
Baltimore Orioles: 83-157 (-26.7 Units) ML in all games. 36-88 (-22.7 Units) ML against division opponents. 13-4 UNDER in all games.
 

Key Injuries

 
Boston Red Sox:  J. Arauz (2B) Out indefinitely - Illness. C. Sale (SP) Early June - Ribs injury. J. Paxton (SP) Early July - Elbow injury.
Baltimore Orioles:  D. Kremer (SP) Mid May - Oblique injury. J. Means (SP) out for season - Elbow injury. C. Ellis (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"I tell you what, the couch is a lot easier than the dugout. I miss my sundae ice cream and all that stuff. But it's good to be here, it's good to make decisions." - Alex Cora after his team’s win against the Blue Jays on Wednesday.
 
 
"He gave up the homer early. Stanton, fastball down and away. There's three guys on the planet who can do that." - Brandon Hyde after their loss against the Yankees on Wednesday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Boston Red Sox
Trevor Story (R) 2B
Alex Verdugo (L) LF
Rafael Devers (L) 3B
Enrique Hernandez (R) CF
Jackie Bradley Jr. (L) RF
Christian Arroyo (R) SS
Bobby Dalbec (R) 1B
Travis Shaw (L) DH
Christian Vazquez (R) C
 
Baltimore Orioles
Cedric Mullins (L) DH
Anthony Santander (S) RF
Trey Mancini (R) 1B
Austin Hays (R) LF
Rougned Odor (L) 2B
Jorge Mateo (R) SS
Ryan McKenna (R) CF
Anthony Bemboom (L) C
Kelvin Gutierrez (R) 3B
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Boston Red Sox
Batting Average:  Rob Refsnyder (.400)
Hits:  Xander Bogaerts (29)
Home Runs:  Alex Verdugo (3)
RBI:  Alex Verdugo (13)
Stolen Bases:  Xander Bogaerts (1)
Wins:  Michael Wacha (2)
Saves:  Jake Diekman (1)
ERA:  Hansel Robles (0.00)
 
Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average:  Austin Hays (.269)
Hits:  Austin Hays (18)
Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (3)
RBI:  Cedric Mullins (8)
Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (7)
Wins:  Mike Baumann (1)
Saves:  Jorge Lopez (4)
ERA:  Cionel Perez (0.00)
 
Managers:
Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (4th season)
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (4th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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